4013 Main St · Brighton, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION 1ST TIME HOME BUYERS AND INVESTORS!!! THIS HOME WON'T LAST LONG. . Large home featuring Living/Dining room, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 2 baths, Den, 2nd Kitchen and half bath in Basement. All offers subject to CORP APPROVAL. Property SOLD AS-IS & right of redemption may apply. ANY item of significance to be confirmed by selling agent
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 82 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#459 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Brighton School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #566 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 365 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 49% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $30k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 98.99%
- DSCR
- 5.40
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $36,500
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4005 Main St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-6%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $44 | 82 |
| 4600 Huntsville Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,474 (+1%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $24 | 67 |
| 1106 Ontario St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (-5%) | 22mo | $33,000 | $24 | 58 |
| 4317 Main St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,582 (+8%) | 17mo | $40,000 | $25 | 52 |
| 527 Selma Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,290 (-12%) | 10mo | $124,999 | $97 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 88.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $32,244
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- 90.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.03×
- Total profit
- $67,193
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35020
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $768/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $635
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1254 Lewis St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $850 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4506 Letson St Brighton, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 546 Selma Rd Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 520 Brewer Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3019 7th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3225 4th Ave N Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6001 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $950 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6025 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6029 Ivy St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1315 27th St N Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5912 Owen St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1192 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 832 Alden Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3230 Arlington Ave Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $795 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1109 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,475 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 80 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 806 12th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,075 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,250 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 63 Wilkes Cir Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1206 15th St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $950 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5906 5th St S Bessemer, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $900 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 603 11th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-11status Pending
-
2026-01-10$29,900 Active
-
2013-01-14soldstatus $9,600 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
ATTENTION 1ST TIME HOME BUYERS AND INVESTORS!!! THIS HOME WON'T LAST LONG. . Large home featuring Living/Dining room, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 2 baths, Den, 2nd Kitchen and half bath in Basement. All offers subject to CORP APPROVAL. Property SOLD AS-IS & right of redemption may apply. ANY item of significance to be confirmed by selling agent
-
2012-10-01$11,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
ATTENTION 1ST TIME HOME BUYERS AND INVESTORS!!! THIS HOME WON'T LAST LONG. . Large home featuring Living/Dining room, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms and 2 baths, Den, 2nd Kitchen and half bath in Basement. All offers subject to CORP APPROVAL. Property SOLD AS-IS & right of redemption may apply. ANY item of significance to be confirmed by selling agent
-
1983-02-01soldstatus $19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $768 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $768 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$768
- − Insurance
- −$816
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,123
- − Management
- −$1,123
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $7,659
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,838
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,783/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Brighton
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #459
- US rank
- #23847
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brighton, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,892
- Household income
- $35,362
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.54%
- Current HPI
- 179.7702
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.12%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+50.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-10 Listed $29,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2013-01-14 Sold (MLS) $9,600 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2012-10-01 Listed $11,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1983-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $768 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…