2822 Epsilon Trl · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready and meticulously maintained! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Flint offers pride of ownership throughout. From the moment you walk in, you'll appreciate how well cared for this home has been. Features include a spacious living area, full basement with partially finished space perfect for a rec room, home office, or additional living area, and an exceptionally dry basement that provides peace of mind and plenty of storage. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard ideal for pets, children, or entertaining, along with a detached 2-car garage. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or looking for a turnkey property, this home checks all the boxes. Truly move-in ready.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Detached garage
- 5,663 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed by The Brokerage Real Estate Enthusiasts
- HOA & community: Located in the Rollingwood Village subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding and stone exterior
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Back yard with fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.83%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,254
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2806 Epsilon Trl | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,018 (-0%) | 1mo | $92,000 | $90 | 97 |
| 4907 Delta Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-1%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $50 | 90 |
| 2909 E Pierson Rd | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+0%) | 2mo | $23,500 | $23 | 87 |
| 2727 Eaton Pl | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 1mo | $88,500 | $89 | 83 |
| 2710 Eaton Pl | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 995 (-3%) | 4mo | $57,000 | $57 | 80 |
| 2825 Eaton Pl | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 985 (-4%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $36 | 80 |
| 2802 Eaton Pl | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 985 (-4%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $41 | 79 |
| 4808 Alpha Way | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 963 (-6%) | 4mo | $63,500 | $66 | 73 |
| 4923 Alpha Way | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 966 (-6%) | 4mo | $64,700 | $67 | 72 |
| 2709 Gamma Ln | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+13%) | 4mo | $43,000 | $37 | 69 |
| 3291 Drexel Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (+7%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $115 | 56 |
| 3013 Hampstead Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (-10%) | 2mo | $31,000 | $34 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $9,559
- Equity at exit
- $10,735
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $35,684
- Equity at exit
- $6,225
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48506
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $976/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $374 | -5% $353 | +0% $333 | +5% $313 | +10% $292 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $251 | -5% $292 | +0% $333 | +5% $374 | +10% $415 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $369 | -0.5pp $351 | base $333 | +0.5pp $314 | +1.0pp $295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $975 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6614 Elmridge Dr Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $895 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $72,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-30$72,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $976 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,042 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$67/yr (+$6/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$976
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$999
- − Management
- −$999
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $3,025
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$726
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,712
- Household income
- $47,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.31%
- Current HPI
- 90.0494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $72,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $976 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…