6810 Belclare Rd · Dundalk, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming single-family home in the sought-after Dundalk Highlands community, offering incredible potential for homeowners and investors alike. This cozy residence features two bedrooms on the main level, along with a versatile third bedroom in the spacious upper-level loft—perfect for a private retreat, home office, or flex space. The main level includes a full bathroom, while the unfinished basement provides additional opportunity with a convenient half bath already in place—ideal for future expansion or added value. Outside, the property truly shines with a large, private yard and an expansive driveway offering ample off-street parking. The oversized detached garage is a standout feature, complete with additional upper-level space that could be used for storage, a workshop, or future customization. Whether you’re looking to renovate, invest, or create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities in a well-established neighborhood. This is an estate sale.
Key facts
- Expansive driveway
- Private yard
- Upper-level space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-489/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (3.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Dundalk Elementary (math 6% / reading 8%, grade F, #726 of 860 statewide, top 86%, 743 students, 74% FRL); Dundalk Middle (math 2% / reading 13%, grade F, #217 of 225 statewide, top 97%, 860 students, 64% FRL); Dundalk High (math 5% / reading 33%, grade F, #177 of 222 statewide, top 80%, 2,193 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 39% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Baltimore County Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.78%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,641
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -13.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3419 Sollers Point Rd | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 852 (-11%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $164 | 47 |
| 3142 Yorkway | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,088 (+13%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $234 | 44 |
| 3309 Sollers Point Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 910 (-5%) | 22mo | $259,000 | $285 | 42 |
| 6517 Baltimore | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 906 (-6%) | 20mo | $130,000 | $143 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-44,434
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.00×
- Total profit
- $-62,819
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21222
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$213 /mo · $2,551/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $87 | -5% $23 | +0% $-41 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-185 | -5% $-113 | +0% $-41 | +5% $31 | +10% $104 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $73 | -0.5pp $16 | base $-41 | +0.5pp $-99 | +1.0pp $-158 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3443 Dunhaven Rd Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,900 | $1.87 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3481 McShane Way Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $2,150 | $2.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7003 Dunmanway Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,345 | $1.74 | 3d | 13 | 0.36mi |
| 2976 Cornwall Rd Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,590 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 108 Chestnut St Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,300 | $1.60 | 18d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2624 Liberty Pkwy Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,856 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3503 Sollers Point Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,850 | $2.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6545 Baltimore Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6552 Parnell Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 885 | $1,500 | $1.69 | 19d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7718 Meath Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $2,200 | $2.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 214 Center St Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,795 | $1.81 | 12d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 135 Carver Rd Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,300 | $1.72 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2125 Cameron Dr Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $1,350 | $1.94 | 45d | 9 | 1.08mi |
| 511 Avondale Rd Dundalk, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1146 | $1,760 | $1.54 | 0d | 72 | 1.11mi |
| 8220 Cornwall Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,775 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7901 Stratman Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,647 | $1.85 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1955 Walnut Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13price $225,000 1015-char remark
Show marketing remark (1015 chars)
Welcome to this charming single-family home in the sought-after Dundalk Highlands community, offering incredible potential for homeowners and investors alike. This cozy residence features two bedrooms on the main level, along with a versatile third bedroom in the spacious upper-level loft—perfect for a private retreat, home office, or flex space. The main level includes a full bathroom, while the unfinished basement provides additional opportunity with a convenient half bath already in place—ideal for future expansion or added value. Outside, the property truly shines with a large, private yard and an expansive driveway offering ample off-street parking. The oversized detached garage is a standout feature, complete with additional upper-level space that could be used for storage, a workshop, or future customization. Whether you’re looking to renovate, invest, or create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities in a well-established neighborhood. This is an estate sale.
-
2026-04-21price $235,000 1015-char remark
Show marketing remark (1015 chars)
Welcome to this charming single-family home in the sought-after Dundalk Highlands community, offering incredible potential for homeowners and investors alike. This cozy residence features two bedrooms on the main level, along with a versatile third bedroom in the spacious upper-level loft—perfect for a private retreat, home office, or flex space. The main level includes a full bathroom, while the unfinished basement provides additional opportunity with a convenient half bath already in place—ideal for future expansion or added value. Outside, the property truly shines with a large, private yard and an expansive driveway offering ample off-street parking. The oversized detached garage is a standout feature, complete with additional upper-level space that could be used for storage, a workshop, or future customization. Whether you’re looking to renovate, invest, or create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities in a well-established neighborhood. This is an estate sale.
-
2026-04-15$245,000 Active 1015-char remark
Show marketing remark (1015 chars)
Welcome to this charming single-family home in the sought-after Dundalk Highlands community, offering incredible potential for homeowners and investors alike. This cozy residence features two bedrooms on the main level, along with a versatile third bedroom in the spacious upper-level loft—perfect for a private retreat, home office, or flex space. The main level includes a full bathroom, while the unfinished basement provides additional opportunity with a convenient half bath already in place—ideal for future expansion or added value. Outside, the property truly shines with a large, private yard and an expansive driveway offering ample off-street parking. The oversized detached garage is a standout feature, complete with additional upper-level space that could be used for storage, a workshop, or future customization. Whether you’re looking to renovate, invest, or create your dream home, this property is full of possibilities in a well-established neighborhood. This is an estate sale.
-
2005-12-07soldstatus $210,000
-
2005-09-16soldstatus $210,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
DRASTICALLY REDUCED!! This 3BR home located on almost 1/4 acre has so much potentialThe property includes a 2-car garage w/ stairs to large storage roomUpdated kitchen w/ L-shaped walls of cherry cabinets & recessed lightsLarge LR & separate DR for entertainmentBasement unfinished but has lots of space for you to design & build rooms-OWNER SAYS MAKE AN OFFER!!
-
2005-07-28historical 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
DRASTICALLY REDUCED!! This 3BR home located on almost 1/4 acre has so much potentialThe property includes a 2-car garage w/ stairs to large storage roomUpdated kitchen w/ L-shaped walls of cherry cabinets & recessed lightsLarge LR & separate DR for entertainmentBasement unfinished but has lots of space for you to design & build rooms-OWNER SAYS MAKE AN OFFER!!
-
2005-06-29$225,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
DRASTICALLY REDUCED!! This 3BR home located on almost 1/4 acre has so much potentialThe property includes a 2-car garage w/ stairs to large storage roomUpdated kitchen w/ L-shaped walls of cherry cabinets & recessed lightsLarge LR & separate DR for entertainmentBasement unfinished but has lots of space for you to design & build rooms-OWNER SAYS MAKE AN OFFER!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,551 · $213/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,551 · $213/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,957
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,551
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,757
- − Management
- −$1,757
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$4,381
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $562/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Dundalk
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundalk, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,407
- Household income
- $64,141
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2566.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.44%
- Current HPI
- 228.4218
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $235,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-16 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MRIS
- 2005-07-28 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-06-29 Listed $225,000 MRIS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,551 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…