Fourplex
316 S Aurora St · Ithaca, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$690,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Priced at assessed value, this large 4 unit on South Hill is conveniently located near The Commons, Cornell University, and Ithaca College. This property includes two tax parcels with each side featuring a 3 bedroom and a 4 bedroom apartment, for a total of four units. The property also boasts on-site parking, laundry income, and rent growth potential for the savvy investor.
Key facts
- On-site parking
- Laundry income
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2×3bd/1.0ba + 2×4bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $690k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($52k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $690k).
- Recommended offer: $607k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.6% in Ithaca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#210 in NY, #3,240 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, employment D+, cost of living D.
- Ithaca City School District (urban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #195 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northeast School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 385 students, 30% FRL); Boynton Middle School (math 36% / reading 64%, grade C, #261 of 729 statewide, top 36%, 526 students, 36% FRL); Ithaca Senior High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,341 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 420 active listings in the ZIP; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,986/mo per unit this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $193k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 236 days — a 12% lower offer ($607k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 236 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.03%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $898,891
- List price
- $690,000
- Delta
- -23.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 S Plain St | 0.49mi | 6/— (-1) | 6,040 (-4%) | 13mo | $490,000 | $81 | 54 |
| 311-313 S Aurora St | 0.03mi | 9/6.0 (+2) | 5,488 (-13%) | 11mo | $727,000 | $132 | 48 |
| 204 N Geneva St | 0.41mi | 6/4.0 (-1) | 4,699 (-25%) | 25mo | $684,000 | $146 | 23 |
| 402 N Cayuga St | 0.46mi | 5/1.5 (-2) | 4,733 (-25%) | 50mo | $485,000 | $102 | 21 |
| 205 Devon Rd | 1.76mi | 5/8.0 (-2) | 7,525 (+19%) | 14mo | $2,385,000 | $317 | 8 |
| 154 Troy Rd | 2.19mi | 7/7.0 | 5,096 (-19%) | 14mo | $630,000 | $124 | 8 |
| 105 Needham Pl | 1.29mi | 6/4.5 (-1) | 4,868 (-23%) | 51mo | $826,000 | $170 | 5 |
| 422 Highland Rd | 1.70mi | 5/5.0 (-2) | 5,390 (-14%) | 60mo | $999,999 | $186 | 1 |
| 17 Parkway Pl | 1.71mi | 5/4.5 (-2) | 4,829 (-23%) | 56mo | $880,000 | $182 | 0 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $192,971
- Equity at exit
- $102,881
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $643,535
- Equity at exit
- $59,659
Cash invested: $193,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14850
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 420
- Price-to-rent
- 18.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,946 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,618
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,180 /mo · $14,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$288
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,509
- Net cashflow
- $4,351
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $6,312 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,156 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,156 |
| 2× units | 4 | 1 | $5,634 |
| #3 | 4 | 1 | $2,817 |
| #4 | 4 | 1 | $2,817 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,946 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,742 | -5% $4,547 | +0% $4,351 | +5% $4,156 | +10% $3,961 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,407 | -5% $3,879 | +0% $4,351 | +5% $4,823 | +10% $5,295 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,699 | -0.5pp $4,527 | base $4,351 | +0.5pp $4,172 | +1.0pp $3,991 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $172,500
- Closing costs
- $20,700
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 Hillview Pl Ithaca, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,100 | $2.62 | 93d | 4 | 0.14mi |
| 115 James St Ithaca, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | — | $2,300 | — | 93d | 2 | 0.21mi |
| 815 S Aurora St Ithaca, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $2,125 | $2.27 | 93d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 127 College Ave Ithaca, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $2,885 | $3.01 | 93d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 430 W State St Ithaca, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 727 | $3,410 | $4.69 | 93d | 34 | 0.57mi |
| 211 Linden Ave Ithaca, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $3,218 | $4.23 | 93d | 4 | 0.59mi |
| 324 Spencer Rd Ithaca, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,545 | $2.99 | 93d | 8 | 0.71mi |
| 308 Fairmount Ave Ithaca, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,775 | $4.44 | 93d | 4 | 0.78mi |
| 107 Elmwood Ave Ithaca, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | — | $2,600 | — | 70d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 323 Taughannock Blvd Ithaca, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1167 | $6,402 | $5.48 | 93d | 6 | 0.95mi |
| 139 Chestnut St Ithaca, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,895 | $2.23 | 93d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $690,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $690,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $690,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $690,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $690,000 Active 232 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $690,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $690,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $690,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $690,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $690,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $690,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $690,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $690,000 Active 218 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $690,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $690,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $690,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $690,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $690,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $690,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $690,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $690,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $690,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $690,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $690,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $690,000 Active 203 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $690,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $690,000 Active 201 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $690,000 Active 200 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $690,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $690,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $690,000 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $690,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $690,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $690,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $690,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $690,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $690,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $690,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $690,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $690,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $690,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $690,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $690,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $690,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $690,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $690,000 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $690,000 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $690,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $690,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $690,000 Active 169 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $14,162 · $1,180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,162 · $1,180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $143,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,651
- − Property taxes
- −$14,162
- − Insurance
- −$3,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,468
- − Management
- −$11,468
- − Depreciation
- −$20,073
- Taxable income
- $44,080
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,579
- After-tax cash flow
- $41,635/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
The property is a multi-family home with four units, located near The Commons, Cornell University, and Ithaca College. The exterior and interior condition is fair, with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. Painting and landscaping can significantly increase the property's value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets appear to be in good condition, with no visible signs of damage or wear.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures appear to be in good condition, with no visible signs of damage or wear.
- Minor Exterior siding — The siding appears to be in good condition, with no visible signs of damage or wear.
- Minor Flooring — The flooring appears to be in good condition, with no visible signs of damage or wear.
- Minor Interior walls/paint — The walls and paint appear to be in good condition, with no visible signs of damage or wear.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Painting can improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, which can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value, making it more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ithaca City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615570
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,528
- Composite
- 54.01/100
- National rank
- #1397
- State rank
- #195 of 590 in NY
Livability — Ithaca
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #210
- US rank
- #3240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ithaca, NY
- County
- Tompkins County · 113,958 people
- City population
- 68,610
- Metro
- Ithaca, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,610
- Household income
- $71,445
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Tompkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,958 people
- By 2030
- 118,774 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 125,927 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 133,599 · +17.2%
- By 2075
- 156,759 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 169,896 · +49.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Tompkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+50.6) · D 75.3% · R 24.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+50.6 2020: D+49.2 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+39.8 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.59%
- Current HPI
- 389.7215
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Ithaca, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+13981.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-15 Listed $690,000 CNYIS
- 2025-09-03 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-04-17 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-03-25 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2024-12-03 Listed $745,000 CNYIS
- 2023-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $825,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-13 Price Changed $4,900 RENT.
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $14,162 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…