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8016 Macarthur Blvd 6-Plex
B Composite 70.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$895,000

8016 Macarthur Blvd · Oakland, CA 94605
None bd · None ba · 4,226 sqft · MultiFamily · 198 Days on market
Built 1938 9,998 sqft lot $212/sqft · 9% below area Est $985k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 6 units. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

6-unit mixed-use building with excellent current income with a current cap rate of 12.49% and a current GRM of 5.70! The property offers two retail units in the front building and four residential units in the rear building. The property was built in 1938, offers 4,225 square feet of rental space, and sits on an oversized 9,998 square foot lot with a huge backyard and ample parking. The front retail units have two tenants but can be delivered vacant at closing. The rear building offers one 4bd/2bth unit, one 3bd/1bth unit, and two 2bd/1bth units. The backyard is huge and offers the potential for expansion or ADU development. The units are large and offer a variety of upgrades including newer kitchens and bathrooms, double pane windows, a newer roof, newer flooring, and more. The property is easy to manage and is separately metered for PG&E providing for low annual operating expenses. The tenants are nice, cooperative, and easy to manage making this an ideal property for an investor seeking max income or an owner-occupant seeking a variety of options with unbeatable cash flow to offset the mortgage.

Key facts

  • Ample parking
  • Huge backyard
  • Mixed-use building

Tags

MIXED-USE BUILDINGTWO RETAIL UNITSFOUR RESIDENTIAL UNITSHUGE BACKYARDAMPLE PARKINGPOTENTIAL FOR EXPANSION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $895k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($36k/yr) — positive. Per door: $504/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $895k).
  • Recommended offer: $788k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 186 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,660/mo this rent would consume 132% of the median local household income ($106k/yr) (locally 2086% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($788k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $895k implies a 476% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $787,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.49%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$985,055
List price
$895,000
Delta
-9.14%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2023 80th Ave 0.45mi —/— 4,140 (-2%) 7mo $1,150,000 $278 69
2020 81st Ave 0.46mi 8/5.0 3,868 (-8%) 15mo $1,130,000 $292 52
8900 Macarthur Blvd 0.58mi —/3.0 3,810 (-10%) 20mo $670,000 $176 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$20,952
Equity at exit
$133,447
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$161,693
Equity at exit
$77,383

Cash invested: $250,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Oakland
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+62
Rent Adjustment Program + Just Cause.

ZIP-level market 94605

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
38.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,660 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,693
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,119 /mo · $13,425/yr
Insurance
$373
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,449
Net cashflow
$3,026

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,829
Max offer price $895,000
Occupancy floor 69%

6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (6 units) $11,660

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$223,750
Closing costs
$26,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $895,000 Active 198 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $895,000 Active 197 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $895,000 Active 196 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $895,000 Active 195 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $895,000 Active 193 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $895,000 Active 192 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $895,000 Active 189 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $895,000 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $895,000 Active 187 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $895,000 Active 184 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $895,000 Active 183 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $895,000 Active 182 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $895,000 Active 181 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $895,000 Active 180 DOM
  15. 2025-12-02
    listed $895,000 Active 1120-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1120 chars)

    6-unit mixed-use building with excellent current income with a current cap rate of 12.49% and a current GRM of 5.70! The property offers two retail units in the front building and four residential units in the rear building. The property was built in 1938, offers 4,225 square feet of rental space, and sits on an oversized 9,998 square foot lot with a huge backyard and ample parking. The front retail units have two tenants but can be delivered vacant at closing. The rear building offers one 4bd/2bth unit, one 3bd/1bth unit, and two 2bd/1bth units. The backyard is huge and offers the potential for expansion or ADU development. The units are large and offer a variety of upgrades including newer kitchens and bathrooms, double pane windows, a newer roof, newer flooring, and more. The property is easy to manage and is separately metered for PG&E providing for low annual operating expenses. The tenants are nice, cooperative, and easy to manage making this an ideal property for an investor seeking max income or an owner-occupant seeking a variety of options with unbeatable cash flow to offset the mortgage.

  16. 2019-01-18
    historical
  17. 2019-01-16
    historical
  18. 2018-09-01
    historical
  19. 2018-08-16
    listed $875,000
  20. 2018-08-16
    listed New
  21. 2013-03-12
    listed $325,000
  22. 1997-12-20
    soldstatus $155,300
  23. 1997-11-01
    historical
  24. 1997-07-17
    listed $165,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$139,920
− Mortgage interest
−$50,134
− Property taxes
−$13,425
− Insurance
−$4,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,194
− Management
−$11,194
− Depreciation
−$26,036
Taxable income
$23,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,631
After-tax cash flow
$30,684/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oakland Unified
NCES district ID
0628050
Math proficiency
27% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$55,194
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#11769
State rank
#1007 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Oakland

Score
71/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#7245

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oakland, CA
County
Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
City population
385,993
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
44,103
Household income
$106,068
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
2086.0

Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,928,884 people
By 2030
2,069,146 · +7.3%
By 2040
2,338,405 · +21.2%
By 2050
2,586,608 · +34.1%
By 2075
3,061,911 · +58.7%
By 2100
3,234,133 · +67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Alameda

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -793.09%
Current HPI
294.5467
Rent YoY
▲ 0.65%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+442.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $895,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2019-01-18 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2019-01-16 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2018-09-01 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2018-08-16 Listed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2018-08-16 Listed $875,000 SDMLS
  • 2013-03-12 Listed $325,000 SDMLS
  • 1997-12-20 Sold (MLS) $155,300 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 1997-11-01 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 1997-07-17 Listed $165,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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