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152 Alden St
D+ Composite 49.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

152 Alden St · Fall River, MA 02723
6 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,750 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 296 Days on market
Built 1925 2,182 sqft lot $171/sqft · 32% below area Est $441k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 152 Alden Street!!! Huge single family home with in-law set-up-(currently being used as such)-4 bedrooms and 2 full baths! Newer roof, off street parking. Make your appointment today!

Key facts

  • 2,182 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (11.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.6% in Fall River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#221 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+, schools D, crime F.
  • Fall River (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #288 of 302 in MA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 760 units permitted in Bristol County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,643/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bristol County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 296 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $225k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $264,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 296 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.31%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$440,976
List price
$300,000
Delta
-31.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
53 Bardsley St 0.53mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,686 (-4%) 22mo $375,000 $222 44
123 Norwood St 0.52mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,958 (+12%) 7mo $505,000 $258 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-38,371
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-20,365
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 02723

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,643 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$228 /mo · $2,737/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$555
Net cashflow
$162

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,438
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 296 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 295 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 294 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 293 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 291 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 287 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 286 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 285 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $300,000 Active 282 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 281 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 280 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 279 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 278 DOM
  14. 2026-03-05
    price $300,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Welcome to 152 Alden Street!!! Huge single family home with in-law set-up-(currently being used as such)-4 bedrooms and 2 full baths! Newer roof, off street parking. Make your appointment today!

  15. 2026-02-03
    price $325,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Welcome to 152 Alden Street!!! Huge single family home with in-law set-up-(currently being used as such)-4 bedrooms and 2 full baths! Newer roof, off street parking. Make your appointment today!

  16. 2025-08-26
    listed $375,000 New 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Welcome to 152 Alden Street!!! Huge single family home with in-law set-up-(currently being used as such)-4 bedrooms and 2 full baths! Newer roof, off street parking. Make your appointment today!

  17. 2019-12-09
    soldstatus $225,000 Sold 43-char remark
    Show marketing remark (43 chars)

    Huge home, private yard, off street parking

  18. 2019-12-06
    historical 43-char remark
    Show marketing remark (43 chars)

    Huge home, private yard, off street parking

  19. 2019-11-25
    listed $240,000 43-char remark
    Show marketing remark (43 chars)

    Huge home, private yard, off street parking

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,737 · $228/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,214 · $268/mo
Expected delta
+$476/yr (+$40/mo · 17.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,715
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$2,737
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,537
− Management
−$2,537
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$3,128
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$751
After-tax cash flow
$2,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fall River
NCES district ID
2504830
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,773
Composite
18.59/100
National rank
#8905
State rank
#288 of 302 in MA

Livability — Fall River

Score
61/100
State rank
#221
US rank
#18220

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime F Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fall River, MA
County
Bristol County · 342,083 people
City population
93,033
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
17,067
Household income
$47,633
Rent vs Own
68.2% rent · 31.8% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bristol County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,212 people
By 2030
571,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
565,389 · -0.8%
By 2050
552,141 · -3.2%
By 2075
520,923 · -8.6%
By 2100
474,363 · -16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Russian 34% Lithuanian 6% Estonian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
58% English-only · Other Indo-European 26% Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bristol

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 48.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-21.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.2pp · 2024: 1.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.3 2020: D+12.0 2016: D+9.3 2012: D+20.5 2008: D+23.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.57%
Current HPI
347.6737
Rent YoY
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $300,000 MLS PIN
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $325,000 MLS PIN
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $375,000 MLS PIN
  • 2019-12-09 Sold (MLS) $225,000 MLS PIN
  • 2019-12-06 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2019-11-25 Listed $240,000 MLS PIN

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,737 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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