1184 Robert Hardeman Rd · Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$202,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
Key facts
- Winterville area
- Outdoor entertaining
- Gardening
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $202k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (0.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.3% in Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 15% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.37%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $320,960
- List price
- $202,000
- Delta
- -37.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-19,603
- Equity at exit
- $30,119
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-107
- Equity at exit
- $17,465
Cash invested: $56,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30683
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,007 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,059
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,833/yr
- Insurance
- −$84
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,500
- Closing costs
- $6,060
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170 Big Oak Cir Athens, GA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1479 | $1,815 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 235 Weatherly Woods Dr Winterville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $2,200 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $202,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $202,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $202,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $202,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $202,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $202,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $202,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $202,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $202,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $202,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $202,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $202,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $202,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $202,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $202,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2026-05-07price $202,000 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2026-05-07price $202,000 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2026-05-07status Back On Market 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (833 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2026-02-11status Under Contract 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (830 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2026-02-11status Pending 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (830 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2026-01-17$175,000 New 833-char remark
Show marketing remark (830 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2026-01-17$175,000 Active 830-char remark
Show marketing remark (830 chars)
SHORT SALE APPROVED!!!Charming home set on a large, level lot offering space, comfort, and versatility. This home features 3 spacious bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing flexibility or great investment opportunity. The generous lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or future enhancements. Located in the desirable Winterville area, you'll enjoy a peaceful setting while being just minutes from Athens, with convenient access to UGA, shopping, dining, entertainment, and major roadways. This location perfectly blends quiet country living with city convenience. Property sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional strongly preferred. List price reflects current condition. Allow additional time for lender response. Back on the market due to no fault of the Seller, inspection available if requested
-
2022-10-04soldstatus $218,000
-
2022-09-26soldstatus $218,034 Closed
-
2022-09-23soldstatus $218,000 Sold
-
2022-09-02status Under Contract
-
2022-09-02status Pending
-
2022-08-18$209,900 Active
-
2022-08-18$209,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,833 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,833 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,315
- − Property taxes
- −$2,833
- − Insurance
- −$1,010
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,927
- − Management
- −$1,927
- − Depreciation
- −$5,876
- Taxable loss
- −$806
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$193
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarke County
- NCES district ID
- 1301170
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,649
- Composite
- 15.51/100
- National rank
- #9302
- State rank
- #146 of 174 in GA
Livability — Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
- City population
- 119,110
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,826
Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 141,365 people
- By 2030
- 151,724 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 168,541 · +19.2%
- By 2050
- 184,855 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 221,736 · +56.9%
- By 2100
- 253,853 · +79.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Clarke
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.3) · D 68.6% · R 30.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.0pp toward D · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.3 2020: D+42.1 2016: D+38.0 2012: D+28.9 2008: D+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.69%
- Current HPI
- 307.917
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-3.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $202,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $202,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-02-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-02-11 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listed $175,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2022-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-26 Sold (MLS) $218,034 FMLS
- 2022-09-23 Sold (MLS) $218,000 GAMLS
- 2022-09-02 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-09-02 Pending — FMLS
- 2022-08-18 Listed $209,900 GAMLS
- 2022-08-18 Listed $209,900 FMLS
Property tax history
+34.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,833 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…