4510 El Paso Ave · Beaumont, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Property features recent updates including new laminate flooring throughout, fresh interior paint on both walls and ceilings, a newer roof (approximately 2 years old), a new outdoor condenser unit and a new furnace as well as a newly installed hot water heater. The kitchen and bathroom retain their original character. This home offers a great opportunity for customization. This property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Fresh interior paint
- Listed 118 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.2% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dr Mae E Jones-Clark El (math 8% / reading 9%, grade F, #4,298 of 4,322 statewide, top 99%, 569 students, 97% FRL, charter); Smith Middle (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,659 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 475 students, 90% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 69% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,375/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.55%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,754
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -30.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5260 Landry Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-19%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $110 | 42 |
| 3730 Bowen Dr | 0.82mi | 3/2.0 | 1,582 (-6%) | 12mo | $149,999 | $95 | 40 |
| 3730 Nathan St | 1.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (-10%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $162 | 38 |
| 4090 Woodlawn St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (-19%) | 17mo | $104,000 | $76 | 37 |
| 3320 Ashwood St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,910 (+13%) | 15mo | $179,000 | $94 | 36 |
| 3250 Minglewood Dr | 0.86mi | 3/2.0 | 1,959 (+16%) | 3mo | $214,500 | $109 | 33 |
| 3150 Oakwood Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (+11%) | 22mo | $59,900 | $32 | 33 |
| 3790 Nathan St | 1.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (-10%) | 19mo | $278,000 | $184 | 28 |
| 3185 Delaware St | 1.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+14%) | 9mo | $166,500 | $87 | 26 |
| 3025 19th St | 1.11mi | 3/3.0 | 1,440 (-15%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $90 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $44,901
- Equity at exit
- $56,364
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.40×
- Total profit
- $117,107
- Equity at exit
- $99,435
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 28.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $117,450 ($87/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 68 d
- This list price
- 7% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -6.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77703
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$226 /mo · $2,715/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $376 | -5% $349 | +0% $323 | +5% $296 | +10% $269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $268 | +0% $323 | +5% $377 | +10% $431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $370 | -0.5pp $347 | base $323 | +0.5pp $298 | +1.0pp $273 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4325 Woodlawn St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 63d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3910 Baldwin St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 72d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2555 Pierce St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 72d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3255 Charles St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 93d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5340 Bettes Ln Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1496 | $1,575 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3155 French Rd Beaumont, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $999 | $1.10 | 63d | 9 | 0.87mi |
| 5680 Shivers Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1442 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 72d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3085 S Willowood Ln Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1533 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 63d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 63d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3910 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1019 | $1,849 | $1.81 | 63d | 10 | 1.08mi |
| 4695 Collier St #8 Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1121 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 93d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2023 Delaware St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 93d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3995 Crow Rd Unit 201 Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,550 | $1.33 | 93d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3270 Christopher St Beaumont, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,290 | $1.07 | 93d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3825 Hyde Park Row Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3925 Crow Rd Unit 49 Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1306 | $1,325 | $1.01 | 93d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 48 events
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2026-07-27days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $95,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $95,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $95,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $95,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $95,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $95,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $95,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $95,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $95,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $95,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $95,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $95,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $95,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $95,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $95,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $95,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $95,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-02pricedays on market $95,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $105,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $105,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $105,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $105,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $105,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $105,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $105,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $105,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $105,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-03-30$110,000 Active 415-char remark
Show marketing remark (415 chars)
This Property features recent updates including new laminate flooring throughout, fresh interior paint on both walls and ceilings, a newer roof (approximately 2 years old), a new outdoor condenser unit and a new furnace as well as a newly installed hot water heater. The kitchen and bathroom retain their original character. This home offers a great opportunity for customization. This property is being sold as-is.
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2025-05-27soldstatus
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2024-02-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,715 · $226/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,715 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,505
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,715
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,588
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$621
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This home has good condition with recent updates, but the kitchen and bathroom need significant upgrades to maximize its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Old and outdated
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Original character, no updates
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen cabinets and fixtures — Modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Updating the bathroom would enhance the home's appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard would improve curb appeal and attract more tenants ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaumont ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809670
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,683
- Composite
- 15.43/100
- National rank
- #9316
- State rank
- #789 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beaumont
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #739
- US rank
- #13710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beaumont, TX
- County
- Jefferson County · 259,015 people
- City population
- 125,901
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,004
- Household income
- $31,803
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 7% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 29% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.43%
- Current HPI
- 151.9888
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $110,000 BBOR
- 2025-05-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-02-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,715 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…