19714 Ryan Rd · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
At 19714 Ryan RD, Detroit, MI, USA, a single-family residence constructed in 1952 presents an opportunity for refined living. This property embodies enduring architectural principles, offering a foundation for contemporary personalization. The two bedrooms provide comfortable private spaces, each designed for tranquility and individual comfort. This residence offers a distinctive opportunity to acquire a property with established character and significant potential. We invite your inquiry to schedule a private viewing.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1952
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No additional financial details provided
- Financial info: Tax information not included per instructions
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Security: No security features specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built on above-grade finished area of 809 square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (40 x 100)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen details not specified
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Flooring details not specified
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 2 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $75k implies a 159% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.34%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $43,686
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19300 Binder St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+1%) | 4mo | $10,000 | $12 | 81 |
| 19667 Sunset St | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 752 (-7%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $38 | 73 |
| 20012 Binder St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 871 (+8%) | 3mo | $50,500 | $58 | 71 |
| 19725 Lamont St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 835 (+3%) | 4mo | $10,000 | $12 | 68 |
| 19255 Binder St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 719 (-11%) | 3mo | $38,500 | $54 | 64 |
| 19942 Binder St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 696 (-14%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $101 | 62 |
| 20180 Charest St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+4%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $54 | 61 |
| 19227 Ryan Rd | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 919 (+14%) | 1mo | $38,000 | $41 | 56 |
| 19451 Conley St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+11%) | 3mo | $54,000 | $60 | 49 |
| 20203 Moenart St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-10%) | 3mo | $48,000 | $66 | 47 |
| 19437 Conley St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+13%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $31 | 46 |
| 20059 Bloom St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 911 (+13%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $99 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $20,002
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.55×
- Total profit
- $74,602
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,279 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,923/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $447 | +0% $426 | +5% $405 | +10% $383 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $325 | -5% $375 | +0% $426 | +5% $476 | +10% $527 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $464 | -0.5pp $445 | base $426 | +0.5pp $406 | +1.0pp $387 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,384 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 19162 Conley St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3974 Berkshire Ave Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2034 John B Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,261 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 22580 Masch Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 524-char remark
-
2026-06-02$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,923 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,923 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,923
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,228
- − Management
- −$1,228
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,216
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,099/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+158.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,923 · -54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…