4749 NW 39th Street Rd · Ocala, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$222,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This one-story home features an open concept design. The well-appointed kitchen includes a large granite island and all kitchen appliances. Off the great room is a covered lanai that extends the living space outdoors. At the rear of the home, you will find the Bedroom 1, with a spacious walk-in closet and Bathroom 1. At the front of the home, the second bedroom and den share the second bathroom. The laundry space includes a top load washer and dryer. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.
Key facts
- Resort style pool
- Athletic center
- The golf club
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $223k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (6.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $223k).
- Recommended offer: $196k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fessenden Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 417 students, 79% FRL); Howard Middle School (math 47% / reading 50%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 980 students, 60% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 778 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 515 days — a 12% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 515 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.65%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,098
- List price
- $222,990
- Delta
- -22.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4802 NW 39th Street Rd | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,565 (-0%) | 2mo | $256,150 | $164 | 94 |
| 4090 NW 44th Cir | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,614 (+3%) | 1mo | $226,990 | $141 | 86 |
| 4068 NW 44th Cir | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,614 (+3%) | 4mo | $249,285 | $154 | 82 |
| 4031 NW 44th Cir | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,614 (+3%) | 1mo | $258,165 | $160 | 81 |
| 4027 NW 44th Cir | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,614 (+3%) | 2mo | $255,990 | $159 | 80 |
| 4039 NW 44th Cir | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,614 (+3%) | 3mo | $258,975 | $160 | 80 |
| 4043 NW 44th Cir | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,614 (+3%) | 4mo | $259,990 | $161 | 80 |
| 4086 NW 44th Cir | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,504 (-4%) | 3mo | $230,445 | $153 | 78 |
| 4035 NW 44th Cir | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,504 (-4%) | 4mo | $249,990 | $166 | 73 |
| 4521 NW 37th Street Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,742 (+11%) | 0mo | $336,687 | $193 | 59 |
| 4680 NW 44th Ct | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,338 (-15%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $112 | 49 |
| 4585 NW 48th Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,399 (-11%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $175 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-28,700
- Equity at exit
- $33,249
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $26,554
- Equity at exit
- $19,280
Cash invested: $62,437 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 85 active · 28 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.2 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $289,500 ($175/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 138 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34482
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 778
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,385 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,169
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,703/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$566
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $-86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $40 | -5% $-23 | +0% $-86 | +5% $-149 | +10% $-212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-274 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-86 | +5% $8 | +10% $103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $26 | -0.5pp $-29 | base $-86 | +0.5pp $-144 | +1.0pp $-202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,748
- Closing costs
- $6,690
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4743 NW 39th Street Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 70d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4110 NW 44th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 63d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4859 NW 35th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,495 | $1.50 | 70d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4111 NW 44th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 63d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4078 NW 44th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,500 | $1.66 | 70d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4122 NW 48th Terrace Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,999 | $1.10 | 63d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5048 NW 35th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 63d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5191 NW 34th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,400 | $1.82 | 70d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3335 NW 52nd Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 70d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5423 NW 35th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $3,200 | $1.93 | 70d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5254 NW 43rd Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $3,500 | $2.03 | 70d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5333 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 63d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5361 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 70d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5347 NW 46th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,550 | $1.64 | 70d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5471 NW 34th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,900 | $2.20 | 70d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4342 NW 55th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2172 | $2,600 | $1.20 | 63d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5237 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $4,500 | $2.90 | 70d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3384 NW 54th Ct Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 70d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5530 NW 40th Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 70d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5293 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,450 | $1.58 | 70d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4395 NW 55th Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,700 | $1.46 | 70d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5358 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 70d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5416 NW 46th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,300 | $1.45 | 63d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5375 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,350 | $1.50 | 70d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5389 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 70d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5353 N US Highway 27 Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1169 | $1,785 | $1.53 | 70d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5521 NW 45th Ln Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $2,600 | $1.40 | 63d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5391 NW 55th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 70d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2048 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 70d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2038 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 70d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $222,990 Active 515 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $222,990 Active 514 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $222,990 Active 513 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $222,990 Active 512 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $222,990 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $222,990 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $222,990 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $222,990 Active 505 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $222,990 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $222,990 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $222,990 Active 499 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $222,990 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $222,990 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $222,990 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $222,990 Active 492 DOM
-
2026-07-16pricedays on market $222,990 Active 491 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $224,990 Active 490 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $224,990 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $224,990 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $224,990 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $224,990 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-07-10pricedays on market $224,990 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $227,990 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $227,990 Active 483 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $227,990 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $227,990 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $227,990 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $227,990 Active 479 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $227,990 Active 478 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $227,990 Active 477 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $227,990 Active 476 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $227,990 Active 475 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $227,990 Active 474 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $227,990 Active 473 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $227,990 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-25pricedays on market $227,990 Active 470 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $229,990 Active 468 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $229,990 Active 467 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,990 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $229,990 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $237,990 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $237,990 Active 462 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $237,990 Active 461 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $237,990 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $237,990 Active 458 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $237,990 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $237,990 Active 455 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $237,990 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $237,990 Active 453 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $237,990 Active 449 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,703 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,851 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 8.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,622
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,491
- − Property taxes
- −$1,703
- − Insurance
- −$1,115
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,290
- − Management
- −$2,290
- − HOA
- −$6,792
- − Depreciation
- −$6,487
- Taxable loss
- −$4,545
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,091
- After-tax cash flow
- $60/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a resort-style living environment. It is move-in ready and offers high potential for both resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 365,905 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,807
- Household income
- $65,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.62%
- Current HPI
- 194.3857
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.12%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-13.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $237,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $237,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $239,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $239,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $247,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $247,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $252,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $252,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-30 Listed $267,990 Zillow
- 2025-06-11 Price Changed $267,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-11 Listed $273,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+19.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,703 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…