CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
301 Turner
B- Composite 69.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

301 Turner · White Hall, AR 71602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1982 0.84 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A great investment opportunity on a beautiful . 84 acre lot. With some remodeling and updating this home could easily be used as a first home or investment opportunity, or the mobile home could be removed and a new construction could be built.

Key facts

  • 0.84 acre lot
  • Built 1982
  • Listed 63 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 4.0% in White Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • White Hall School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 238 in AR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
18.12%
Cash-on-cash
42.23%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$30,243
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
45.3%
Equity multiple
5.33×
Total profit
$78,791
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71602

Home prices YoY
-7.8%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,303 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $249/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $492
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $677 -5% $659 +0% $640 +5% $622 +10% $604
Rent -10% $538 -5% $589 +0% $640 +5% $692 +10% $743
Rate -1.0pp $673 -0.5pp $657 base $640 +0.5pp $624 +1.0pp $607

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-04-16
    listed $65,000 New Listing 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    A great investment opportunity on a beautiful . 84 acre lot. With some remodeling and updating this home could easily be used as a first home or investment opportunity, or the mobile home could be removed and a new construction could be built.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$249 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$416 · $35/mo
Expected delta
+$167/yr (+$14/mo · 66.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,634
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$249
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,251
− Management
−$1,251
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,026
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,686
After-tax cash flow
$6,000/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
White Hall School District
NCES district ID
0514140
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$51,633
Composite
32.16/100
National rank
#5788
State rank
#86 of 238 in AR

Livability — White Hall

Score
73/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#5275

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
White Hall, AR
Population (ZIP)
15,922

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,110 people
By 2030
58,519 · -7.3%
By 2040
49,740 · -21.2%
By 2050
42,331 · -32.9%
By 2075
29,591 · -53.1%
By 2100
21,047 · -66.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 32% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.84%
Current HPI
223.9305
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $65,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $249 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…