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220 Fulton St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 59.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

220 Fulton St · Millville, NJ 08332
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1898 9,900 sqft lot Est $267k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 220 Fulton Street in Millville, NJ. The property is currently being used an an investment property with a long term tenant paying $1,650 a month towards rent. Tenant is responsible for gas and electric. The property is rented below market and presents a value add opportunity. The property consist of three full bedroom and two full bathrooms. The property is on an oversized lot and has a large yard. 220 Fulton Street is a half - double sharing a common wall with 222 Fulton Street. Current owner would prefer to sell 220 Fulton Street in conjunction with 222 Futon Street (Listed separately under MLS # NJCB2029952 ). These properties are separately deeded. Consider potentially purch

Key facts

  • Long term tenant
  • Half double
  • Investment property

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYLONG TERM TENANTRENTED BELOW MARKET VALUEOVERSIZED LOTLARGE YARDHALF DOUBLE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public septic; Natural gas hot water; Electric cooling
  • Home design: Semi-detached (duplex-style) dwelling; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction with stone foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Year built recorded by assessor
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 75 x 132; Not in a federal flood zone; Municipal trash service

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area information from assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $164,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$267,132) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.2% in Millville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#431 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Millville School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #447 of 472 in NJ (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.56%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$267,132
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
301 Howard St 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,420 (+5%) 8mo $260,000 $183 81
318 W Race St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-9%) 8mo $265,000 $215 74
333 Cedar St 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,487 (+10%) 4mo $360,000 $242 72
525 W Main St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,397 (+3%) 6mo $275,000 $197 71
6 Fairfield Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,335 (-2%) 4mo $315,000 $236 65
17 Hillside Ave 0.55mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,380 (+2%) 8mo $300,000 $217 58
10 N Park Ave 0.16mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,172 (-14%) 8mo $199,900 $171 57
309 S 2nd St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,406 (+4%) 8mo $190,000 $135 55
16 N 5th St N 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,312 (-3%) 5mo $125,000 $95 53
216 S 3rd St 0.60mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,437 (+6%) 8mo $140,000 $97 46
712 Cherry St 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-12%) 2mo $245,000 $204 45
502 E Main St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (-14%) 2mo $129,000 $111 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-12,490
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,431
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08332

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
296
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,772 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$214 /mo · $2,572/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,453
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
313 W Main St Millville, NJ 3.0 1.5 1265 $1,650 $1.30 43d 1 0.13mi
112 W Main St Unit B Millville, NJ 3.0 1.0 1384 $1,500 $1.08 43d 1 0.20mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $164,900 Pending 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $164,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-04-27
    listed $164,900 Active 1081-char remark
  7. 2005-11-10
    soldstatus $74,500
  8. 1990-04-27
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,572 · $214/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,339 · $278/mo
Expected delta
+$767/yr (+$64/mo · 29.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,267
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$2,572
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,701
− Management
−$1,701
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable income
$434
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$104
After-tax cash flow
$2,923/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millville School District
NCES district ID
3410320
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$48,851
Composite
15.23/100
National rank
#9338
State rank
#447 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Millville

Score
63/100
State rank
#431
US rank
#15561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millville, NJ
County
Cumberland County · 80,266 people
City population
35,228
Metro
Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
35,228
Household income
$67,496
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
1761.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,743 people
By 2030
150,373 · -1.6%
By 2040
146,881 · -3.8%
By 2050
142,653 · -6.6%
By 2075
129,468 · -15.2%
By 2100
107,456 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.45%
Current HPI
274.8011
Rent YoY
▲ 1.94%
Metro
Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+345.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-02 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
  • 1990-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,572 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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