704 Smart St · Jacksonville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity in downtown Jacksonville. See agents remarks.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 34 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#231 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Jacksonville North Pulaski School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #211 of 238 in AR (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.78%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,344
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 Smart St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (0%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $70 | 99 |
| 602 Ray Rd | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 742 (-5%) | 6mo | $89,500 | $121 | 78 |
| 127 Wilson St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-2%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $117 | 77 |
| 113 Roosevelt Rd | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-4%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $66 | 70 |
| 114 North Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+4%) | 2mo | $99,500 | $122 | 68 |
| 214 N Elm St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+8%) | 2mo | $11,000 | $13 | 65 |
| 159 Pike Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $82 | 63 |
| 112 Jaxon Cir | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-2%) | 21mo | $92,500 | $120 | 61 |
| 191 Roosevelt Rd | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 5mo | $83,000 | $124 | 59 |
| 117 Union | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 872 (+11%) | 14mo | $50,000 | $57 | 56 |
| 188 Roosevelt Rd | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 868 (+11%) | 9mo | $79,000 | $91 | 56 |
| 108 Central Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-11%) | 23mo | $35,000 | $50 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $10,321
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $37,025
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72076
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $972 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $391/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633 Smart St Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $995 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 172 Roosevelt Rd Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 144 Pike Ave Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $800 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 873 Jane Dr Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 131 Galloway Cir Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $895 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 241 Pearl St Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $943 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 123 Union St Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $950 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1301 Liberty Dr Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 114 Wilson St Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 107 Pike Ave Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $995 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 111 Wilson St Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $895 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 950 Military Rd Jacksonville, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $868 | $1.00 | 14d | 13 | 0.40mi |
| 1409 Southern St Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 308 N Oak St Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $800 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 103 Overland Trl Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,195 | $1.24 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 622 S Oak St Unit 620 Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1015 | $725 | $0.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 714 S Spring St Unit 718 Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 708 Lehman Dr Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 428 N Oak St Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 996 | $1,325 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1811 Neely St Unit 1811 Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $825 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 89 Belair Loop Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 218 S J P Wright Loop Rd Unit 6 Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 760 | $850 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 311 Bellevue Cir Unit A Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7 Davis Ct Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $925 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1011 S James St Unit 02-2G Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $765 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1011 S James St Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $765 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1110 Heather St Unit B Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $835 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 714 Crook Dr Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $695 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 813 Ellis St Unit A Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 207 S Hospital Dr Unit C-106 Jacksonville, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $880 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 207 S Hospital Dr Unit C-103 Jacksonville, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $966 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 712 W Martin St Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $995 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 200 Crestview Dr Unit 9 Jacksonville, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 620 Neal St Jacksonville, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-03status Under Contract
-
2026-02-25price $70,000
-
2026-01-28$75,000 New Listing
-
2024-09-16historical $750
-
2024-08-10$750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $391 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$57/yr (+$5/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$391
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$934
- − Management
- −$934
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $3,104
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$745
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,328/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jacksonville North Pulaski School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500419
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,869
- Composite
- 17.16/100
- National rank
- #9110
- State rank
- #211 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #17378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 38,437
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,437
- Household income
- $54,379
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1733.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.51%
- Current HPI
- 201.6405
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $70,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $75,000 CARMLS
- 2024-09-16 Rental Removed $750 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-10 Listed for Rent $750 APPFOLIO
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $391 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…