251 M- South Archer Ave · Hartville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home for Sale in Hartville, MO. Check out this home on a corner lot that offers 2 bedrooms (could be 3 with bonus room) on . 79 ac. Home with newer roof is currently a rental and would be a great investment. Outside there is a detached garage, and a second tiny home, currently used for storage. Huge yard for a garden or kids to play with enough land to expand if you like. Located close to area amenities. If you are looking for an investment, or affordable home with storage and LOW TAXES of $236 this is it. Only 10 minutes from Hwy 60. Call today to get an appointment to view this home!!!
Key facts
- Huge yard
- Newer roof
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.79 acre (public records)
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (single phase); Propane (leased)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished area approximately 912 (source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Electric cooling with window unit(s)
- Interior features: Main-level layout
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($729/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#893 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hartville R-II (rural): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #236 of 324 in MO (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hartville Elem. (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 294 students, 48% FRL); Hartville High (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #420 of 521 statewide, top 82%, 304 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wright County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.41%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,043
- List price
- $108,000
- Delta
- -3.61%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-13,687
- Equity at exit
- $16,103
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-7,167
- Equity at exit
- $9,338
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65667
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $876 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $236/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $122 | -5% $91 | +0% $61 | +5% $30 | +10% $-129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-8 | -5% $26 | +0% $61 | +5% $95 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $88 | base $61 | +0.5pp $33 | +1.0pp $4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $108,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $108,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $108,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $108,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $108,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $108,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $108,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $108,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $108,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$108,000 Active 593-char remark
-
2026-04-24price $108,000 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Home for Sale in Hartville, MO. Check out this home on a corner lot that offers 2 bedrooms (could be 3 with bonus room) on . 79 ac. Home with newer roof is currently a rental and would be a great investment. Outside there is a detached garage, and a second tiny home, currently used for storage. Huge yard for a garden or kids to play with enough land to expand if you like. Located close to area amenities. If you are looking for an investment, or affordable home with storage and LOW TAXES of $236 this is it. Only 10 minutes from Hwy 60. Call today to get an appointment to view this home!!!
-
2026-04-22$99,000 Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Home for Sale in Hartville, MO. Check out this home on a corner lot that offers 2 bedrooms (could be 3 with bonus room) on . 79 ac. Home with newer roof is currently a rental and would be a great investment. Outside there is a detached garage, and a second tiny home, currently used for storage. Huge yard for a garden or kids to play with enough land to expand if you like. Located close to area amenities. If you are looking for an investment, or affordable home with storage and LOW TAXES of $236 this is it. Only 10 minutes from Hwy 60. Call today to get an appointment to view this home!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $236 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,048 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$811/yr (+$68/mo · 343.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$236
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$841
- − Management
- −$841
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable loss
- −$1,140
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$274
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,003/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartville R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2913770
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,644
- Composite
- 28.52/100
- National rank
- #6734
- State rank
- #236 of 324 in MO
Livability — Hartville
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #893
- US rank
- #25453
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,318
Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,699 people
- By 2030
- 15,751 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 13,894 · -16.8%
- By 2050
- 12,086 · -27.6%
- By 2075
- 8,301 · -50.3%
- By 2100
- 5,110 · -69.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Wright
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+75.7) · D 11.8% · R 87.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -75.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+75.7 2020: R+71.9 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+48.7 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.63%
- Current HPI
- 135.9226
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+9.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $108,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $108,000 SOMO
- 2026-04-22 Listed $99,000 SOMO
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $236 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…