Duplex
180 Portsea St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$439,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
* * * 2 Family * * with * * * Fully finished 3rd Floor Owner Suite with kitchen and bath * * * Exceptional Investment Opportunity steps from Yale-New Haven Hospital & Union Station! This turn-key 2-family features over 3,300+ square feet of living space across three levels. Units 1 & 2 offer spacious 2BR/1BA layouts (~1,200 sqft each) with new appliances, dishwashers, and dedicated laundry hookups. The 3rd floor serves as a large 2 bedroom owner's suite-ideal for an owner-occupant or expanded rental income. Recent upgrades throughout. Separate utilities (tenant paid) and off-street parking included. High-demand rental location with proximity to downtown and major tran
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 51 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property marketed as multi-family for sale
- Financial info: Assessed value listed (financial details provided)
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas service
- Home design: Multi-family 2-family property
- Construction: Built with frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Public transportation nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with hot air system
- Interior features: Total of 20 rooms; Full, unfinished basement; Finished walk-up attic
- Laundry & utility: All units have laundry hook-ups; 30-gallon natural gas hot water tank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $439k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $760 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $380/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $439k).
- Recommended offer: $426k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 45 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,732/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1321% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $46k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $123k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$74k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($426k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $439k implies a 1722% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.42%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $443,392
- List price
- $439,000
- Delta
- -0.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Plymouth St | 0.54mi | 6/3.0 | 3,152 (-0%) | 5mo | $415,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 32 Lamberton St | 0.41mi | 6/3.0 | 3,021 (-4%) | 5mo | $535,000 | $177 | 70 |
| 46 Hurlburt St | 0.48mi | 6/3.0 | 3,249 (+3%) | 4mo | $440,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 589 Washington Ave | 0.38mi | 6/3.0 | 3,201 (+1%) | 15mo | $535,000 | $167 | 67 |
| 423 Howard Ave | 0.31mi | 6/2.0 | 3,026 (-4%) | 12mo | $443,000 | $146 | 65 |
| 256 Davenport Ave | 0.62mi | 6/3.0 | 3,105 (-2%) | 7mo | $415,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 41 Cassius St | 0.34mi | 6/3.0 | 3,551 (+12%) | 4mo | $410,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 50 Liberty St | 0.06mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,730 (-14%) | 15mo | $492,500 | $180 | 57 |
| 29 Kossuth St | 0.54mi | 6/3.0 | 3,588 (+14%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $92 | 44 |
| 102 Plymouth St | 0.63mi | 6/3.0 | 3,528 (+12%) | 12mo | $457,500 | $130 | 41 |
| 272 Greenwich Ave | 0.74mi | 6/3.0 | 2,684 (-15%) | 14mo | $450,000 | $168 | 29 |
| 843 Congress Ave | 0.68mi | 6/4.0 | 2,688 (-15%) | 18mo | $394,000 | $147 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.81% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $283,258
- Equity at exit
- $389,401
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $797,591
- Equity at exit
- $833,365
Cash invested: $122,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06519
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 15.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,732 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,302
- Tax from tax record
- −$493 /mo · $5,916/yr
- Insurance
- −$183
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$994
- Net cashflow
- $760
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,009 | -5% $884 | +0% $760 | +5% $636 | +10% $512 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $386 | -5% $573 | +0% $760 | +5% $947 | +10% $1,134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $981 | -0.5pp $872 | base $760 | +0.5pp $646 | +1.0pp $531 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2.0 | 1 | $4,732 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1 | $2,366 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1 | $2,366 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,732 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $109,750
- Closing costs
- $13,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395 Crown St New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2889 | $7,195 | $2.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 131 Dwight St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3097 | $6,250 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 131 Dwight St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3000 | $6,250 | $2.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 229 Dwight St New Haven, CT | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $4,995 | $2.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 30 Trumbull St New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2668 | $5,000 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 54 Trumbull St Unit 54-1 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $6,695 | $2.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 37 Center St Unit 2 West Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,300 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $439,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $439,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $439,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $439,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $439,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $439,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $439,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $439,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 31 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 697-char remark
-
2026-04-30$439,000 Active 697-char remark
-
1997-10-27soldstatus $24,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,916 · $493/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,655 · $638/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,739/yr (+$145/mo · 29.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,784
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,591
- − Property taxes
- −$5,916
- − Insurance
- −$2,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,543
- − Management
- −$4,543
- − Depreciation
- −$12,771
- Taxable income
- $2,226
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$534
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $49,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1321.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 26% White 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.81%
- Current HPI
- 377.4885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+1721.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $439,000 Smart MLS
- 1997-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $24,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2023): $5,916 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…