3003 Hualapai Mtn Rd #51 · Kingman, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Mesa Verde Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community in Kingman. This corner-lot 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is move-in ready and features a covered side carport and a spacious covered porch that provides ample shade during the sunny Arizona summers. The interior offers a cozy style kitchen with plenty of cabinet/counter space, casual dining space and a comfortable living room suitable for everyday living and entertaining. The home is wheelchair accessible, and the guest bathroom includes a walk-in shower for added convenience. Owner will carry with 1/2 down. Located approximately 45 minutes from the Bullhead City/Laughlin area, residents can enjoy boating, fishing, and other water activities along the Colorado River. Monthly space rent is $510, and park approval is required through the application process.
Key facts
- Colorado river
- Covered side carport
- Walk-in shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 3.6% in Kingman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in AZ, #2,014 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D+.
- Kingman Unified School District (79598) (town): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 960 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→6/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.09%
- DSCR
- 4.39
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,500
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -30.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3003 Hualapai Mountain Rd #16 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-10%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $86 | 81 |
| 3003 #11 E Hualapai Mtn Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-10%) | 5mo | $53,000 | $74 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $35,111
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 75.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.67×
- Total profit
- $74,752
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 86401
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 960
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,249 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $600/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $710
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3050 Hualapai Mountain Rd Kingman, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $1,110 | $1.27 | 13d | 17 | 0.23mi |
| 1212 E Andy Devine Ave Kingman, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 533 | $1,334 | $2.50 | 13d | 11 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $40,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $40,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $40,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-02-27$40,000 Active 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
Welcome to Mesa Verde Mobile Home Park, a 55+ community in Kingman. This corner-lot 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is move-in ready and features a covered side carport and a spacious covered porch that provides ample shade during the sunny Arizona summers. The interior offers a cozy style kitchen with plenty of cabinet/counter space, casual dining space and a comfortable living room suitable for everyday living and entertaining. The home is wheelchair accessible, and the guest bathroom includes a walk-in shower for added convenience. Owner will carry with 1/2 down. Located approximately 45 minutes from the Bullhead City/Laughlin area, residents can enjoy boating, fishing, and other water activities along the Colorado River. Monthly space rent is $510, and park approval is required through the application process.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 3 d/yr ≥97°F today · 6 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$600
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,199
- − Management
- −$1,199
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $8,385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,510/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs to its exterior and roof, along with some interior maintenance. Paint and carpet replacement would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant damage
- Major roof — Signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
- Both repair wallpaper — Restores interior aesthetics and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Signs of wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace carpet — Improves comfort and value ↑
- Both repair wallpaper — Restores interior aesthetics and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingman Unified School District (79598)
- NCES district ID
- 0400295
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,760
- Composite
- 17.87/100
- National rank
- #9002
- State rank
- #179 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Kingman
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingman, AZ
- County
- Mohave County · 181,906 people
- City population
- 60,489
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,124
- Household income
- $66,129
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 985.0
Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,184 people
- By 2030
- 209,674 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 205,897 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 196,810 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 169,454 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 136,630 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mohave
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.30%
- Current HPI
- 251.8208
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.28%
- Metro
- Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listed $40,000 WARDEX
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…