779 Darlington Rd · Carnegie, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$218,550
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AUCTION - This Colonial style single family home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms with approximately 1416 square feet of living space on a 0.17 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING. DO NOT DISTURB ANY OCCUPANTS!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-286 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (23.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#55 in PA, #344 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D.
- Chartiers Valley SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #221 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 934 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 934 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.60%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $270,589
- List price
- $218,550
- Delta
- -19.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 Collier | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (-3%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $164 | 76 |
| 697 Shadow Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+6%) | 16mo | $284,900 | $189 | 71 |
| 709 Logan St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+2%) | 2mo | $71,000 | $49 | 69 |
| 533 Flynn Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+2%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $110 | 66 |
| 416 Reamer Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+1%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $168 | 62 |
| 70 Thelma St | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,271 (-10%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $165 | 55 |
| 609 6th Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,313 (-7%) | 14mo | $225,000 | $171 | 55 |
| 523 Hulton St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (+8%) | 13mo | $231,000 | $150 | 54 |
| 815 W Main St | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,494 (+6%) | 8mo | $147,500 | $99 | 52 |
| 524 Reamer Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,322 (-7%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $197 | 49 |
| 302 Midland Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,624 (+15%) | 10mo | $196,000 | $121 | 46 |
| 602 Hulton St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,219 (-14%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $164 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-49,034
- Equity at exit
- $32,587
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-46,388
- Equity at exit
- $18,896
Cash invested: $61,194 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15106
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,764 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,146
- Tax from tax record
- −$442 /mo · $5,306/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $-286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-162 | -5% $-224 | +0% $-286 | +5% $-348 | +10% $-410 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-425 | -5% $-355 | +0% $-286 | +5% $-216 | +10% $-146 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-176 | -0.5pp $-230 | base $-286 | +0.5pp $-342 | +1.0pp $-400 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,638
- Closing costs
- $6,556
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 Sunrise Dr Carnegie, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1728 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 312 Midland Ave Carnegie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $1,400 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 100 Branch St Carnegie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1606 | $1,590 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 303 Lexington Ct Carnegie, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 230 Magazine St Unit 2 Carnegie, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 851 Kennedy St Carnegie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 525 Carothers Ave Ste 2 Carnegie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,000 | $0.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 834 Washington Ave Carnegie, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1026 | $1,638 | $1.60 | 3d | 11 | 1.03mi |
| 1900 Tee Ct Presto, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $2,128 | $2.17 | 2d | 9 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $218,550 Active 934 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $218,550 Active 931 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $218,550 Active 930 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $218,550 Active 929 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $218,550 Active 928 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $218,550 Active 926 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $218,550 Active 922 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $218,550 Active 921 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $218,550 Active 920 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $218,550 Active 917 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $218,550 Active 916 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $218,550 Active 915 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $218,550 Active 914 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,550 Active 913 DOM
-
2023-11-30$218,550 Active 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
AUCTION - This Colonial style single family home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms with approximately 1416 square feet of living space on a 0.17 acre lot. No Buyer Premium on this property. The buyer has the right to select their own title/closing company. The buyer is responsible for all closing costs in this transaction. It is a criminal offense to trespass on this property. NO TRESPASSING. DO NOT DISTURB ANY OCCUPANTS!
-
2018-08-28soldstatus $192,000
-
2018-08-24soldstatus $192,000 Sold 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
The moment you step inside you will know that you have found your home. Two bedrooms on the main level and a large Master Bedroom with walk in closet upstairs. This house is a "must see inside". So many layers of living space from the main level, upstairs master to the finished family room on the lower level complete with a bar and a second kitchen. Step out into the three season room for even more enjoyable living space and then to the terraced back yard complete with a storage shed. All this and located in the Chartiers Valley school district! Close to the interstate and all the amenities of Carnegie and so, so close to Pittsburgh, the city of Champions!
-
2018-08-13status Under Contract 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
The moment you step inside you will know that you have found your home. Two bedrooms on the main level and a large Master Bedroom with walk in closet upstairs. This house is a "must see inside". So many layers of living space from the main level, upstairs master to the finished family room on the lower level complete with a bar and a second kitchen. Step out into the three season room for even more enjoyable living space and then to the terraced back yard complete with a storage shed. All this and located in the Chartiers Valley school district! Close to the interstate and all the amenities of Carnegie and so, so close to Pittsburgh, the city of Champions!
-
2018-06-27historical Contingent 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
The moment you step inside you will know that you have found your home. Two bedrooms on the main level and a large Master Bedroom with walk in closet upstairs. This house is a "must see inside". So many layers of living space from the main level, upstairs master to the finished family room on the lower level complete with a bar and a second kitchen. Step out into the three season room for even more enjoyable living space and then to the terraced back yard complete with a storage shed. All this and located in the Chartiers Valley school district! Close to the interstate and all the amenities of Carnegie and so, so close to Pittsburgh, the city of Champions!
-
2018-06-14$194,900 Active 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
The moment you step inside you will know that you have found your home. Two bedrooms on the main level and a large Master Bedroom with walk in closet upstairs. This house is a "must see inside". So many layers of living space from the main level, upstairs master to the finished family room on the lower level complete with a bar and a second kitchen. Step out into the three season room for even more enjoyable living space and then to the terraced back yard complete with a storage shed. All this and located in the Chartiers Valley school district! Close to the interstate and all the amenities of Carnegie and so, so close to Pittsburgh, the city of Champions!
-
1981-12-17soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,306 · $442/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,306 · $442/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,242
- − Property taxes
- −$5,306
- − Insurance
- −$1,093
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,693
- − Management
- −$1,693
- − Depreciation
- −$6,358
- Taxable loss
- −$7,218
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,732
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chartiers Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205700
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,191
- Composite
- 40.91/100
- National rank
- #3614
- State rank
- #221 of 539 in PA
Livability — Carnegie
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #344
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 19,244
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,244
- Household income
- $77,247
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 410.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 255.0295
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+320.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2023-11-30 Listed $218,550 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $192,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-24 Sold (MLS) $192,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-08-13 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2018-06-27 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2018-06-14 Listed $194,900 West Penn MLS
- 1981-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2026): $5,306 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…