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10791 River Rd
B Composite 73.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$110,000

10791 River Rd · Ama, LA 70031
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,069 sqft · SingleFamily · 174 Days on market
Built 1956 0.27 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Loads of potential for this 4 bed, 2 1/2 bath home nestled along River Road in Ama. Spacious kitchen and living room, gas fireplace and sunk in den. With some TLC, this home would be an absolute gem. X Flood zone to be verified by purchaser. Roof is 3 years old and A/C is 10 years old. Minutes from I310 and the Huey P. Long bridge.

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Gas fireplace
  • Sunk in den

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENGAS FIREPLACESUNK IN DENMINUTES FROM I310

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#346 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Charles Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #14 of 98 in LA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in St. Charles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • St. Charles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.64%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$339,316
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 Ellen St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,794 (-13%) 2mo $265,000 $148 41
417 Ellen St 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,794 (-13%) 14mo $293,900 $164 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$27,920
Equity at exit
$38,828
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$78,375
Equity at exit
$52,601

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70031

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,521 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$126 /mo · $1,513/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,032
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $449 -5% $417 +0% $386 +5% $355 +10% $324
Rent -10% $266 -5% $326 +0% $386 +5% $446 +10% $507
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $414 base $386 +0.5pp $358 +1.0pp $329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 333-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $110,000 Pending 174 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,513 · $126/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,513 · $126/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,252
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,513
− Insurance
−$1,348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,460
− Management
−$1,460
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$746
After-tax cash flow
$3,890/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Charles Parish
NCES district ID
2201440
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$60,261
Composite
40.0/100
National rank
#3830
State rank
#14 of 98 in LA

Livability — Ama

Score
56/100
State rank
#346
US rank
#22965

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ama, LA
City population
1,473
Population (ZIP)
1,473

Population outlook (St. Charles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,296 people
By 2030
53,030 · -0.5%
By 2040
51,646 · -3.1%
By 2050
49,771 · -6.6%
By 2075
46,993 · -11.8%
By 2100
44,473 · -16.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (52%)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 43% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 22% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Charles

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.1pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.4 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+27.8 2008: R+31.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.22%
Current HPI
124.1817
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-72.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
  • 2025-09-05 Sold (MLS) $99,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-07-23 Pending GSREIN
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $110,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-02-05 Price Changed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Price Changed $125,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $135,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-01-18 Price Changed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-12-13 Price Changed $135,000 GSREIN
  • 2024-10-10 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-10-10 Price Changed $145,000 GSREIN
  • 2024-07-30 Price Changed $155,000 GSREIN
  • 2024-07-17 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2006-09-18 Listed $365,000 GSREIN
  • 2006-09-18 Listed $365,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,513 · +175.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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