120 Woodhaven Dr · Big Beaver, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! Unique layout with very spacious rooms. Huge 3 car detached garage. Grab your toolbelt!
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $856 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#911 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #467 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $274 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 92.39%
- DSCR
- 5.11
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,171
- List price
- $39,700
- Delta
- -77.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 903 37th Street Ext | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-2%) | 3mo | $172,500 | $150 | 59 |
| 4403 W 6th Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+7%) | 7mo | $162,500 | $130 | 52 |
| 4312 W 7th Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,232 (+5%) | 20mo | $186,000 | $151 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 93.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $48,248
- Equity at exit
- $5,919
- IRR
- 96.1%
- Equity multiple
- 11.16×
- Total profit
- $112,900
- Equity at exit
- $3,433
Cash invested: $11,116 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15010
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,514 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$208
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,382/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $856
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,925
- Closing costs
- $1,191
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3768 W 5th Ave Beaver Falls, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,495 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 149 Colonial Oaks Beaver Falls, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 958 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,700 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,700 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,700 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,700 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,700 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,700 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,700 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,700 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,700 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $39,700 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,700 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,700 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,700 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,700 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-03-11price $39,700 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Unique layout with very spacious rooms. Huge 3 car detached garage. Grab your toolbelt!
-
2025-11-21price $44,700 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Unique layout with very spacious rooms. Huge 3 car detached garage. Grab your toolbelt!
-
2025-10-29price $49,700 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Unique layout with very spacious rooms. Huge 3 car detached garage. Grab your toolbelt!
-
2025-10-22price $54,700 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Unique layout with very spacious rooms. Huge 3 car detached garage. Grab your toolbelt!
-
2025-09-18$59,700 Active 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Unique layout with very spacious rooms. Huge 3 car detached garage. Grab your toolbelt!
-
2000-11-28soldstatus $48,000
-
1973-04-01soldstatus $12,000
-
1960-05-01soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,382 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,382 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,164
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,224
- − Property taxes
- −$1,382
- − Insurance
- −$198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,453
- − Management
- −$1,453
- − Depreciation
- −$1,155
- Taxable income
- $10,298
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Beaver Falls Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203630
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,686
- Composite
- 21.85/100
- National rank
- #8241
- State rank
- #467 of 539 in PA
Livability — Big Beaver
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #911
- US rank
- #9869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Beaver, PA
- County
- Beaver County · 116,001 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,542
- Household income
- $71,200
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 519.0
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.25%
- Current HPI
- 261.2703
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+205.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $39,700 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $44,700 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $49,700 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $54,700 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $59,700 West Penn MLS
- 2000-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1973-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1960-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,382 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…