604 E 4th St · Nescopeck, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home full of character and opportunity! This property features a first-floor laundry for added convenience, along with beautiful original details including a classic staircase and pocket doors. While in need of updating, the home offers incredible potential to make it your own. Outside, enjoy a fenced yard and a detached 2-story, 2-car garage--perfect for storage, workshop space, or hobby use. Property includes leased solar panels for energy efficiency. A great opportunity and place to begin.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Leased solar panels
- First-floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#571 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.87%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $214,436
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -23.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528 E 4th St | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 2,038 (-3%) | 4mo | $241,500 | $118 | 87 |
| 622 E 4th St | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,000 (-5%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $133 | 82 |
| 319 5th St | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 | 2,127 (+1%) | 15mo | $259,000 | $122 | 68 |
| 313 W 5th St | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 | 1,960 (-7%) | 10mo | $272,000 | $139 | 62 |
| 539 E 2nd St | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 | 2,024 (-4%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $52 | 57 |
| 504 3rd St | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 | 1,874 (-11%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $88 | 57 |
| 824 E 2nd St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,368 (+12%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $106 | 56 |
| 710 E 2nd St | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,796 (-15%) | 2mo | $263,000 | $146 | 53 |
| 319 3rd St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,829 (-13%) | 8mo | $138,000 | $75 | 49 |
| 714 1st St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,797 (-15%) | 12mo | $207,000 | $115 | 47 |
| 338 E Front St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,030 (-4%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $108 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $40,913
- Equity at exit
- $76,035
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $116,505
- Equity at exit
- $118,633
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18635
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,784 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,073/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $165,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$215,000 Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home full of character and opportunity! This property features a first-floor laundry for added convenience, along with beautiful original details including a classic staircase and pocket doors. While in need of updating, the home offers incredible potential to make it your own. Outside, enjoy a fenced yard and a detached 2-story, 2-car garage--perfect for storage, workshop space, or hobby use. Property includes leased solar panels for energy efficiency. A great opportunity and place to begin.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,073 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,340 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$267/yr (+$22/mo · 12.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,073
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,713
- − Management
- −$1,713
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,047
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$251
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berwick Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203480
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,964
- Composite
- 37.36/100
- National rank
- #4433
- State rank
- #291 of 539 in PA
Livability — Nescopeck
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #571
- US rank
- #5424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nescopeck, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,640
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.20%
- Current HPI
- 245.2539
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $215,000 CSVBR
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,073 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…