612 Mountain View Way · Saw Creek, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in The Falls at Saw Creek in Bushkill, this 3-bedroom, 3.5-bath townhouse stands out with a private ensuite bathroom in every bedroom--a rare feature that adds comfort and flexibility for everyday living or hosting guests. The updated kitchen features granite countertops, a breakfast bar, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, making it as functional as it is inviting. The living room opens up with vaulted ceilings and a gas fireplace, creating a bright, open space that feels both cozy and spacious. The back balcony deck offers the sweet sounds of nature and nearby creek. With a newer roof, HVAC system, and appliances already in place, much of the heavy lifting has been done for you. Plus, enjoy access to community amenities, including a pool & hot tub, perfect for relaxing during the warmer months, and is only a short distance from everything the Poconos has to offer! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a personal getaway, this home offers the comfort, layout, and ease of living that's hard to find.
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- Granite countertops
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of $2,544
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Wood siding exterior; Tar/gravel roof; Above-grade finished living area reported
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Tar/gravel roof; Year built: Unknown
- Exterior features: Propane tank (leased)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on lower level; One bedroom on third level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Resilient; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (including ensuites with tub/shower and a full bath with shower and walk-in closet); One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (Gas and Propane); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level; Washer; Electric dryer (electric dryer hookup); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.3% in Saw Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,538 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 290 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $190k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.87%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,875
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159 Stream Ct | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,090 (-3%) | 2mo | $141,130 | $129 | 74 |
| 503 English Ct | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $133 | 72 |
| 201 Falls Cir | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,016 (-10%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $167 | 66 |
| 140 English Ct | 0.30mi | 2/3.0 | 1,090 (-3%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $193 | 66 |
| 320 Crewe Ct | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 17mo | $170,000 | $142 | 62 |
| 254 Bristol Way | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,071 (-5%) | 17mo | $129,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 514 Wales Ct | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (-15%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $167 | 45 |
| 2025 Sec 3 Manchester Dr | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 956 (-15%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $173 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $41,933
- Equity at exit
- $90,897
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $124,035
- Equity at exit
- $144,489
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18324
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$235 /mo · $2,816/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$212
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $270 | +0% $216 | +5% $162 | +10% $108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $42 | -5% $129 | +0% $216 | +5% $303 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $264 | base $216 | +0.5pp $167 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272 Stafford Dr Bushkill, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,200 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $212 · $2,544/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Located in The Falls at Saw Creek in Bushkill, this 3-bedroom, 3.5-bath townhouse stands out with a private ensuite bathroom in every bedroom--a rare feature that adds comfort and flexibility for everyday living or hosting guests. The updated kitchen features granite countertops, a breakfast bar, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, making it as functional as it is inviting. The living room opens up with vaulted ceilings and a gas fireplace, creating a bright, open space that feels both cozy and spacious. The back balcony deck offers the sweet sounds of nature and nearby creek. With a newer roof, HVAC system, and appliances already in place, much of the heavy lifting has been done for you. Plus, enjoy access to community amenities, including a pool & hot tub, perfect for relaxing during the warmer months, and is only a short distance from everything the Poconos has to offer! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a personal getaway, this home offers the comfort, layout, and ease of living that's hard to find.
-
2026-05-15status Pending 1062-char remark
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Located in The Falls at Saw Creek in Bushkill, this 3-bedroom, 3.5-bath townhouse stands out with a private ensuite bathroom in every bedroom--a rare feature that adds comfort and flexibility for everyday living or hosting guests. The updated kitchen features granite countertops, a breakfast bar, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, making it as functional as it is inviting. The living room opens up with vaulted ceilings and a gas fireplace, creating a bright, open space that feels both cozy and spacious. The back balcony deck offers the sweet sounds of nature and nearby creek. With a newer roof, HVAC system, and appliances already in place, much of the heavy lifting has been done for you. Plus, enjoy access to community amenities, including a pool & hot tub, perfect for relaxing during the warmer months, and is only a short distance from everything the Poconos has to offer! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a personal getaway, this home offers the comfort, layout, and ease of living that's hard to find.
-
2026-05-07$190,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Located in The Falls at Saw Creek in Bushkill, this 3-bedroom, 3.5-bath townhouse stands out with a private ensuite bathroom in every bedroom--a rare feature that adds comfort and flexibility for everyday living or hosting guests. The updated kitchen features granite countertops, a breakfast bar, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, making it as functional as it is inviting. The living room opens up with vaulted ceilings and a gas fireplace, creating a bright, open space that feels both cozy and spacious. The back balcony deck offers the sweet sounds of nature and nearby creek. With a newer roof, HVAC system, and appliances already in place, much of the heavy lifting has been done for you. Plus, enjoy access to community amenities, including a pool & hot tub, perfect for relaxing during the warmer months, and is only a short distance from everything the Poconos has to offer! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a personal getaway, this home offers the comfort, layout, and ease of living that's hard to find.
-
2026-05-07$190,000 Active 1062-char remark
Show marketing remark (1062 chars)
Located in The Falls at Saw Creek in Bushkill, this 3-bedroom, 3.5-bath townhouse stands out with a private ensuite bathroom in every bedroom--a rare feature that adds comfort and flexibility for everyday living or hosting guests. The updated kitchen features granite countertops, a breakfast bar, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, making it as functional as it is inviting. The living room opens up with vaulted ceilings and a gas fireplace, creating a bright, open space that feels both cozy and spacious. The back balcony deck offers the sweet sounds of nature and nearby creek. With a newer roof, HVAC system, and appliances already in place, much of the heavy lifting has been done for you. Plus, enjoy access to community amenities, including a pool & hot tub, perfect for relaxing during the warmer months, and is only a short distance from everything the Poconos has to offer! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a personal getaway, this home offers the comfort, layout, and ease of living that's hard to find.
-
2020-04-15soldstatus $86,400
-
2020-04-13soldstatus $86,400
-
2020-04-13soldstatus $86,400
-
2019-10-30$86,400
-
2019-10-30$86,400
-
2015-03-09$74,900
-
2014-12-29$87,900
-
2014-03-21soldstatus $24,000
-
2013-12-10$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,816 · $235/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,909 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- +$93/yr (+$8/mo · 3.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,816
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − HOA
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$304
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$73
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Saw Creek
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1538
- US rank
- #20241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saw Creek, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,591
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 21% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.51%
- Current HPI
- 243.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+535.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $190,000 PMAR
- 2026-05-07 Listed $190,000 GLVRMLS
- 2020-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $86,400 Public Records
- 2020-04-13 Sold (MLS) $86,400 LCAR
- 2020-04-13 Sold (MLS) $86,400 PMAR
- 2019-10-30 Listed $86,400 LCAR
- 2019-10-30 Listed $86,400 PMAR
- 2015-03-09 Listed $74,900 PMAR
- 2014-12-29 Listed $87,900 PMAR
- 2014-03-21 Sold (MLS) $24,000 PMAR
- 2013-12-10 Listed $29,900 PMAR
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,816 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…