1305 Township Road 1656 · Ashland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * FALL IN LOVE --> W/ This Rustic Historical Property That Provides A Mix Of Character, Charm, Rich History & An Abundance Of Space W/ Over 3,000 SQ. FT. Which Includes 4 Bdrms & 3 FULL Bathrms! * Attached Oversized 2.5 Car, 728 Sq. Ft. HEATED & Insulated Garage! * Full 1,200 Sq. Ft. Basement * Enjoy Summers Here On An ACRE OF LAND W/ Your Own INGROUND SWIMMING POOL! Large Concrete Pad + Brick Patio For Tons Of Outdoor Furniture & Entertaining! Pergola & Some Wood Fencing. The Property Backs Up To Woods W/ No Neighbor View Behind * Dual Driveways * Walk In To A Foyer W/ Brick Paver Flooring & Barn Side Wood Columns * Straight Ahead Is The Main Living Rm That Is A "WOW" In It's Own Right! BEAMED 23' CEILING!! * Treasure Making Memories W/ The Ambience HUGE Floor To Ceiling BRICK Cooking FIREPLACE!! Prepare Meals Over Open Hot Coals. When All Of Life Is Fast It Is Nice To Unwind W/ A Warm Flickering Fire * Eat In Kitchen W/ Center Island W/ Adorable VAULTED Ceiling Eating & BENCH Seating * Dedicated Pantry Rm For All Of Your Food Storage Needs * Full Bathrm 1st Floor + Another Attached Storage Rm Leads To A SAUNA ROOM!! Full Relaxation * 1st Floor Bdrm Off Of The Garage Currently Used As A Sitting Rm * Stairways To A LOFT Holds 2 Bdrms, 1 With Skylights/Vaulted Ceiling + ENSUITE Full Bathrm! * Natural Wood Floors Throughout * Side Entryway W/ Brick Surround, Skylights (2) & Pendant Lighting Leads Up To A Gracious Size SUNROOM/FAMILY RM W/ Luxury Plank Flooring, WALLS OF WINDOWS + Wood Planked Ceiling! This Is A Huge Entertaining Rm * Off Of This Rm Is The Master Bdrm W/ Vaulted Ceiling, Fan & Double Closets + An Ensuite FULL Master Bathrm * Stained Glass Throughout The Home * Previously Chestnut Grove Church, Later A Murder Mystery Dinner Theater * This Property Will Need Work W/ Endless Possibilities For Use! * ARV & AVM Much Higher * This Is A Home You Will Never Forget & Won't Be Able To Let Go Of! * Newer FURNACE, Sump Pump * SELLING AS-IS, Cash or Conventional Financing * MAKE AN OFFER!!
Key facts
- Eat in kitchen
- Full basement
- Dual driveways
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (20.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (30.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $155k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1869 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1869 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.99%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $340,351
- List price
- $229,000
- Delta
- -32.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1305 Township Road 1656 | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 3,069 (0%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $58 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-47,292
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-32,706
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44805
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$232 /mo · $2,782/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $-267
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-137 | -5% $-202 | +0% $-267 | +5% $-331 | +10% $-396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-393 | -5% $-330 | +0% $-267 | +5% $-204 | +10% $-140 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-151 | -0.5pp $-208 | base $-267 | +0.5pp $-326 | +1.0pp $-386 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-12price $229,000 2132-char remark
Show marketing remark (2132 chars)
* * FALL IN LOVE --> W/ This Rustic Historical Property That Provides A Mix Of Character, Charm, Rich History & An Abundance Of Space W/ Over 3,000 SQ. FT. Which Includes 4 Bdrms & 3 FULL Bathrms! * Attached Oversized 2.5 Car, 728 Sq. Ft. HEATED & Insulated Garage! * Full 1,200 Sq. Ft. Basement * Enjoy Summers Here On An ACRE OF LAND W/ Your Own INGROUND SWIMMING POOL! Large Concrete Pad + Brick Patio For Tons Of Outdoor Furniture & Entertaining! Pergola & Some Wood Fencing. The Property Backs Up To Woods W/ No Neighbor View Behind * Dual Driveways * Walk In To A Foyer W/ Brick Paver Flooring & Barn Side Wood Columns * Straight Ahead Is The Main Living Rm That Is A "WOW" In It's Own Right! BEAMED 23' CEILING!! * Treasure Making Memories W/ The Ambience HUGE Floor To Ceiling BRICK Cooking FIREPLACE!! Prepare Meals Over Open Hot Coals. When All Of Life Is Fast It Is Nice To Unwind W/ A Warm Flickering Fire * Eat In Kitchen W/ Center Island W/ Adorable VAULTED Ceiling Eating & BENCH Seating * Dedicated Pantry Rm For All Of Your Food Storage Needs * Full Bathrm 1st Floor + Another Attached Storage Rm Leads To A SAUNA ROOM!! Full Relaxation * 1st Floor Bdrm Off Of The Garage Currently Used As A Sitting Rm * Stairways To A LOFT Holds 2 Bdrms, 1 With Skylights/Vaulted Ceiling + ENSUITE Full Bathrm! * Natural Wood Floors Throughout * Side Entryway W/ Brick Surround, Skylights (2) & Pendant Lighting Leads Up To A Gracious Size SUNROOM/FAMILY RM W/ Luxury Plank Flooring, WALLS OF WINDOWS + Wood Planked Ceiling! This Is A Huge Entertaining Rm * Off Of This Rm Is The Master Bdrm W/ Vaulted Ceiling, Fan & Double Closets + An Ensuite FULL Master Bathrm * Stained Glass Throughout The Home * Previously Chestnut Grove Church, Later A Murder Mystery Dinner Theater * This Property Will Need Work W/ Endless Possibilities For Use! * ARV & AVM Much Higher * This Is A Home You Will Never Forget & Won't Be Able To Let Go Of! * Newer FURNACE, Sump Pump * SELLING AS-IS, Cash or Conventional Financing * MAKE AN OFFER!!
-
2026-04-21$249,000 Active 2132-char remark
Show marketing remark (2132 chars)
* * FALL IN LOVE --> W/ This Rustic Historical Property That Provides A Mix Of Character, Charm, Rich History & An Abundance Of Space W/ Over 3,000 SQ. FT. Which Includes 4 Bdrms & 3 FULL Bathrms! * Attached Oversized 2.5 Car, 728 Sq. Ft. HEATED & Insulated Garage! * Full 1,200 Sq. Ft. Basement * Enjoy Summers Here On An ACRE OF LAND W/ Your Own INGROUND SWIMMING POOL! Large Concrete Pad + Brick Patio For Tons Of Outdoor Furniture & Entertaining! Pergola & Some Wood Fencing. The Property Backs Up To Woods W/ No Neighbor View Behind * Dual Driveways * Walk In To A Foyer W/ Brick Paver Flooring & Barn Side Wood Columns * Straight Ahead Is The Main Living Rm That Is A "WOW" In It's Own Right! BEAMED 23' CEILING!! * Treasure Making Memories W/ The Ambience HUGE Floor To Ceiling BRICK Cooking FIREPLACE!! Prepare Meals Over Open Hot Coals. When All Of Life Is Fast It Is Nice To Unwind W/ A Warm Flickering Fire * Eat In Kitchen W/ Center Island W/ Adorable VAULTED Ceiling Eating & BENCH Seating * Dedicated Pantry Rm For All Of Your Food Storage Needs * Full Bathrm 1st Floor + Another Attached Storage Rm Leads To A SAUNA ROOM!! Full Relaxation * 1st Floor Bdrm Off Of The Garage Currently Used As A Sitting Rm * Stairways To A LOFT Holds 2 Bdrms, 1 With Skylights/Vaulted Ceiling + ENSUITE Full Bathrm! * Natural Wood Floors Throughout * Side Entryway W/ Brick Surround, Skylights (2) & Pendant Lighting Leads Up To A Gracious Size SUNROOM/FAMILY RM W/ Luxury Plank Flooring, WALLS OF WINDOWS + Wood Planked Ceiling! This Is A Huge Entertaining Rm * Off Of This Rm Is The Master Bdrm W/ Vaulted Ceiling, Fan & Double Closets + An Ensuite FULL Master Bathrm * Stained Glass Throughout The Home * Previously Chestnut Grove Church, Later A Murder Mystery Dinner Theater * This Property Will Need Work W/ Endless Possibilities For Use! * ARV & AVM Much Higher * This Is A Home You Will Never Forget & Won't Be Able To Let Go Of! * Newer FURNACE, Sump Pump * SELLING AS-IS, Cash or Conventional Financing * MAKE AN OFFER!!
-
2025-11-21$400,000 Active
-
2020-08-25price $79,900
-
2017-10-06soldstatus $155,000
-
2017-10-06soldstatus $155,000
-
2017-10-06soldstatus $155,000
-
2017-10-06soldstatus $155,000
-
2017-05-04$165,000
-
2017-05-04$165,000
-
2017-05-02$165,000
-
2013-09-24soldstatus $129,000
-
2013-09-24soldstatus $129,000
-
2013-08-07$138,900
-
2002-01-25soldstatus $188,000
-
2001-06-20historical
-
2001-01-20$329,305
-
1998-10-20price $329,305
-
1998-10-20price $329,305
-
1998-10-20historical
-
1998-05-01$329,305
-
1995-03-11historical
-
1995-03-11historical
-
1994-09-12$285,000
-
1994-09-10$285,000
-
1993-08-20soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,782 · $232/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,177 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- +$395/yr (+$33/mo · 14.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,162
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$2,782
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$7,320
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,757
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,443/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland City
- NCES district ID
- 3904350
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,164
- Composite
- 58.31/100
- National rank
- #1015
- State rank
- #165 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #6095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ashland County · 30,805 people
- City population
- 30,805
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,805
- Household income
- $68,299
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,732 people
- By 2030
- 51,728 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 48,956 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 46,070 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 38,945 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 30,883 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.79%
- Current HPI
- 201.96
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.07%
- Metro
- Ashland, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+141.1% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $229,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-21 Listed $249,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-11-21 Listed $400,000 MARMLS
- 2020-08-25 Price Changed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2017-10-06 Sold (MLS) $155,000 ABOR
- 2017-10-06 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MLSNOW
- 2017-10-06 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MARMLS
- 2017-05-04 Listed $165,000 ABOR
- 2017-05-04 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
- 2017-05-02 Listed $165,000 MLSNOW
- 2013-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
- 2013-09-24 Sold (MLS) $129,000 ABOR
- 2013-08-07 Listed $138,900 ABOR
- 2002-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $188,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-20 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2001-01-20 Listed $329,305 MLSNOW
- 1998-10-20 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1998-10-20 Price Changed $329,305 MLSNOW
- 1998-10-20 Price Changed $329,305 MLSNOW
- 1998-05-01 Listed $329,305 MLSNOW
- 1995-03-11 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1995-03-11 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1994-09-12 Listed $285,000 MLSNOW
- 1994-09-10 Listed $285,000 MLSNOW
- 1993-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,782 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…