13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #97 · King City, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss out on this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Tigard! From the moment you arrive, you're welcomed by a covered front porch and a spacious carport that can accommodate up to three cars. Step inside to a bright and spacious living room featuring carpet and an open-concept layout—perfect for entertaining or relaxing.The kitchen boasts a convenient center island with a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet storage. All three bedrooms offer generous space, wall-to-wall carpeting, and ample closet room. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom and a walk-in closet, providing a comfortable and functional retreat. Both bathrooms are well-sized for everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy a large, fully fenced yard—ideal for pets, gardening, or play—along with a private backyard patio that’s perfect for BBQs or outdoor dining. Don't miss out on this lovely opportunity!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Bright living room
- Spacious carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.7% in King City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#24 in OR, #539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $165k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.32%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,565
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- 15.67%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13620 SW Beef Bnd #86 | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-4%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $147 | 77 |
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #1 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (+14%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $130 | 67 |
| 17151 SW Eldorado Dr #85 | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (0%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $46 | 61 |
| 17103 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,335 (-1%) | 12mo | $91,000 | $68 | 57 |
| 17188 SW Eldorado Dr #111 | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 1mo | $32,500 | $26 | 55 |
| 12450 SW Fischer Rd #277 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (0%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $41 | 55 |
| 17088 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 2mo | $23,000 | $16 | 51 |
| 17009 SW Eldorado Dr #5 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $52 | 46 |
| 17254 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+11%) | 11mo | $88,000 | $59 | 44 |
| 17041 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 3mo | $81,500 | $71 | 42 |
| 17229 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,153 (-14%) | 10mo | $74,000 | $64 | 39 |
| 17084 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 7mo | $42,000 | $36 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $11,784
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $43,363
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97224
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,164 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $852/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $705
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13830 SW Chinn Ln Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 839 | $2,100 | $2.50 | 3d | 11 | 0.26mi |
| 16903 SW 133rd Ter Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $2,845 | $1.71 | 10d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 13060 SW Dickson St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,850 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 16849 SW 131st Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 16444 SW 130th Ter King City, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,695 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14495 SW Beef Bend Rd Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,925 | $2.28 | 4d | 12 | 0.39mi |
| 17335 SW Montague Way Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1687 | $3,175 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 12070 SW Fischer Rd Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,099 | $2.27 | 1d | 9 | 0.82mi |
| 17865 SW Pacific Hwy Tualatin, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $2,242 | $2.31 | 1d | 13 | 0.88mi |
| 15205 SW 119th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,150 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11773 SW King George Dr King City, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 826 | $2,500 | $3.03 | 11d | 7 | 1.10mi |
| 11865 SW Tualatin Rd Tualatin, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1154 | $2,737 | $2.37 | 1d | 19 | 1.11mi |
| 10900 SW Gaarde St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,525 | $1.85 | 7d | 4 | 1.15mi |
| 10900 SW Gaarde St Unit 273-16 Tigard, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,575 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 17979 SW 115th Ave Unit 6 Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,625 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 17987 SW 115th Ave Unit 1 Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17989 SW 115th Ave Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 982 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 23d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 11545 SW Beef Bend Rd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,514 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11390 SW Naeve St Tigard, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $2,119 | $2.37 | 3d | 5 | 1.37mi |
| 11430 SW Bull Mountain Rd Tigard, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $1,970 | $2.00 | 3d | 6 | 1.41mi |
| 16055 SW 108th Ave Tigard, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,940 | $2.28 | 7d | 9 | 1.43mi |
| 15199 SW Royalty Pkwy Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,205 | $2.49 | 1d | 12 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $164,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $164,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-02-14price $169,900 925-char remark
Show marketing remark (925 chars)
Don’t miss out on this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Tigard! From the moment you arrive, you're welcomed by a covered front porch and a spacious carport that can accommodate up to three cars. Step inside to a bright and spacious living room featuring carpet and an open-concept layout—perfect for entertaining or relaxing.The kitchen boasts a convenient center island with a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet storage. All three bedrooms offer generous space, wall-to-wall carpeting, and ample closet room. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom and a walk-in closet, providing a comfortable and functional retreat. Both bathrooms are well-sized for everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy a large, fully fenced yard—ideal for pets, gardening, or play—along with a private backyard patio that’s perfect for BBQs or outdoor dining. Don't miss out on this lovely opportunity!
-
2025-12-04$175,000 Active 925-char remark
Show marketing remark (925 chars)
Don’t miss out on this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Tigard! From the moment you arrive, you're welcomed by a covered front porch and a spacious carport that can accommodate up to three cars. Step inside to a bright and spacious living room featuring carpet and an open-concept layout—perfect for entertaining or relaxing.The kitchen boasts a convenient center island with a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet storage. All three bedrooms offer generous space, wall-to-wall carpeting, and ample closet room. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom and a walk-in closet, providing a comfortable and functional retreat. Both bathrooms are well-sized for everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy a large, fully fenced yard—ideal for pets, gardening, or play—along with a private backyard patio that’s perfect for BBQs or outdoor dining. Don't miss out on this lovely opportunity!
-
1998-05-25soldstatus $43,000 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
ONLY $859/MO TOTAL W/10% DOWN! INCL SPACE RENT, LOAN, TAXES, INS, WATER, SEWER. 25 YR 3/1 ARM @ 9.9%.
-
1998-03-22$45,850 101-char remark
Show marketing remark (101 chars)
ONLY $859/MO TOTAL W/10% DOWN! INCL SPACE RENT, LOAN, TAXES, INS, WATER, SEWER. 25 YR 3/1 ARM @ 9.9%.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $852 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,600 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$748/yr (+$62/mo · 87.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$852
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,077
- − Management
- −$2,077
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $6,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,464
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J
- NCES district ID
- 4112240
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,739
- Composite
- 48.72/100
- National rank
- #2100
- State rank
- #6 of 58 in OR
Livability — King City
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- King City, OR
- County
- Washington County · 583,254 people
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,569
- Household income
- $98,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1468.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.40%
- Current HPI
- 277.57
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+270.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $169,900 RMLS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $175,000 RMLS
- 1998-05-25 Sold (MLS) $43,000 RMLS
- 1998-03-22 Listed $45,850 RMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $852 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…