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4510 El Paso Ave
B+ Composite 75.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$105,000

4510 El Paso Ave · Beaumont, TX 77703
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1962 $62/sqft · 19% below area Est $129k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Property features recent updates including new laminate flooring throughout, fresh interior paint on both walls and ceilings, a newer roof (approximately 2 years old), a new outdoor condenser unit and a new furnace as well as a newly installed hot water heater. The kitchen and bathroom retain their original character. This home offers a great opportunity for customization. This property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Fresh interior paint
  • Listed 80 days

Tags

NEW LAMINATE FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTNEW OUTDOOR CONDENSER UNITNEW FURNACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,375/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 657% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.85%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,497
List price
$105,000
Delta
-18.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3805 Jerry Dr 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (-2%) 23mo $273,500 $166 59
3150 Oakwood Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,876 (+11%) 20mo $59,900 $32 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$43,843
Equity at exit
$62,297
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
4.98×
Total profit
$116,902
Equity at exit
$109,902

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77703

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,375 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$226 /mo · $2,715/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,039
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $325 -5% $296 +0% $266 +5% $236 +10% $206
Rent -10% $157 -5% $212 +0% $266 +5% $320 +10% $375
Rate -1.0pp $319 -0.5pp $293 base $266 +0.5pp $239 +1.0pp $211

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4325 Woodlawn St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,000 $0.87 14d 1 0.33mi
3910 Baldwin St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,200 $0.98 24d 1 0.40mi
2555 Pierce St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,450 $1.06 24d 1 0.52mi
3255 Charles St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1396 $1,350 $0.97 44d 1 0.56mi
5340 Bettes Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.5 1496 $1,575 $1.05 44d 1 0.82mi
3155 French Rd Beaumont, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 905 $999 $1.10 14d 9 0.87mi
5680 Shivers Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1442 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 0.91mi
3085 S Willowood Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1533 $1,400 $0.91 14d 1 1.05mi
2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,800 $1.24 14d 1 1.07mi
3910 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1019 $1,849 $1.81 14d 10 1.08mi
4695 Collier St #8 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1121 $1,150 $1.03 44d 1 1.24mi
2023 Delaware St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 44d 1 1.36mi
3995 Crow Rd Unit 201 Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1162 $1,550 $1.33 44d 1 1.36mi
3270 Christopher St Beaumont, TX 4.0 2.0 1208 $1,290 $1.07 44d 1 1.39mi
3825 Hyde Park Row Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1271 $1,550 $1.22 44d 1 1.39mi
3925 Crow Rd Unit 49 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1306 $1,325 $1.01 44d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-03-30
    listed $110,000 Active 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    This Property features recent updates including new laminate flooring throughout, fresh interior paint on both walls and ceilings, a newer roof (approximately 2 years old), a new outdoor condenser unit and a new furnace as well as a newly installed hot water heater. The kitchen and bathroom retain their original character. This home offers a great opportunity for customization. This property is being sold as-is.

  17. 2025-05-27
    soldstatus
  18. 2024-02-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,715 · $226/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,715 · $226/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,505
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,715
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,320
− Management
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,687
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$405
After-tax cash flow
$2,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
11,004
Household income
$31,803
Rent vs Own
55.9% rent · 44.1% own
Severe rent burden
657.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 7% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 29% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.43%
Current HPI
151.9888
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $110,000 BBOR
  • 2025-05-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-02-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,715 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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