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2015 Shady Ln
D+ Composite 46.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$200,000

2015 Shady Ln · Hueytown, AL 35023
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1965 0.65 ac lot Est $210k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* Back on the market * . Buyer lost financing 1 week before closing due to credit score change * * . New Roof 2026! Freshly painted interior. This charming home sits on a half acre lot. The property offers two separate driveways, one with a detached double carport and the other driveway is for the 1 car garage in the basement. The main level has 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large laundry room on the main level. Downstairs there is a den, bedroom and half bath with plenty of room in the garage for your car, lawn equipment and storage. Don’t miss out—schedule a showing today and see for yourself! More photos to be added later today and professional photos will be added in the ne

Key facts

  • 0.65 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel ID: 30-32-2-011-001.000; Lot size approximately 0.65 acres; Subdivision: Glenview
  • Financial info: Down payment assistance available; Quarterly garbage fee of $75

Exterior

  • Parking: Side garage entry; One total garage space (listed as 1 garage space); One garage space at basement level; Two carport spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Gas water heater; Internet service available
  • Home design: Existing (previously built) property; Tri-level: no (home has main level and basement); Split level and split foyer: no
  • Construction: Brick over foundation; Other siding; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch; Covered deck; No pool; No patio; Not on waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Tile countertops in kitchen; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level; One bedroom in the basement
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (basement); Full baths include tub/shower combo; Linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement with both finished and unfinished areas; Basement constructed of concrete block; Basement foundation; Attic present; Ceilings: other (see remarks); No notable built-in interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup provided; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-145/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#378 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hueytown Primary School (653 students, 64% FRL); Hueytown Middle School (math 0% / reading 30%, grade F, #206 of 257 statewide, top 80%, 789 students, 62% FRL); Hueytown High School (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #235 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 1,210 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 49% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $183 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $200k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,500 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.93%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,496
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3204 20th St N 0.11mi 3/3.0 2,360 (-1%) 12mo $265,000 $112 79
3338 Crescent Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 2,122 (-11%) 9mo $110,000 $52 64
2847 Novel Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,205 (-8%) 1mo $195,000 $88 55
3510 Highland Ave 0.59mi 3/2.5 2,240 (-6%) 6mo $187,100 $84 55
132 Sterling Dr 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,488 (+4%) 14mo $122,000 $49 53
103 Avalon Ave 0.27mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,096 (-12%) 12mo $183,000 $87 50
2922 Devon Rd 0.50mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,540 (+6%) 16mo $269,900 $106 46
1855 Edgehill Dr 0.40mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,719 (+14%) 6mo $262,000 $96 45
3023 Cherokee Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,692 (+12%) 3mo $147,500 $55 37
632 Sunrise Blvd 0.70mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,069 (-14%) 2mo $231,958 $112 34
307 Sunrise Blvd 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 2,072 (-13%) 4mo $143,000 $69 32
631 Wright Ave 0.72mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,134 (-11%) 15mo $230,000 $108 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.6% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-14,472
Equity at exit
$52,145
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,571
Equity at exit
$58,126

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35023

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,615 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$-12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,630
Max offer price $197,862
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $101 -5% $45 +0% $-12 +5% $-69 +10% $-125
Rent -10% $-140 -5% $-76 +0% $-12 +5% $52 +10% $115
Rate -1.0pp $89 -0.5pp $39 base $-12 +0.5pp $-64 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2825 19th St N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1991 $1,395 $0.70 45d 1 0.39mi
531 Tinker St Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1766 $2,450 $1.39 12d 1 0.93mi
1032 26th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1724 $1,175 $0.68 5d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $200,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    remarks 687-char remark
  4. 2026-06-18
    status $200,000 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 66 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 65 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 64 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Contingent 63 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    historical Contingent
  18. 2026-05-13
    status Active
  19. 2026-05-01
    historical Contingent
  20. 2026-04-21
    price $200,000
  21. 2026-04-09
    price $230,000
  22. 2026-03-29
    listed $250,000 Active
  23. 2026-03-15
    historical $250,000
  24. 2006-01-05
    soldstatus $110,000
  25. 2002-06-04
    soldstatus $120,000
  26. 1996-02-07
    soldstatus $75,500
  27. 1996-01-01
    soldstatus $75,500
  28. 1988-10-07
    soldstatus $57,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,203 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,203 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,380
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$1,203
− Insurance
−$1,666
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,550
− Management
−$1,550
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$3,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$867
After-tax cash flow
$722/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hueytown

Score
57/100
State rank
#378
US rank
#21611

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hueytown, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
25,533
Household income
$69,863
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
247.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.60%
Current HPI
389.38
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+245.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $200,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $230,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $250,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-15 Coming Soon $250,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2006-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2002-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 1996-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
  • 1996-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
  • 1988-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $57,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,203 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…