🏷️ Likely Rental
112 Windfern Dr · Youngsville, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity! This 3 bed, 2 bath home is currently tenant-occupied and features several recent upgrades including a new refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer, and updated kitchen sink and faucet. Bathrooms have been refreshed with new toilets, sinks, cabinetry, and hardware. The home has been re-leveled, had skirting added, and freshly painted throughout. With a termite plan in place and HVAC serviced twice a year, this property is well-maintained and move-in ready for future tenants or owners.
Key facts
- New stove
- Updated kitchen sink
- New refrigerator
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 4.8% in Youngsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in LA, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 675 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 327 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 327 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.88%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,500
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -32.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $13,519
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $43,636
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70592
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 675
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,954 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $564/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $504
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Village Green Dr Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 117 Harvey Cay Ln Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 127 Santa Marta Dr Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 119 Gadwall Dr Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1453 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 105 Firethorn Dr Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1453 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 502 Chemin Metairie Rd Unit B Youngsville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 201 Prescott Blvd Youngsville, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 829 | $1,956 | $2.36 | 13d | 14 | 1.16mi |
| 130 Windermere Cir Youngsville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $4,500 | $3.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1931 Chemin Metairie Pkwy Youngsville, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1132 | $1,899 | $1.68 | 13d | 69 | 1.31mi |
| 200 Crick Point WAY Youngsville, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,040 | $1.80 | 13d | 6 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2025-12-04status Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Investor opportunity! This 3 bed, 2 bath home is currently tenant-occupied and features several recent upgrades including a new refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer, and updated kitchen sink and faucet. Bathrooms have been refreshed with new toilets, sinks, cabinetry, and hardware. The home has been re-leveled, had skirting added, and freshly painted throughout. With a termite plan in place and HVAC serviced twice a year, this property is well-maintained and move-in ready for future tenants or owners.
-
2025-11-28status Pending 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Investor opportunity! This 3 bed, 2 bath home is currently tenant-occupied and features several recent upgrades including a new refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer, and updated kitchen sink and faucet. Bathrooms have been refreshed with new toilets, sinks, cabinetry, and hardware. The home has been re-leveled, had skirting added, and freshly painted throughout. With a termite plan in place and HVAC serviced twice a year, this property is well-maintained and move-in ready for future tenants or owners.
-
2025-07-12$100,000 Active 507-char remark
Show marketing remark (507 chars)
Investor opportunity! This 3 bed, 2 bath home is currently tenant-occupied and features several recent upgrades including a new refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer, and updated kitchen sink and faucet. Bathrooms have been refreshed with new toilets, sinks, cabinetry, and hardware. The home has been re-leveled, had skirting added, and freshly painted throughout. With a termite plan in place and HVAC serviced twice a year, this property is well-maintained and move-in ready for future tenants or owners.
-
2024-10-07historical $995
-
2024-09-24$995
-
2024-03-07soldstatus $70,000
-
2024-03-06soldstatus $70,000 Sold 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Rental property with established renter @ $925/month. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home. With approved offer, buyer may gain entrance with an appointment.
-
2024-02-22status Pending 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Rental property with established renter @ $925/month. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home. With approved offer, buyer may gain entrance with an appointment.
-
2024-02-16price $74,900 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Rental property with established renter @ $925/month. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home. With approved offer, buyer may gain entrance with an appointment.
-
2024-02-05price $79,500 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Rental property with established renter @ $925/month. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home. With approved offer, buyer may gain entrance with an appointment.
-
2024-01-26$89,500 Active 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Rental property with established renter @ $925/month. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home. With approved offer, buyer may gain entrance with an appointment.
-
2009-03-17soldstatus $50,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,447
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$564
- − Insurance
- −$5,618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,876
- − Management
- −$1,876
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $5,002
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,201
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Youngsville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 32,167
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,167
- Household income
- $93,204
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 424.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 24% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.24%
- Current HPI
- 135.2825
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+98.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-28 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-12 Listed $100,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-07 Rental Removed $995 RAAMLS
- 2024-09-24 Listed for Rent $995 RAAMLS
- 2024-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-06 Sold (MLS) $70,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-02-22 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2024-02-16 Price Changed $74,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-02-05 Price Changed $79,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-01-26 Listed $89,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2009-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $564 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…