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10701 N 99th Ave, Ave #257 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,500

10701 N 99th Ave, Ave #257 · Peoria, AZ 85345
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · Manufactured · 58 Days on market
Built 1976 Good condition $38/sqft · 51% below area ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEW PRICE! Very nice 2 bedroom, 2 bath ground set home. Open concept featuring spacious living/family room, formal dining area with built-in hutch. Cozy kitchen incl. gas cook top & built-in oven, dishwasher, refrigerator. Extended covered patio is great for quiet relaxation or entertaining friends/family. Two car [concrete] carport & extra storage space. Freshly painted exterior. Apollo Village is a pet friendly 55 + age restricted community. Park amenities include heated community pool/spa, clubhouse-lounge, fitness room. weekly social events & Bingo! On-site park management. Park approval is required, lot rent is $891/mo. Great location, borders Sun City, near hospital/

Key facts

  • Extra storage space
  • Cozy kitchen
  • Open concept

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING AREACOZY KITCHENEXTENDED COVERED PATIOEXTRA STORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot information source not available
  • HOA & community: Land lease $891 monthly; Community pool; Community spa (heated); Community laundry; Fitness center; No association fees included

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership; Asphalt road access
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Metal roof with reflective coating
  • Exterior features: Shed(s); Storage; Desert front and back; Partial block fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Full bath in master bedroom; Laminate counters; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only; Other laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$100,281) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 35.4% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
  • Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $342 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,015 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.95%
Cap rate
35.40%
Cash-on-cash
103.96%
DSCR
5.63
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$100,281
List price
$49,500
Delta
-50.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10701 N 99 Ave #209 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+9%) 1mo $83,000 $58 79
11275 N 99th Ave #118 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,273 (-4%) 2mo $265,000 $208 76
10701 N 99th Ave #115 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-6%) 11mo $82,900 $66 75
10701 N 99th Ave #254 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-9%) 12mo $43,000 $36 73
11275 N 99th Ave #119 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (+6%) 4mo $265,000 $190 72
11275 N 99th Ave #61 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,402 (+6%) 3mo $268,500 $192 72
10701 N 99th Ave #231 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,196 (-9%) 14mo $45,000 $38 71
11275 N 99th Ave #31 0.19mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,345 (+2%) 15mo $281,000 $209 70
10701 N 99th Ave #44 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-9%) 18mo $100,000 $83 68
10201 N 99th Ave #166 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-6%) 8mo $55,000 $44 58
11000 N 91st Ave #101 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,350 (+2%) 10mo $120,000 $89 54
11275 N 99th Ave #1 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-13%) 8mo $210,000 $182 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$63,914
Equity at exit
$7,381
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.84×
Total profit
$136,376
Equity at exit
$4,280

Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85345

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,953 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$260
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $742/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$1,201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $49,500
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,235 -5% $1,218 +0% $1,201 +5% $1,184 +10% $1,167
Rent -10% $1,046 -5% $1,124 +0% $1,201 +5% $1,278 +10% $1,355
Rate -1.0pp $1,226 -0.5pp $1,213 base $1,201 +0.5pp $1,188 +1.0pp $1,175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,375
Closing costs
$1,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10822 N Balboa Dr Sun City, AZ 2.0 1.0 942 $3,000 $3.18 25d 1 0.33mi
10022 W Lakeview Cir N Sun City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1575 $2,800 $1.78 25d 1 0.48mi
10316 N 94th Ln Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1352 $2,000 $1.48 25d 1 0.51mi
10110 N 97th Dr Unit A Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.5 1025 $1,500 $1.46 25d 1 0.57mi
9426 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ 3.0 3.5 1405 $1,800 $1.28 17d 1 0.61mi
10104 N 96th Dr Unit A Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,750 $1.63 25d 1 0.63mi
9626 W Mountain View Rd Unit A Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 1156 $1,500 $1.30 44d 1 0.76mi
9323 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,985 $1.52 25d 1 0.85mi
9323 W Ironwood Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1306 $2,085 $1.60 44d 1 0.85mi
11411 N 91st Ave Unit 134 Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,599 $1.22 44d 1 0.90mi
10350 W Camden Ave Sun City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1413 $2,850 $2.02 25d 1 0.99mi
10101 N 91st Ave #109 Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.5 1161 $1,395 $1.20 3d 1 1.05mi
8930 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,899 $1.46 44d 2 1.06mi
8930 W Monroe St Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,099 $1.61 25d 1 1.06mi
9002 W Malapai Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1270 $2,040 $1.61 21d 1 1.10mi
12751 N Plaza Del Rio Blvd Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,890 $1.88 2d 10 1.12mi
9680 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,540 $1.81 0d 10 1.14mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 0d 1 1.15mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,595 $1.49 4d 1 1.15mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,595 $1.49 25d 1 1.15mi
10319 W Oakmont Dr Sun City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1274 $2,900 $2.28 25d 1 1.21mi
10221 N 87th Ln Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1232 $2,059 $1.67 44d 1 1.28mi
9625 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1485 $2,224 $1.50 0d 9 1.33mi
8834 W Purdue Ave Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1319 $1,800 $1.36 4d 1 1.33mi
10729 W Sun City Blvd Sun City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1697 $3,500 $2.06 25d 1 1.33mi
8650 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,492 $1.78 0d 18 1.38mi
8763 W Paradise Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1575 $1,800 $1.14 44d 1 1.39mi
8782 W Shaw Butte Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,200 $1.40 25d 1 1.41mi
8560 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 888 $1,399 $1.58 0d 8 1.46mi
10846 N 109th Ave Sun City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1623 $3,500 $2.16 14d 1 1.49mi
8940 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 897 $1,400 $1.56 17d 1 1.49mi
8940 W Olive Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 1446 $1,600 $1.11 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,500 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,500 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,500 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,500 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,500 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,500 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $49,500 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,500 Under Contract Accepting Backups 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,500 Under Contract Accepting Backups 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $49,500 Under Contract Accepting Backups 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,500 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,500 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,500 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,500 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,500 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    price $55,000 815-char remark
  17. 2026-04-24
    listed $70,000 Active 815-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,435
− Mortgage interest
−$2,773
− Property taxes
−$742
− Insurance
−$248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,875
− Management
−$1,875
− Depreciation
−$1,440
Taxable income
$14,483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,476
After-tax cash flow
$10,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in a pet-friendly 55+ community is in good condition with fresh paint and a spacious layout. Minor updates to the exterior and appliances would significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Upgrade appliances — Modern appliances improve kitchen functionality and appeal
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's modern appeal and convenience

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Upgrade appliances — Modern appliances improve kitchen functionality and appeal
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's modern appeal and convenience

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria Unified School District (4237)
NCES district ID
0406250
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,171
Composite
34.62/100
National rank
#5152
State rank
#64 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Peoria

Score
76/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#3603

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A Cost of living C- Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
206,687
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
60,918
Household income
$67,380
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
1879.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.77%
Current HPI
328.1069
Rent YoY
▲ 0.62%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $49,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $55,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $70,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…