303 Magnolia Dr · Marysville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience the joys of owning or renting your dream home at UMH Properties, Inc. 's Marysville Estates manufactured home community in Marysville, OH. Marysville Estates is close to downtown Marysville and situated near local destinations. These homes by UMH Properties, Inc. showcase high-quality, durable features, like open concept, 3-bedroom floor plans, spacious eat-in kitchens, and real wood cabinets. Step outside into the Marysville Estates community and find a range of amenities. Our community provides storage facilities, basketball court, a playground, a pond, and 24-hour maintenance and management. The community lifestyle is waiting for you at Marysville Estates, and we want you to be a part of it! Call today to find out how. In the Marysville Area Historic Marysville is located just 30 minutes from Downtown Columbus, OH. Enjoy the attractions of a quaint town while staying connected to all the city has to offer with Marysville Estates in Marysville, OH. Marysville has a vibrant culture with the best in arts, shopping, dining and events. As a resident of Marysville Estates you'll be an easy drive away from parks, trails, pools, farmers markets, wineries and breweries. Those looking to get closer to nature will find just what they need at nearby Eljer Park, Bark Park, McCarthy Park, Schwartzkopf Park, Reservoir Park, or Partners Park. After a day spent exploring, enjoy any one of the many events in Marysville including Balloon Festival and Uptown Friday Nights. There are so many wonderful things to enjoy when living at Marysville Estates. Come see us today! Education Near Marysville Estates Marysville Estates community is located in the Marysville Exempted Village School District. Students of our Marysville community will begin at Navin Elementary for grades K-5. Students will then move up to Bunsold Middle School for grades 6-8 and Marysville High School for grades 9-12.
Key facts
- Storage facilities
- Pond
- Basketball court
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.2% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#157 in OH, #2,377 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Marysville Exempted Village (town): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #137 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 222 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,498 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (831 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $833 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $120k implies a 609% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.04%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,080
- Equity at exit
- $17,967
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-60
- Equity at exit
- $10,419
Cash invested: $33,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43040
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,340 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$632
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$151 /mo · $1,808/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,125
- Closing costs
- $3,615
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 548 N Main St Marysville, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,025 | $1.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 270 W 5th St Unit 1 Marysville, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 316 W 5th St Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 316 W 5th St Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 316 W 5th St Unit 9 Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 331 S Walnut St Unit 2nd floor Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 291 Pearlash Rd Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,834 | $1.50 | 1d | 10 | 0.75mi |
| 1001 Columbus Ave Marysville, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,466 | $1.89 | 1d | 18 | 0.84mi |
| 650 1/2 Chestnut St Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 780 Doss DR Marysville, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 829 | $1,440 | $1.74 | 1d | 34 | 1.00mi |
| 950 Professional Pkwy Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 812 | $1,655 | $2.04 | 1d | 81 | 1.05mi |
| 259 Honeysuckle Ln Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,180 | $1.45 | 1d | 8 | 1.08mi |
| 925 W 5th St Marysville, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,204 | $1.48 | 1d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 722 Collins Ave Unit 722-L Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,099 | $1.41 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 201 Professional Pkwy Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,834 | $2.04 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 300 Iron Way Marysville, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,620 | $1.82 | 1d | 24 | 1.21mi |
| 777 Milcrest Dr Unit 779 Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 777 Milcrest Dr Unit 799 Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 777 Milcrest Dr Unit 791 Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,525 | $1.52 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 179 Emmaus Rd Marysville, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 796 | $1,521 | $1.91 | 1d | 7 | 1.23mi |
| 341 Riverwind Dr Marysville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,240 | $1.37 | 1d | 6 | 1.37mi |
| 630 Watkins Glen Blvd Marysville, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1009 | $1,912 | $1.90 | 1d | 13 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-02-06$120,500 Active 1912-char remark
Show marketing remark (1912 chars)
Experience the joys of owning or renting your dream home at UMH Properties, Inc. 's Marysville Estates manufactured home community in Marysville, OH. Marysville Estates is close to downtown Marysville and situated near local destinations. These homes by UMH Properties, Inc. showcase high-quality, durable features, like open concept, 3-bedroom floor plans, spacious eat-in kitchens, and real wood cabinets. Step outside into the Marysville Estates community and find a range of amenities. Our community provides storage facilities, basketball court, a playground, a pond, and 24-hour maintenance and management. The community lifestyle is waiting for you at Marysville Estates, and we want you to be a part of it! Call today to find out how. In the Marysville Area Historic Marysville is located just 30 minutes from Downtown Columbus, OH. Enjoy the attractions of a quaint town while staying connected to all the city has to offer with Marysville Estates in Marysville, OH. Marysville has a vibrant culture with the best in arts, shopping, dining and events. As a resident of Marysville Estates you'll be an easy drive away from parks, trails, pools, farmers markets, wineries and breweries. Those looking to get closer to nature will find just what they need at nearby Eljer Park, Bark Park, McCarthy Park, Schwartzkopf Park, Reservoir Park, or Partners Park. After a day spent exploring, enjoy any one of the many events in Marysville including Balloon Festival and Uptown Friday Nights. There are so many wonderful things to enjoy when living at Marysville Estates. Come see us today! Education Near Marysville Estates Marysville Estates community is located in the Marysville Exempted Village School District. Students of our Marysville community will begin at Navin Elementary for grades K-5. Students will then move up to Bunsold Middle School for grades 6-8 and Marysville High School for grades 9-12.
-
1995-01-13soldstatus $17,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
VERY NICE 14X72 OVERLAND PARK WITH EXPANDO, SOME NEW CARPET, SMALL EDARDECK ON FRONT 2 TIER CEDAR DECK ON BACK WITH LIGHTS, GARDEN TUB IN MASTERBED. TRACK LIGHTING IN KITCHEN AND LIVING ROOM.
-
1995-01-03historical 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
VERY NICE 14X72 OVERLAND PARK WITH EXPANDO, SOME NEW CARPET, SMALL EDARDECK ON FRONT 2 TIER CEDAR DECK ON BACK WITH LIGHTS, GARDEN TUB IN MASTERBED. TRACK LIGHTING IN KITCHEN AND LIVING ROOM.
-
1994-09-06$20,000 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
VERY NICE 14X72 OVERLAND PARK WITH EXPANDO, SOME NEW CARPET, SMALL EDARDECK ON FRONT 2 TIER CEDAR DECK ON BACK WITH LIGHTS, GARDEN TUB IN MASTERBED. TRACK LIGHTING IN KITCHEN AND LIVING ROOM.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,750
- − Property taxes
- −$1,808
- − Insurance
- −$602
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,287
- − Management
- −$1,287
- − Depreciation
- −$3,505
- Taxable income
- $844
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$202
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,509/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904547
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,329
- Composite
- 60.81/100
- National rank
- #819
- State rank
- #137 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #2377
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, OH
- County
- Union County · 57,133 people
- City population
- 38,990
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,990
- Household income
- $99,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 437.0
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,316 people
- By 2030
- 60,024 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,846 · +7.8%
- By 2050
- 64,195 · +10.1%
- By 2075
- 65,468 · +12.3%
- By 2100
- 60,748 · +4.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.6) · D 34.7% · R 64.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -29.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.6 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+38.0 2012: R+29.7 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -266.67%
- Current HPI
- 237.0968
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+502.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Listed $120,500 Zillow
- 1995-01-13 Sold (MLS) $17,000 CBRMLS
- 1995-01-03 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1994-09-06 Listed $20,000 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…