148 S Prairie Ave · Bradley, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 1.5 story 2 bedroom home on corner lot in Bradley. Large living room w/ carpet. 2 rooms finished in the upstairs. Full unfinished basement. Large yard with 1 car garage. Needs a little TLC - Sold As Is!
Key facts
- Full basement
- Fenced in yard
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: School bus service available; Zoning: single-family
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space; 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Home was built before 1978
- Exterior features: Property faces Broadway / S Prairie Avenue area (directions: Broadway St to S Prairie Avenue); Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 145
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (13 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (Master on main; another bedroom on main; third bedroom on second level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Unfinished full basement; Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.5% in Bradley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#569 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D, schools F.
- Bradley Bourbonnais Chsd 307 (suburban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #413 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Kankakee County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kankakee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $129k implies a 222% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.44%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 S Blaine Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,115 (+1%) | 0mo | $168,000 | $151 | 89 |
| 212 S Blaine Ave | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,107 (+1%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $149 | 81 |
| 540 Jonette Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (+0%) | 0mo | $214,900 | $195 | 76 |
| 211 S Michigan Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+9%) | 0mo | $187,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 312 N Center Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,208 (+10%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $137 | 64 |
| 311 S Cleveland Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-13%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $182 | 64 |
| 626 Bank St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+9%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 1256 Marla Ter | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,129 (+3%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $133 | 61 |
| 447 Dennis Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,131 (+3%) | 0mo | $209,900 | $186 | 55 |
| 482 S Rivard St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (-3%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $169 | 54 |
| 411 N Prairie Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-14%) | 2mo | $92,000 | $98 | 54 |
| 1370 Lennington Cir NE | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-9%) | 3mo | $184,500 | $185 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-10,315
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,071
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60915
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$367 /mo · $4,405/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 N Schuyler Ave Unit 3 Kankakee, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 229 Steeplechase Cir #1 Bourbonnais, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1126 | $1,850 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 257-char remark
-
2026-06-16$129,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,405 · $367/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,405 · $367/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$4,405
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $64
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bradley Bourbonnais Chsd 307
- NCES district ID
- 1706960
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,302
- Composite
- 18.35/100
- National rank
- #8945
- State rank
- #413 of 620 in IL
Livability — Bradley
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #569
- US rank
- #11945
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradley, IL
- City population
- 10,217
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,217
Population outlook (Kankakee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,479 people
- By 2030
- 101,792 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 93,479 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 85,061 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 67,314 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 52,439 · -50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kankakee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.7% · R 59.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+13.3 2012: R+3.4 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.35%
- Current HPI
- 178.3271
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+223.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $129,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-01 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-25 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-27 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-25 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,405 · +20.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…