4008 Seneca Pkwy · Niagara Falls, NY 14304

$100,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 2 Days on market

Built 2002

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.8/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4008 Seneca Parkway in the desirable Tuscarora Village Community! This meticulously maintained double-wide home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a spacious primary suite with a bonus room that can serve as an office, walk-in closet, or flex space. Recent updates include a new roof in 2023, with the furnace, central AC, and water heater all replaced within the last seven years. Outside, enjoy a fully fenced yard and storage shed for added convenience. Experience all the benefits of a spacious 3-bedroom ranch home for less than the price of renting!

Key facts

• Double-wide home
• Bonus room
• Storage shed

Tags

• DOUBLE-WIDE HOME
• SPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITE
• BONUS ROOM
• NEW ROOF
• FULLY FENCED YARD
• STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Land lease: $551

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
• Home design: Single-story home; Double-wide mobile home (Champion); Existing/resale condition; Asphalt shingle roof
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Poured foundation and slab
• Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Fully fenced yard; Shed(s) and additional storage

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Pantry; Eat-in/country-style kitchen with space for dining
• Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varied flooring types throughout
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
• Heating & cooling: Gas heat; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Country-style kitchen; Pantry; Main level primary suite
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Niagara-Wheatfield Central School District (rural): math 64% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #163 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.58% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.01%
• DSCR: 2.07
• GRM: 5.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.70×
• Total profit: $19,506
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 25.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.25×
• Total profit: $63,034
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14304

• Active inventory: 142
• Price-to-rent: 5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,584 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$333
• Net cashflow: $560

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   remarks 579-char remark
3. 2026-06-16
   listed $100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,008
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$1,500
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,521
• − Management: −$1,521
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $5,456
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,310
• After-tax cash flow: $5,414/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Niagara-Wheatfield Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3620850
• Math proficiency: 64% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 70% ▲ 10.00%
• Median HH income: $57,051
• Composite: 57.53/100
• National rank: #1067
• State rank: #163 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #956
• US rank: #18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Niagara County · 157,377 people
• City population: 62,983
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• Population (ZIP): 29,208
• Household income: $66,660
• Rent vs Own: 24.9% rent · 75.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 698.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 204,149 people
• By 2030: 197,900 · -3.1%
• By 2040: 182,239 · -10.7%
• By 2050: 165,198 · -19.1%
• By 2075: 129,416 · -36.6%
• By 2100: 96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

• 2024 margin: R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -231.77%
• Current HPI: 280.3295
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+66.8% since first listed

15 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $100,000 WNYREIS
• 2025-07-31 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2025-07-29 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
• 2025-07-21 Price Changed $105,000 WNYREIS
• 2025-03-14 Relisted — WNYREIS
• 2025-03-10 Contingent — WNYREIS
• 2025-03-03 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
• 2025-03-01 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
• 2024-12-05 Relisted — WNYREIS
• 2024-11-20 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2024-11-05 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
• 2016-09-16 Sold (MLS) $55,000 WNYREIS
• 2016-09-10 Pending — WNYREIS
• 2016-07-21 Contingent — WNYREIS
• 2016-04-19 Listed $59,950 WNYREIS