14401 78th Rd Unit 2B · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This gorgeous, bright, and sunny one bedroom apartment features an open space layout modern kitchen and living room. Recently fully renovated with brand new kitchen island, furniture and stainless appliances, new bathroom with modern lighting and Bluetooth speaker. Air conditioner, bar stools, and TV mount are included. Move-in ready condition. Located in quiet residential neighborhood but close to Main St, supermarket, restaurant, bank, pharmacy, post offices, and laundry facilities. Easy access to Manhattan or Queens via local bus 44, 20A/B, 46, express bus to the city, and nearby subway E & F. Near Grand Central Parkway, Van Wyck, and Long Island Expressway. Street parking is easy.
Key facts
- Open space kitchen
- Nearby subway
- Nearby supermarket
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage available (has garage); Parking waitlist
- Utilities: Electric service by Con Edison; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Water connected; Public trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; 3 stories
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop and gas oven; Cooktop; Exhaust fan; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Built-in sound system
- Laundry & utility: Shared laundry area in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-16,628
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $9,901
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11367
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,290 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 6d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 489 | $2,100 | $4.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 152-18 Union Tpke Unit 8S Queens, NY | — | 1.0 | 496 | $1,950 | $3.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 150-25 72nd Rd Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 123-40 83rd Ave Unit 2107 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,573 | $3.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5G Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,750 | $4.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 13828 Queens Blvd Unit 2E Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 7d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 13828 Queens Blvd Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $2,700 | $4.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5B Briarwood, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,600 | $5.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 163-07 72nd Ave Unit 2G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 402 | $2,000 | $4.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 163-07 72nd Ave Unit 3G Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 716 | $2,900 | $4.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8340 Austin St Unit 7N Kew Gardens, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $2,000 | $3.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11019 72nd Rd Unit 1B Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,200 | $4.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 110-19 72nd Rd Unit 1A Forest Hills, NY | — | 1.0 | 500 | $2,395 | $4.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8449 168th St Jamaica, NY | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,850 | $3.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10919 72nd Rd Unit 6F Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $3,485 | $5.01 | 11d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8321 Lefferts Blvd Kew Gardens, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $2,100 | $3.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $2,900 | $4.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10825 72nd Ave Forest Hills, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,500 | $5.00 | 4d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8380 118th St Unit 2P Kew Gardens, NY | — | 1.0 | 550 | $1,900 | $3.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 122-08 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8375 117th St Unit 5E Richmond Hill, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,650 | $4.08 | 11d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8375 117th St Richmond Hill, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,695 | $4.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8371 116th St Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $2,725 | $3.96 | 5d | 2 | 1.43mi |
| 10740 70th Rd Unit 7F Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,650 | $3.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 12015 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $219,000
-
2025-10-20price $229,000
-
2025-08-27$240,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,285
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,198
- − Management
- −$2,198
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $64
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,923
- Household income
- $75,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2010.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · China, Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Chinese 16% Spanish 15% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.36%
- Current HPI
- 220.6177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-8.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $219,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $229,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-27 Listed $240,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…