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4013 Main St
B Composite 73.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

4013 Main St · Brighton, AL 35020
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,460 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot Est $36k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ATTENTION 1ST TIME HOME BUYERS AND INVESTORS!!! THIS HOME WON'T LAST LONG. . Large home featuring Living/Dining room, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 2 baths, Den, 2nd Kitchen and half bath in Basement. All offers subject to CORP APPROVAL. Property SOLD AS-IS & right of redemption may apply. ANY item of significance to be confirmed by selling agent

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 82 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#459 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Brighton School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #566 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 365 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 49% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $30k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.91%
Cap rate
34.01%
Cash-on-cash
98.99%
DSCR
5.40
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$36,500
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4005 Main St 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,368 (-6%) 3mo $60,000 $44 82
4600 Huntsville Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,474 (+1%) 2mo $35,000 $24 67
1106 Ontario St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,384 (-5%) 22mo $33,000 $24 58
4317 Main St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,582 (+8%) 17mo $40,000 $25 52
527 Selma Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,290 (-12%) 10mo $124,999 $97 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
88.0%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$32,244
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
90.4%
Equity multiple
9.03×
Total profit
$67,193
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35020

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $768/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$635

Break-even live

Break-even rent $366
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1254 Lewis St Brighton, AL 3.0 1.0 1200 $850 $0.71 43d 1 0.35mi
4506 Letson St Brighton, AL 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,200 $1.16 23d 1 0.49mi
546 Selma Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 888 $900 $1.01 43d 1 0.71mi
520 Brewer Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,100 $1.06 3d 1 0.86mi
3019 7th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,050 $0.97 43d 1 0.91mi
3225 4th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1486 $1,300 $0.87 23d 1 0.94mi
6001 Ivy St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 906 $950 $1.05 43d 1 1.03mi
6025 Ivy St Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,300 $1.06 43d 1 1.03mi
6029 Ivy St Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1234 $1,200 $0.97 43d 1 1.03mi
1315 27th St N Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1439 $1,250 $0.87 43d 1 1.05mi
5912 Owen St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1192 $1,300 $1.09 43d 1 1.06mi
832 Alden Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1231 $1,150 $0.93 23d 1 1.11mi
3230 Arlington Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 2.0 1236 $795 $0.64 43d 1 1.22mi
1109 12th Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1217 $1,475 $1.21 3d 1 1.34mi
80 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1078 $1,200 $1.11 14d 1 1.37mi
806 12th Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1262 $1,075 $0.85 43d 1 1.39mi
63 Wilkes Cir Unit 1 Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1164 $1,250 $1.07 43d 1 1.40mi
63 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1164 $1,200 $1.03 43d 1 1.40mi
1206 15th St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1600 $950 $0.59 43d 1 1.42mi
5906 5th St S Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 916 $900 $0.98 23d 1 1.44mi
603 11th Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1289 $1,100 $0.85 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-10
    listed $29,900 Active
  3. 2013-01-14
    soldstatus $9,600 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    ATTENTION 1ST TIME HOME BUYERS AND INVESTORS!!! THIS HOME WON'T LAST LONG. . Large home featuring Living/Dining room, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 2 baths, Den, 2nd Kitchen and half bath in Basement. All offers subject to CORP APPROVAL. Property SOLD AS-IS & right of redemption may apply. ANY item of significance to be confirmed by selling agent

  4. 2012-10-01
    listed $11,000 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    ATTENTION 1ST TIME HOME BUYERS AND INVESTORS!!! THIS HOME WON'T LAST LONG. . Large home featuring Living/Dining room, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 2 baths, Den, 2nd Kitchen and half bath in Basement. All offers subject to CORP APPROVAL. Property SOLD AS-IS & right of redemption may apply. ANY item of significance to be confirmed by selling agent

  5. 1983-02-01
    soldstatus $19,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$768 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$768 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,033
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$768
− Insurance
−$816
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$7,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,838
After-tax cash flow
$5,783/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Brighton

Score
54/100
State rank
#459
US rank
#23847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brighton, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,892
Household income
$35,362
Rent vs Own
40.6% rent · 59.4% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.54%
Current HPI
179.7702
Rent YoY
▼ -3.12%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $29,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2013-01-14 Sold (MLS) $9,600 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2012-10-01 Listed $11,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1983-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $768 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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