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206 N Worthington Dr
B- Composite 66.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

206 N Worthington Dr · West Memphis, AR 72301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1948 9,583 sqft lot $55/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME TO YOUR NEXT OPPORTUNITY! As Is Property: 2BR/1BA home with a dedicated office space, a private backyard with huge trees & tons of potential! Located in a highly desired neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining and parks. This property is being sold as is making it ideal for investors, renovators or first time homebuyers ready to bring their own personal vision to life! Don't miss this diamond in the rough!

Key facts

  • Huge trees
  • Private backyard
  • 9,583 sq ft lot

Tags

DEDICATED OFFICE SPACEPRIVATE BACKYARDHUGE TREESHIGHLY DESIRED NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENT ACCESS TO DININGCONVENIENT ACCESS TO PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $753 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.74%
Cap rate
24.36%
Cash-on-cash
64.53%
DSCR
3.87
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,893
List price
$50,000
Delta
-59.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
212 N Worthington Dr 0.02mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (0%) 3mo $85,000 $93 92
211 N Center St 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (0%) 9mo $112,000 $123 86
321 S Worthington Dr 0.25mi 2/1.0 900 (-1%) 7mo $135,000 $150 80
1101 N Redding St 0.09mi 2/1.0 939 (+3%) 14mo $65,000 $69 79
310 S Center St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 975 (+7%) 14mo $139,900 $143 63
227 S Worthington Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,013 (+11%) 3mo $169,900 $168 63
487 Belvedere Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 949 (+4%) 5mo $125,000 $132 61
1111 N Redding St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,035 (+14%) 18mo $185,000 $179 49
508 Arlington Dr 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,014 (+11%) 8mo $135,000 $133 46
409 Balfour Rd 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+14%) 3mo $155,000 $149 44
404 Dover Rd 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (+12%) 15mo $134,900 $132 42
1020 Lehr St 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,026 (+12%) 11mo $138,000 $135 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.7%
Equity multiple
3.85×
Total profit
$39,861
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
68.1%
Equity multiple
7.89×
Total profit
$96,501
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,371 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $569/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$753

Break-even live

Break-even rent $418
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 1d 1 0.41mi
741 N 18th St West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.0 814 $940 $1.15 4d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $50,000 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-05-15
    price $50,000 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    WELCOME TO YOUR NEXT OPPORTUNITY! As Is Property: 2BR/1BA home with a dedicated office space, a private backyard with huge trees & tons of potential! Located in a highly desired neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining and parks. This property is being sold as is making it ideal for investors, renovators or first time homebuyers ready to bring their own personal vision to life! Don't miss this diamond in the rough!

  11. 2026-05-05
    price $65,000 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    WELCOME TO YOUR NEXT OPPORTUNITY! As Is Property: 2BR/1BA home with a dedicated office space, a private backyard with huge trees & tons of potential! Located in a highly desired neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining and parks. This property is being sold as is making it ideal for investors, renovators or first time homebuyers ready to bring their own personal vision to life! Don't miss this diamond in the rough!

  12. 2026-04-21
    listed $75,000 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    WELCOME TO YOUR NEXT OPPORTUNITY! As Is Property: 2BR/1BA home with a dedicated office space, a private backyard with huge trees & tons of potential! Located in a highly desired neighborhood with convenient access to local shops, dining and parks. This property is being sold as is making it ideal for investors, renovators or first time homebuyers ready to bring their own personal vision to life! Don't miss this diamond in the rough!

  13. 2001-07-18
    soldstatus $53,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$569 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$569 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,455
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$569
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,316
− Management
−$1,316
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$8,748
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,100
After-tax cash flow
$6,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $50,000 EARA
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $65,000 EARA
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $75,000 EARA
  • 2001-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $53,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $569 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…