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13518 Scott St
B- Composite 69.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,000

13518 Scott St · Gulfport, MS 39503
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,271 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1960 0.37 ac lot $121/sqft · 11% below area Est $174k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Priced to sell! This recently updated split floorplan-three-bedroom home features a fully remodeled bathroom and is ideal for a first-time buyer or small family. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof (architectural shingles), HVAC, and insulation—all approximately 4 years old. Durable, low maintenance Hardi plank exterior and recent partial subfloor replacement. Situated minutes from A rated schools and located in a no flood insurance zone. Relax or entertain on the back patio with composite decking or the new concrete front patio on a spacious . 37-acre lot. One mile from Highway 605! Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Hardi plank exterior
  • 0.37 acre lot
  • Built 1960

Tags

FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMHARDI PLANK EXTERIORNEW CONCRETE FRONT PATIONO FLOOD INSURANCE ZONEMINUTES FROM A RATED SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.37 acre (dimensions 151.0 x 107.0)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with gravel surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One level; Raised foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Board & batten and HardiPlank siding; Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Built date available from public records
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Move-in ready condition; Patio and porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $154k).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 769 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $154k implies a 1440% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,380 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.76%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,728
List price
$154,000
Delta
-11.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13321 Gwen Ave 0.58mi 2/2.0 1,300 (+2%) 2mo $125,000 $96 63
13691 Lawton Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,220 (-4%) 1mo $205,000 $168 52
14037 Sanctuary Trails Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,348 (+6%) 3mo $249,900 $185 51
14111 Sanctuary Trails Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,388 (+9%) 0mo $248,900 $179 51
13292 Turtle Creek Pkwy 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,312 (+3%) 4mo $223,000 $170 50
13727 Churchwood Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,237 (-3%) 4mo $219,900 $178 49
14202 Debra Barbee Ct 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,379 (+8%) 6mo $255,000 $185 48
14116 Sanctuary Trails Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,398 (+10%) 4mo $227,900 $163 45
14201 Sanctuary Trails Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,384 (+9%) 11mo $202,400 $146 45
13637 Lawton Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (-8%) 2mo $199,000 $169 45
13268 Turtle Creek Pkwy 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,318 (+4%) 10mo $219,900 $167 43
14194 Sanctuary Trails Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,421 (+12%) 10mo $249,000 $175 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$9,034
Equity at exit
$22,962
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$74,064
Equity at exit
$13,315

Cash invested: $43,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
769
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,708 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$808
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $660/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,173
Max offer price $154,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $510 -5% $466 +0% $423 +5% $379 +10% $335
Rent -10% $288 -5% $355 +0% $423 +5% $490 +10% $558
Rate -1.0pp $500 -0.5pp $462 base $423 +0.5pp $383 +1.0pp $342

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,500
Closing costs
$4,620
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13469 Mary Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,800 $1.15 44d 1 0.13mi
13463 Mary Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1565 $1,775 $1.13 44d 1 0.14mi
13498 Dee Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,750 $1.24 44d 1 0.14mi
13459 Gorman St Gulfport, MS 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,649 $1.65 44d 1 0.17mi
14179 Debra Barbee Ct Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1379 $1,849 $1.34 22d 1 0.45mi
13444 Willow Oak Cir Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.5 1679 $1,750 $1.04 44d 1 0.84mi
13145 Turtle Creek Pkwy Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.5 1679 $1,795 $1.07 44d 1 0.93mi
13070 Tracewood Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1190 $1,400 $1.18 22d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $154,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $154,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $154,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $164,900 620-char remark
  17. 2026-04-30
    listed $170,000 Active 620-char remark
  18. 2023-03-14
    soldstatus
  19. 2021-11-23
    soldstatus $10,000
  20. 2021-09-15
    historical
  21. 2016-03-01
    soldstatus
  22. 2013-06-27
    soldstatus
  23. 2013-04-18
    listed $10,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$660 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,217 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$556/yr (+$46/mo · 84.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,497
− Mortgage interest
−$8,626
− Property taxes
−$660
− Insurance
−$770
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,640
− Management
−$1,640
− Depreciation
−$4,480
Taxable income
$2,681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$643
After-tax cash flow
$4,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+1312.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $154,000 MLSU
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $159,900 MLSU
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $164,900 MLSU
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $170,000 MLSU
  • 2023-03-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-15 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2016-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-06-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-04-18 Listed $10,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $660 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…