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301 US Highway 85
B Composite 72.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

301 US Highway 85 · Buffalo, SD 57720
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1910 3,049 sqft lot $83/sqft · 43% below area Est $94k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Conveniently located 2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom house within walking distance of downtown. Fenced yard with dog pen and storage shed. Could be a great rental or town house for school. Listed by Tedd Thompson, ReMax in the Hills, 605-641-0321 and Co-listed by Carmen Thompson, ReMax in the Hills, 605-641-0199. Measurements are from county records. Basement is unfinished, partial cement floor, partial dirt floor, partial crawl space, used for storage and for the furnace and hot water heater. Basement access is by trap door in the kitchen. Basement square footage is not included in the total square feet. All information contained in this document should be verified by buyer and/or buyer's agent.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Dog pen
  • Storage shed

Tags

FENCED YARDDOG PENSTORAGE SHEDWALKING DISTANCE OF DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#76 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Harding County School District 31-1 (rural): math 50% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #32 of 148 in SD (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Harding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Harding County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $80k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.69%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,111
List price
$80,000
Delta
-14.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$33,235
Equity at exit
$51,331
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
5.03×
Total profit
$90,376
Equity at exit
$93,998

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57720

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$882 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-04-06
    listed $80,000 Active 696-char remark
    Show marketing remark (696 chars)

    Conveniently located 2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom house within walking distance of downtown. Fenced yard with dog pen and storage shed. Could be a great rental or town house for school. Listed by Tedd Thompson, ReMax in the Hills, 605-641-0321 and Co-listed by Carmen Thompson, ReMax in the Hills, 605-641-0199. Measurements are from county records. Basement is unfinished, partial cement floor, partial dirt floor, partial crawl space, used for storage and for the furnace and hot water heater. Basement access is by trap door in the kitchen. Basement square footage is not included in the total square feet. All information contained in this document should be verified by buyer and/or buyer's agent.

  16. 2022-04-06
    soldstatus $47,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,579
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$846
− Management
−$846
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$115
After-tax cash flow
$1,609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harding County School District 31-1
NCES district ID
4609300
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$47,820
Composite
50.48/100
National rank
#3991
State rank
#32 of 148 in SD

Livability — Buffalo

Score
69/100
State rank
#76
US rank
#8802

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, SD
Population (ZIP)
561

Population outlook (Harding County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,363 people
By 2030
1,403 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,492 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,613 · +18.3%
By 2075
1,992 · +46.1%
By 2100
2,231 · +63.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 22% Scottish 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harding

2024 margin
Solid R (+86.1) · D 5.8% · R 92.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -60.0pp · 2024: -86.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+86.1 2020: R+86.0 2016: R+85.3 2012: R+75.2 2008: R+60.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.21%
Current HPI
112.5456
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $80,000 MRAOR
  • 2022-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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