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8442 Central St
B- Composite 65.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

8442 Central St · Center Line, MI 48015
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1925 0.31 ac lot $135/sqft · 32% below area Est $155k · 32% under ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

5000.00 PRICE REDUCTION. Great Bones, Extra Large Lot 90-154. Attention Flippers, Landlords, Renovators, this is a great opportunity in Center Line. Buyer Must assume All City Certification Responsibility attached in Disclosures. Home needs TLC much of the work has already been started, but has Great Potential. Blank Canvas with quality materials in original home construction. Extra large Detached Garage, Basement, Some New Windows, Exterior Painted.

Key facts

  • Some new windows
  • Basement
  • Extra large lot

Tags

EXTRA LARGE LOTDETACHED GARAGEBASEMENTSOME NEW WINDOWSEXTERIOR PAINTED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with approximately 2.5 car capacity
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built as residential single-family
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Oven; Refrigerator; Range; Hardwood floors; Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.9% in Center Line — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#190 in MI, #4,835 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, health & safety D.
  • Center Line Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #459 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 16 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.10%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,925
List price
$105,000
Delta
-32.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25034 Comfort 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 804 (+3%) 2mo $136,200 $169 72
8137 Helen St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+3%) 12mo $130,000 $163 69
7399 Gronow 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 700 (-10%) 2mo $134,250 $192 58
7377 Bernice 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (+5%) 2mo $105,000 $129 57
24894 Marigold Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 888 (+14%) 2mo $105,000 $118 53
8328 Theisen St 0.54mi 3/1.0 884 (+13%) 14mo $144,500 $163 41
24700 Tallman Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 864 (+11%) 15mo $143,000 $166 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,759
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$16,098
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48015

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,268 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,216/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $986
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $282 -5% $253 +0% $223 +5% $193 +10% $164
Rent -10% $123 -5% $173 +0% $223 +5% $273 +10% $323
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $250 base $223 +0.5pp $196 +1.0pp $168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25005 Lawrence Ave Center Line, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $955 $0.95 44d 1 0.66mi
11404 Warren Blvd Unit 102 Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 24d 1 0.67mi
25108 Hoover Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 702 $1,324 $1.88 2d 65 0.78mi
27107 Seyburn Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,300 $1.73 22d 1 0.85mi
11130 Stephens Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,300 $1.73 44d 1 0.89mi
8125 Timken Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 948 $1,270 $1.34 5d 1 1.03mi
11076 Essex Ave Warren, MI 4.0 1.0 1072 $1,400 $1.31 44d 1 1.04mi
8428 Timken Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $1,250 $1.45 24d 1 1.04mi
8212 Timken Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,320 $1.75 24d 1 1.05mi
25146 Wagner Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 906 $1,900 $2.10 24d 1 1.06mi
8716 Timken Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 24d 1 1.06mi
27239 Hoover Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 670 $945 $1.41 44d 1 1.13mi
8636 Republic Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 15d 1 1.15mi
8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 5d 1 1.19mi
8707 Continental Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,200 $1.24 18d 1 1.19mi
8509 Paige Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 24d 1 1.23mi
8693 Paige Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 24d 1 1.24mi
11331 Continental Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 765 $1,250 $1.63 24d 1 1.27mi
11359 Maxwell Ave Unit 11359 Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 4d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on marketlisting id $105,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    5000.00 PRICE REDUCTION. Great Bones, Extra Large Lot 90-154. Attention Flippers, Landlords, Renovators, this is a great opportunity in Center Line. Buyer Must assume All City Certification Responsibility attached in Disclosures. Home needs TLC much of the work has already been started, but has Great Potential. Blank Canvas with quality materials in original home construction. Extra large Detached Garage, Basement, Some New Windows, Exterior Painted.

  3. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $105,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-05-06
    historical
  5. 2026-05-06
    historical
  6. 2026-05-05
    price $105,000
  7. 2026-05-05
    price $105,000
  8. 2026-05-05
    listed $105,000 Active
  9. 2026-05-05
    listed $105,000 Active
  10. 2026-04-08
    historical
  11. 2026-04-08
    historical
  12. 2026-04-07
    listed $110,000 Active
  13. 2026-04-07
    listed $110,000 Active
  14. 2026-04-06
    price $110,000
  15. 2026-04-06
    price $110,000
  16. 2026-03-21
    historical
  17. 2026-03-21
    historical
  18. 2026-03-20
    price $115,000
  19. 2026-03-20
    price $115,000
  20. 2026-03-20
    listed $115,000 Active
  21. 2026-03-20
    listed $115,000 Active
  22. 2026-02-11
    historical
  23. 2026-02-11
    historical
  24. 2026-02-10
    listed $120,000 Active
  25. 2026-02-10
    listed $120,000 Active
  26. 2026-01-31
    historical
  27. 2026-01-31
    historical
  28. 2026-01-30
    price $125,000
  29. 2026-01-30
    price $125,000
  30. 2026-01-30
    listed $125,000 Active
  31. 2026-01-30
    listed $125,000 Active
  32. 2026-01-21
    listed $135,000 Active
  33. 2026-01-21
    listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,216 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,216 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,221
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,216
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,218
− Management
−$1,218
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$266
After-tax cash flow
$2,410/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Center Line Public Schools
NCES district ID
2608580
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,011
Composite
17.95/100
National rank
#8992
State rank
#459 of 540 in MI

Livability — Center Line

Score
74/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#4835

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Center Line, MI
City population
8,448
Population (ZIP)
8,448

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 30% Asian 11% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% German 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.73%
Current HPI
256.7842
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.2% since first listed
38 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-14 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-13 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,216 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…