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236 Brierly Ridge Rd 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 46.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$109,000

236 Brierly Ridge Rd · Mount Olivet, KY 41064
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 0 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 2025 0.94 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this newly constructed 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located just outside of Mount Olivet. Situated on approximately 0.94 acres, this property offers the perfect blend of peaceful country living with the reliability of a brand-new build. The home features a fully finished interior and brand-new appliances, providing a move-in-ready opportunity for buyers looking for comfort and low-maintenance living. With nearly an acre of land, there is plenty of space to enjoy the outdoors, add a garden, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking to relocate to the area, this property offers a dependable new home in a relaxed rural setting just

Key facts

  • Brand-new appliances
  • Quiet surroundings
  • 0.94 acre lot

Tags

FULLY FINISHED INTERIORBRAND-NEW APPLIANCESAPPROXIMATELY 0.94 ACRESMOVE-IN-READY OPPORTUNITYSPACE TO ENJOY OUTDOORSQUIET SURROUNDINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.94 acre (public records); Located in Robertson County; subdivision: Downtown; Directions: From KY-62 in Mt. Olivet, turn north onto Brierly Ridge Rd. Continue 0.2 miles and the property is on your right.

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Sewer available
  • Home design: One level; New construction
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Building area approximately 832
  • Exterior features: Shed(s) on the property; Public water; Not on waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Oven and range
  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer included; Microwave; Refrigerator; Oven and range; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-287/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (3.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#491 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Robertson County (rural): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #123 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Robertson County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $92,321 (15.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$57,854
Equity at exit
$98,196
10-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$171,596
Equity at exit
$211,763

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41064

Home prices YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$923 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$-24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $105,536
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $51 -5% $14 +0% $-24 +5% $-62 +10% $-99
Rent -10% $-97 -5% $-60 +0% $-24 +5% $13 +10% $49
Rate -1.0pp $31 -0.5pp $4 base $-24 +0.5pp $-52 +1.0pp $-81

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    listed $109,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,079
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$886
− Management
−$886
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable loss
−$2,151
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$516
After-tax cash flow
$229/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Robertson County
NCES district ID
2105040
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -22.00%
Median HH income
$33,990
Composite
23.37/100
National rank
#7904
State rank
#123 of 165 in KY

Livability — Mount Olivet

Score
52/100
State rank
#491
US rank
#24768

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing D- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,122

Population outlook (Robertson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,930 people
By 2030
1,786 · -7.5%
By 2040
1,509 · -21.8%
By 2050
1,246 · -35.4%
By 2075
853 · -55.8%
By 2100
688 · -64.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Black 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Robertson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.8% · R 80.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-53.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -61.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.2 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.24%
Current HPI
230.6084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $109,000 ImagineMLS

Property tax history

-8.6%/yr

Latest (2018): $53 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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