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1314 Jefferson Dr
D Composite 43.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

1314 Jefferson Dr · Lake Charles, LA 70605
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,252 sqft · SingleFamily · 61 Days on market
Built 1976 0.38 ac lot $100/sqft · 13% above area Est $198k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in University subdivision this 4-bedroom, 3-bath brick home is conveniently located in the center of town offering space and convenience. This property features a 5-year-old roof and is located in Flood Zone X (No flood insurance required). Inside, you'll find a spacious layout with generous living areas and plenty of natural light. The home sits on a large yard, ideal for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or simply enjoying extra space. The outdoor area includes a greenhouse integrated into the yard along with a producing lime tree perfect for gardening enthusiasts or anyone looking to enjoy fresh homegrown fruit. This property combines space, functionality, and outdoor appeal in a

Key facts

  • 5 year old roof
  • Large yard
  • Producing lime tree

Tags

5 YEAR OLD ROOFLARGE YARDGREENHOUSEPRODUCING LIME TREE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House structure; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a single-story house
  • Exterior features: Chain link fenced yard; Fenced property; Greenhouse on the property; Sidewalks in the community

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (all on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (10.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: A. A. Nelson Elementary School (math 36% / reading 52%, grade F, #191 of 646 statewide, top 30%, 741 students, 55% FRL); F. K. White Middle School (math 26% / reading 39%, grade F, #104 of 218 statewide, top 48%, 661 students, 67% FRL); Alfred M. Barbe High School (math 41% / reading 56%, grade D, #41 of 265 statewide, top 16%, 1,991 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $135k; list at $225k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,775 (10.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.84%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$198,390
List price
$224,900
Delta
13.36%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4308 Dean St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,260 (+0%) 3mo $235,000 $104 70
4304 Sarver St 0.47mi 4/3.0 2,142 (-5%) 4mo $223,400 $104 67
4119 Pleasant Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,240 (-0%) 3mo $195,000 $87 60
929 Carondelet St St 0.63mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,338 (+4%) 1mo $365,000 $156 56
4315 Oaklawn 0.48mi 4/3.0 1,972 (-12%) 2mo $239,000 $121 55
445 Washington 0.69mi 4/2.0 2,177 (-3%) 3mo $189,000 $87 55
4022 Wooded Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,244 (-0%) 1mo $85,000 $38 55
1407 Jefferson Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,946 (-14%) 4mo $260,000 $134 55
4410 Dean St St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,931 (-14%) 1mo $172,500 $89 52
1220 Five Oaks Dr 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,425 (+8%) 3mo $490,000 $202 49
625 Archwood St 0.71mi 4/2.5 2,458 (+9%) 3mo $392,500 $160 47
4307 Oaklawn St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,926 (-14%) 2mo $157,900 $82 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-13,077
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$53,127
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70605

Rents YoY
15.1%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,008 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,339/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,753
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $329 -5% $265 +0% $201 +5% $138 +10% $74
Rent -10% $43 -5% $122 +0% $201 +5% $281 +10% $360
Rate -1.0pp $315 -0.5pp $259 base $201 +0.5pp $143 +1.0pp $84

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
716 Dianne Ln Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 2200 $5,000 $2.27 46d 1 0.82mi
4326 Christina St Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,770 $1.11 23d 1 0.88mi
1549 L'Acadie Dr Lake Charles, LA 4.0 4.0 3100 $3,550 $1.15 15d 1 1.06mi
4128 Center St Lake Charles, LA 4.0 2.0 2227 $1,500 $0.67 46d 1 1.16mi
417 E Claude St Lake Charles, LA 4.0 1.0 1610 $1,400 $0.87 46d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $224,900 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $224,900 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $224,900 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,900 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,900 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,900 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $224,900 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $224,900 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $224,900 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,900 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $224,900 Active 43 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 39 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,900 Active 38 DOM
  19. 2026-04-22
    listed $224,900 Active 746-char remark
  20. 2025-01-27
    soldstatus $135,000
  21. 2011-10-07
    soldstatus $160,000
  22. 2004-10-04
    soldstatus $136,000
  23. 1999-03-31
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,339 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,339 · $112/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,093
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$1,339
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,927
− Management
−$1,927
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$1,366
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$328
After-tax cash flow
$2,745/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lake Charles

Score
68/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#9820

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Charles, LA
County
Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
City population
133,538
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
Population (ZIP)
40,482
Household income
$86,015
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
1328.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.68%
Current HPI
105.1903
Rent YoY
▲ 15.10%
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $224,900 SWLAR
  • 2025-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2004-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
  • 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,339 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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