102 Court St · Gibbon, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 bed/2 bath home with plenty of original charm waiting to be restored. Property being sold AS-IS
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1890
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Zoned R
Interior
- Bathrooms: One main-level bathroom
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#133 in NE, #4,995 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gibbon Public Schools (rural): math 49% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #86 of 111 in NE (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in Buffalo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buffalo County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.88%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,864
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 May Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (+0%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $140 | 78 |
| 109 Murnen Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,724 (-4%) | 6mo | $219,900 | $128 | 76 |
| 710 5th St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 2,016 (+13%) | 7mo | $253,500 | $126 | 59 |
| 913 W Court St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,968 (+10%) | 2mo | $177,216 | $90 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $16,486
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $52,281
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68840
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,387 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $79,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,275 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,275 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,639
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$2,275
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,331
- − Management
- −$1,331
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $4,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,100
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gibbon Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3170980
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,287
- Composite
- 37.98/100
- National rank
- #4294
- State rank
- #86 of 111 in NE
Livability — Gibbon
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4995
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gibbon, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,626
Population outlook (Buffalo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,980 people
- By 2030
- 58,298 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 64,975 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 72,054 · +31.1%
- By 2075
- 90,838 · +65.2%
- By 2100
- 106,838 · +94.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Buffalo
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.9) · D 26.9% · R 71.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: -37.5pp · 2024: -44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.9 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+37.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.36%
- Current HPI
- 215.8994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+66.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $100,000 GMNMLS
- 2013-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,275 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…