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2822 Epsilon Trl
C Composite 59.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,000

2822 Epsilon Trl · Flint, MI 48506
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,022 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1956 5,663 sqft lot Est $58k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-in ready and meticulously maintained! This beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Flint offers pride of ownership throughout. From the moment you walk in, you'll appreciate how well cared for this home has been. Features include a spacious living area, full basement with partially finished space perfect for a rec room, home office, or additional living area, and an exceptionally dry basement that provides peace of mind and plenty of storage. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced backyard ideal for pets, children, or entertaining, along with a detached 2-car garage. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or looking for a turnkey property, this home checks all the boxes. Truly move-in ready.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Detached garage
  • 5,663 sq ft lot

Tags

FULL BASEMENTPARTIALLY FINISHED SPACEEXCEPTIONALLY DRY BASEMENTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by The Brokerage Real Estate Enthusiasts
  • HOA & community: Located in the Rollingwood Village subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding and stone exterior
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard with fencing; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.83%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$58,254
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2806 Epsilon Trl 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,018 (-0%) 1mo $92,000 $90 97
4907 Delta Dr 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,008 (-1%) 2mo $50,000 $50 90
2909 E Pierson Rd 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+0%) 2mo $23,500 $23 87
2727 Eaton Pl 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-2%) 1mo $88,500 $89 83
2710 Eaton Pl 0.27mi 3/1.0 995 (-3%) 4mo $57,000 $57 80
2825 Eaton Pl 0.27mi 3/1.0 985 (-4%) 2mo $35,000 $36 80
2802 Eaton Pl 0.24mi 3/1.0 985 (-4%) 4mo $40,000 $41 79
4808 Alpha Way 0.31mi 3/1.0 963 (-6%) 4mo $63,500 $66 73
4923 Alpha Way 0.33mi 3/1.0 966 (-6%) 4mo $64,700 $67 72
2709 Gamma Ln 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+13%) 4mo $43,000 $37 69
3291 Drexel Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+7%) 0mo $125,000 $115 56
3013 Hampstead Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 924 (-10%) 2mo $31,000 $34 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$9,559
Equity at exit
$10,735
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$35,684
Equity at exit
$6,225

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $976/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $619
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $374 -5% $353 +0% $333 +5% $313 +10% $292
Rent -10% $251 -5% $292 +0% $333 +5% $374 +10% $415
Rate -1.0pp $369 -0.5pp $351 base $333 +0.5pp $314 +1.0pp $295

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 8d 1 0.77mi
3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 14d 1 0.80mi
6614 Elmridge Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 895 $895 $1.00 44d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $72,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-05-30
    listed $72,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$976 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,042 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$67/yr (+$6/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,486
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$976
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$999
− Management
−$999
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$3,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$726
After-tax cash flow
$3,271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $72,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $976 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…