2015 Shady Ln · Hueytown, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* Back on the market * . Buyer lost financing 1 week before closing due to credit score change * * . New Roof 2026! Freshly painted interior. This charming home sits on a half acre lot. The property offers two separate driveways, one with a detached double carport and the other driveway is for the 1 car garage in the basement. The main level has 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Large laundry room on the main level. Downstairs there is a den, bedroom and half bath with plenty of room in the garage for your car, lawn equipment and storage. Don’t miss out—schedule a showing today and see for yourself! More photos to be added later today and professional photos will be added in the ne
Key facts
- 0.65 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel ID: 30-32-2-011-001.000; Lot size approximately 0.65 acres; Subdivision: Glenview
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available; Quarterly garbage fee of $75
Exterior
- Parking: Side garage entry; One total garage space (listed as 1 garage space); One garage space at basement level; Two carport spaces; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Gas water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing (previously built) property; Tri-level: no (home has main level and basement); Split level and split foyer: no
- Construction: Brick over foundation; Other siding; Basement foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch; Covered deck; No pool; No patio; Not on waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Tile countertops in kitchen; Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level; One bedroom in the basement
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (basement); Full baths include tub/shower combo; Linen closet
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement with both finished and unfinished areas; Basement constructed of concrete block; Basement foundation; Attic present; Ceilings: other (see remarks); No notable built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup provided; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-145/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#378 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Hueytown Primary School (653 students, 64% FRL); Hueytown Middle School (math 0% / reading 30%, grade F, #206 of 257 statewide, top 80%, 789 students, 62% FRL); Hueytown High School (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #235 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 1,210 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 49% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $183 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $200k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.93%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,496
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3204 20th St N | 0.11mi | 3/3.0 | 2,360 (-1%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $112 | 79 |
| 3338 Crescent Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,122 (-11%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $52 | 64 |
| 2847 Novel Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,205 (-8%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $88 | 55 |
| 3510 Highland Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 2,240 (-6%) | 6mo | $187,100 | $84 | 55 |
| 132 Sterling Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,488 (+4%) | 14mo | $122,000 | $49 | 53 |
| 103 Avalon Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,096 (-12%) | 12mo | $183,000 | $87 | 50 |
| 2922 Devon Rd | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,540 (+6%) | 16mo | $269,900 | $106 | 46 |
| 1855 Edgehill Dr | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,719 (+14%) | 6mo | $262,000 | $96 | 45 |
| 3023 Cherokee Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,692 (+12%) | 3mo | $147,500 | $55 | 37 |
| 632 Sunrise Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,069 (-14%) | 2mo | $231,958 | $112 | 34 |
| 307 Sunrise Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,072 (-13%) | 4mo | $143,000 | $69 | 32 |
| 631 Wright Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,134 (-11%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $108 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.6% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-14,472
- Equity at exit
- $52,145
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,571
- Equity at exit
- $58,126
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35023
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,615 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $101 | -5% $45 | +0% $-12 | +5% $-69 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-140 | -5% $-76 | +0% $-12 | +5% $52 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $89 | -0.5pp $39 | base $-12 | +0.5pp $-64 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2825 19th St N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1991 | $1,395 | $0.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 531 Tinker St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1766 | $2,450 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1032 26th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1724 | $1,175 | $0.68 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $200,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-18status $200,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Contingent 80 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Contingent 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Contingent 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Contingent 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Contingent 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Contingent 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Contingent 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Contingent 70 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Contingent 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Contingent 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Contingent 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Contingent 63 DOM
-
2026-05-13historical Contingent
-
2026-05-13status Active
-
2026-05-01historical Contingent
-
2026-04-21price $200,000
-
2026-04-09price $230,000
-
2026-03-29$250,000 Active
-
2026-03-15historical $250,000
-
2006-01-05soldstatus $110,000
-
2002-06-04soldstatus $120,000
-
1996-02-07soldstatus $75,500
-
1996-01-01soldstatus $75,500
-
1988-10-07soldstatus $57,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,203 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,203 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$1,203
- − Insurance
- −$1,666
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$3,612
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hueytown
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #378
- US rank
- #21611
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hueytown, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,533
- Household income
- $69,863
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 247.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.60%
- Current HPI
- 389.38
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+245.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $200,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $230,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $250,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-15 Coming Soon $250,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2006-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1996-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
- 1996-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
- 1988-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $57,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,203 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…