🏷️ Likely Rental
19724 Elkhart St · Harper Woods, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Income producing Aluminum/Vinyl sided 1 Story Ranch with basement in great area! The pictures are from just before the current tenant. This is a solid investment with a newer white kitchen, vinyl windows, the roof has been replaced and not original. Hardwood floors, updated bath, etc. .. This is an "AS-IS" sale and the owner will not make any repairs (not that any are known yto be necessary. ) There is easy access to parks, shops, restaurants, golf courses, I-94, etc so this is a real winner! AGENTS, Check the agent remarks or showing time for details on the current lease etc. SHOWN UPON ACCEPTED OFFER ONLY. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT. AGENTS, SEE AGENT REMARKS OR SHOWING TIME FOR OFFER LINK.
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- Updated bath
- Newer white kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 114 (0.11 acres)
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built prior to or in 2026 (year built not specified)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance list provided
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes all rooms)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Full, partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 7.7% in Harper Woods — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.42%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,981
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19380 Roscommon St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 684 (+4%) | 5mo | $100,500 | $147 | 79 |
| 19404 Roscommon St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+6%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $121 | 76 |
| 19670 Mccormick St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+5%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $79 | 74 |
| 19379 Mccormick St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+5%) | 4mo | $118,900 | $171 | 74 |
| 19139 Kenosha St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 681 (+3%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $140 | 71 |
| 19331 Mccormick St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+5%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $29 | 70 |
| 19455 Mccormick St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 709 (+7%) | 8mo | $29,000 | $41 | 69 |
| 18933 Kingsville St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+2%) | 8mo | $72,000 | $107 | 66 |
| 18996 Roscommon St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 698 (+6%) | 5mo | $98,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 19305 Roscommon St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 8mo | $89,500 | $124 | 64 |
| 18700 Mccormick St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 706 (+7%) | 5mo | $63,000 | $89 | 52 |
| 12505 Laing St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 752 (+14%) | 3mo | $54,600 | $73 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $17,033
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.34×
- Total profit
- $56,187
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48225
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,053 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,296/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $384
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $418 | -5% $401 | +0% $384 | +5% $367 | +10% $350 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $301 | -5% $342 | +0% $384 | +5% $425 | +10% $467 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $414 | -0.5pp $399 | base $384 | +0.5pp $368 | +1.0pp $353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,040 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $875 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 16927 Chandler Park Dr Unit 3_ Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-17status $60,000 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01status $60,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$60,000 Active 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Income producing Aluminum/Vinyl sided 1 Story Ranch with basement in great area! The pictures are from just before the current tenant. This is a solid investment with a newer white kitchen, vinyl windows, the roof has been replaced and not original. Hardwood floors, updated bath, etc. .. This is an "AS-IS" sale and the owner will not make any repairs (not that any are known yto be necessary. ) There is easy access to parks, shops, restaurants, golf courses, I-94, etc so this is a real winner! AGENTS, Check the agent remarks or showing time for details on the current lease etc. SHOWN UPON ACCEPTED OFFER ONLY. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT. AGENTS, SEE AGENT REMARKS OR SHOWING TIME FOR OFFER LINK.
-
2026-05-14$60,000 Active
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Income producing Aluminum/Vinyl sided 1 Story Ranch with basement in great area! The pictures are from just before the current tenant. This is a solid investment with a newer white kitchen, vinyl windows, the roof has been replaced and not original. Hardwood floors, updated bath, etc. .. This is an "AS-IS" sale and the owner will not make any repairs (not that any are known yto be necessary. ) There is easy access to parks, shops, restaurants, golf courses, I-94, etc so this is a real winner! AGENTS, Check the agent remarks or showing time for details on the current lease etc. SHOWN UPON ACCEPTED OFFER ONLY. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT. AGENTS, SEE AGENT REMARKS OR SHOWING TIME FOR OFFER LINK.
-
2025-05-21historical
-
2025-05-15status Active
-
2025-05-15status Active
-
2025-05-04historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2025-05-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-04-30$65,000 Active
-
2025-04-30$65,000 Active
-
2019-10-01soldstatus $55,000
-
2017-01-11historical
-
2017-01-06soldstatus $25,000 Sold
-
2017-01-06soldstatus $25,000 Closed
-
2016-11-17status Pending
-
2016-11-17status Pending
-
2016-10-14status Active
-
2016-10-12historical
-
2016-09-23$29,900 Active
-
2016-09-23$29,900 Active
-
2003-01-29soldstatus $47,500
-
2002-11-13soldstatus $48,500
-
2002-10-14historical
-
2002-10-01$59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,296 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,296 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,296
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,010
- − Management
- −$1,010
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,907
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$938
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harper Woods School District
- NCES district ID
- 2617760
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,155
- Composite
- 8.8/100
- National rank
- #9892
- State rank
- #524 of 540 in MI
Livability — Harper Woods
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5054
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harper Woods, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 16,098
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
- Household income
- $61,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 410.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 181.4961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.10%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+1.7% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-15 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-04 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-04 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-30 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-30 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2017-01-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-01-06 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-01-06 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-11-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-11-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-14 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-09-23 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-23 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2002-11-13 Sold (MLS) $48,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-10-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-10-01 Listed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,296 · -46.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…