🏗️ New Construction
236 Brierly Ridge Rd · Mount Olivet, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this newly constructed 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located just outside of Mount Olivet. Situated on approximately 0.94 acres, this property offers the perfect blend of peaceful country living with the reliability of a brand-new build. The home features a fully finished interior and brand-new appliances, providing a move-in-ready opportunity for buyers looking for comfort and low-maintenance living. With nearly an acre of land, there is plenty of space to enjoy the outdoors, add a garden, or simply take in the quiet surroundings. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking to relocate to the area, this property offers a dependable new home in a relaxed rural setting just
Key facts
- Brand-new appliances
- Quiet surroundings
- 0.94 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.94 acre (public records); Located in Robertson County; subdivision: Downtown; Directions: From KY-62 in Mt. Olivet, turn north onto Brierly Ridge Rd. Continue 0.2 miles and the property is on your right.
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Sewer available
- Home design: One level; New construction
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Building area approximately 832
- Exterior features: Shed(s) on the property; Public water; Not on waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Oven and range
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: Washer and dryer included; Microwave; Refrigerator; Oven and range; Vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-287/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (3.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $92k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $92k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#491 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Robertson County (rural): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #123 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Robertson County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.94%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $57,854
- Equity at exit
- $98,196
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.62×
- Total profit
- $171,596
- Equity at exit
- $211,763
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41064
- Home prices YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $923 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $-24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $51 | -5% $14 | +0% $-24 | +5% $-62 | +10% $-99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-97 | -5% $-60 | +0% $-24 | +5% $13 | +10% $49 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $31 | -0.5pp $4 | base $-24 | +0.5pp $-52 | +1.0pp $-81 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-13$109,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$886
- − Management
- −$886
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$2,151
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$516
- After-tax cash flow
- $229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Robertson County
- NCES district ID
- 2105040
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -22.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,990
- Composite
- 23.37/100
- National rank
- #7904
- State rank
- #123 of 165 in KY
Livability — Mount Olivet
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #24768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,122
Population outlook (Robertson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,930 people
- By 2030
- 1,786 · -7.5%
- By 2040
- 1,509 · -21.8%
- By 2050
- 1,246 · -35.4%
- By 2075
- 853 · -55.8%
- By 2100
- 688 · -64.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Black 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Robertson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.8% · R 80.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -53.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -61.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.2 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+8.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.24%
- Current HPI
- 230.6084
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $109,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
-8.6%/yrLatest (2018): $53 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…