5522 Swaying Palm · Cleveland, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.09%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.4/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Recently remodeled 3/2 on half an acre of land. 2200 sqft of living space. Every bedroom is large in size. Bonus room can be used as on office, playroom, or made into a mother-in-law room. Tucked far back from the road for quiet and privacy. Fenced in dog run with large shade trees. 2 car carport. Plenty of space for boats, RVs, etc. This house shows well. NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE. NO HOA. Make sure to check this out before making a buying decision. Call with any questions and for a showing today.
Key facts
- Fenced in dog run
- Remodeled
- Large shade trees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; Living area listed as 2,200 (public records); total building area 2,520; Universal property ID available
- HOA & community: No HOA/association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Publicly maintained asphalt road access
- Home design: Residential manufactured home (double wide); One level; Faces west
- Construction: Metal siding and frame construction; Metal and shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.55-acre lot (approximately 1/2 acre)
- Exterior features: Dog run; French doors; Private mailbox; Rain gutters; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Window treatments; Skylight
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $255k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.8% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#574 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 1044 active listings in the ZIP; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $259k implies a 332% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.16%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-11,490
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $37,743
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33982
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 1044
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,595 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,817/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $579 | -5% $506 | +0% $433 | +5% $359 | +10% $286 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $228 | -5% $330 | +0% $433 | +5% $535 | +10% $638 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $563 | -0.5pp $499 | base $433 | +0.5pp $366 | +1.0pp $297 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $259,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 497-char remark
-
2026-06-07$259,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,817 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,150 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 18.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$1,817
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,492
- − Management
- −$2,492
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable income
- $1,006
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #10905
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,006
- Household income
- $72,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 43.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.25%
- Current HPI
- 448.5895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2947.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $259,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $259,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $269,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $279,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $269,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-28 Price Changed $274,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $279,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $284,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-10 Price Changed $289,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-08 Listed $299,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-01 Price Changed $309,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-16 Price Changed $319,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-01 Listed $329,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1994-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,817 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…