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71 Caddy Dr
D Composite 41.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

71 Caddy Dr · Derry, NH 03079
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured public records · 139 Days on market
Built 2012 $213/sqft · 13% below area Est $345k · 13% under $500/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! Welcome to comfortable, care-free living in Ackerman’s Retirement Park. This well-maintained 1,404 sq ft home, built in 2012, offers an intelligent blend of convenience and warmth in a quiet 55+ community near Arlington Mill Reservoir. The thoughtful layout includes two bedrooms and 1¾ bathrooms, a bonus room/den and in-unit laundry for everyday ease. A wonderful wood fireplace creates a cozy focal point in the living area, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Neutral finishes and a move-in ready condition mean you can “just bring your furnishings, hang your coat, and you are home. ” Practical location advantages include easy access to Route 93 and quick shopping and dining options along Route 28 in Salem. Whether you value low-maintenance living, nearby outdoor walks by the pond, or proximity to all that Salem has to offer, this residence delivers an appealing, comfortable lifestyle.

Key facts

  • In-unit laundry
  • Thoughtful layout
  • Wood fireplace

Tags

WELL-MAINTAINED HOMETHOUGHTFUL LAYOUTIN-UNIT LAUNDRYWOOD FIREPLACEMOVE-IN READY CONDITIONEASY ACCESS TO ROUTE 93

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (20.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.2% in Derry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#13 in NH, #1,420 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Salem School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in NH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: North Salem Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #62 of 263 statewide, top 30%, 366 students, 7% FRL); Woodbury School (math 41% / reading 60%, grade C, #21 of 96 statewide, top 21%, 777 students, 18% FRL); Salem High School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade D+, #30 of 90 statewide, top 34%, 1,134 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,276 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $237,134 (20.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.02%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$344,874
List price
$299,000
Delta
-13.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
83 Caddy Dr 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,456 (+4%) 8mo $340,000 $234 85
74 Caddy Dr 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,255 (-11%) 7mo $355,000 $283 68
118 Dart Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-11%) 23mo $329,000 $264 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.2%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-71,432
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
-22.2%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-93,679
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03079

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,712 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$300 /mo · $3,603/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$500
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$570
Net cashflow
$-350

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,155
Max offer price $237,134
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-181 -5% $-266 +0% $-350 +5% $-435 +10% $-519
Rent -10% $-564 -5% $-457 +0% $-350 +5% $-243 +10% $-136
Rate -1.0pp $-200 -0.5pp $-274 base $-350 +0.5pp $-428 +1.0pp $-507

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$500 · $6,000/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $299,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    price $299,000 944-char remark
    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! Welcome to comfortable, care-free living in Ackerman’s Retirement Park. This well-maintained 1,404 sq ft home, built in 2012, offers an intelligent blend of convenience and warmth in a quiet 55+ community near Arlington Mill Reservoir. The thoughtful layout includes two bedrooms and 1¾ bathrooms, a bonus room/den and in-unit laundry for everyday ease. A wonderful wood fireplace creates a cozy focal point in the living area, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Neutral finishes and a move-in ready condition mean you can “just bring your furnishings, hang your coat, and you are home. ” Practical location advantages include easy access to Route 93 and quick shopping and dining options along Route 28 in Salem. Whether you value low-maintenance living, nearby outdoor walks by the pond, or proximity to all that Salem has to offer, this residence delivers an appealing, comfortable lifestyle.

  16. 2026-04-02
    price $315,000 944-char remark
    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! Welcome to comfortable, care-free living in Ackerman’s Retirement Park. This well-maintained 1,404 sq ft home, built in 2012, offers an intelligent blend of convenience and warmth in a quiet 55+ community near Arlington Mill Reservoir. The thoughtful layout includes two bedrooms and 1¾ bathrooms, a bonus room/den and in-unit laundry for everyday ease. A wonderful wood fireplace creates a cozy focal point in the living area, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Neutral finishes and a move-in ready condition mean you can “just bring your furnishings, hang your coat, and you are home. ” Practical location advantages include easy access to Route 93 and quick shopping and dining options along Route 28 in Salem. Whether you value low-maintenance living, nearby outdoor walks by the pond, or proximity to all that Salem has to offer, this residence delivers an appealing, comfortable lifestyle.

  17. 2026-03-06
    price $325,000 944-char remark
    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! Welcome to comfortable, care-free living in Ackerman’s Retirement Park. This well-maintained 1,404 sq ft home, built in 2012, offers an intelligent blend of convenience and warmth in a quiet 55+ community near Arlington Mill Reservoir. The thoughtful layout includes two bedrooms and 1¾ bathrooms, a bonus room/den and in-unit laundry for everyday ease. A wonderful wood fireplace creates a cozy focal point in the living area, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Neutral finishes and a move-in ready condition mean you can “just bring your furnishings, hang your coat, and you are home. ” Practical location advantages include easy access to Route 93 and quick shopping and dining options along Route 28 in Salem. Whether you value low-maintenance living, nearby outdoor walks by the pond, or proximity to all that Salem has to offer, this residence delivers an appealing, comfortable lifestyle.

  18. 2026-02-02
    listed $330,000 Active 944-char remark
    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT!! Welcome to comfortable, care-free living in Ackerman’s Retirement Park. This well-maintained 1,404 sq ft home, built in 2012, offers an intelligent blend of convenience and warmth in a quiet 55+ community near Arlington Mill Reservoir. The thoughtful layout includes two bedrooms and 1¾ bathrooms, a bonus room/den and in-unit laundry for everyday ease. A wonderful wood fireplace creates a cozy focal point in the living area, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Neutral finishes and a move-in ready condition mean you can “just bring your furnishings, hang your coat, and you are home. ” Practical location advantages include easy access to Route 93 and quick shopping and dining options along Route 28 in Salem. Whether you value low-maintenance living, nearby outdoor walks by the pond, or proximity to all that Salem has to offer, this residence delivers an appealing, comfortable lifestyle.

  19. 2015-06-23
    price $115,000
  20. 2015-05-09
    price $119,900
  21. 2015-05-09
    price $119,000
  22. 2015-04-27
    price $124,900
  23. 2015-04-22
    price $134,900
  24. 2015-04-20
    price $139,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,603 · $300/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,061 · $422/mo
Expected delta
+$1,458/yr (+$121/mo · 40.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,546
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$3,603
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,604
− Management
−$2,604
− HOA
−$6,000
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$9,206
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,209
After-tax cash flow
$-1,993/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem School District
NCES district ID
3306060
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$75,648
Composite
46.45/100
National rank
#2446
State rank
#28 of 98 in NH

Livability — Derry

Score
81/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#1420

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Rockingham County · 137,526 people
City population
34,474
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
30,964
Household income
$110,490
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
316,118 people
By 2030
320,929 · +1.5%
By 2040
323,358 · +2.3%
By 2050
314,977 · -0.4%
By 2075
297,686 · -5.8%
By 2100
256,363 · -18.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Romanian 4% Russian 4%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.8%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -2.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.4 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+5.8 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -265.55%
Current HPI
311.547
Rent YoY
▲ 2.64%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+113.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $299,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $315,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $325,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $330,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-06-23 Price Changed $115,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-05-09 Price Changed $119,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-05-09 Price Changed $119,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-04-27 Price Changed $124,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-04-22 Price Changed $134,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2015-04-20 Price Changed $139,900 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,603 · +17.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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