389 S Avenue A St · Canton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3, possible 5 bedroom home. Lots of room for a growing family. 2 bedrooms don't have closets. Beautiful enclosed front porch with all newer replacement windows. Living room and dining room combo. Large backyard. Build your dream garage. Taxes would be $1,365 with owner occupied. Sold "AS IS".
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Upgraded fuse box
- Newer fixtures
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 170 x 29 x 169; Building area approximately 1,849 (total living area listed)
- HOA & community: No association fee listed
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1920; Unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Replacement windows; Shed(s); Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen located on main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (located on main, upper and lower levels); Egress windows in bedrooms; Bedroom flooring: mix of hardwood and carpet
- Flooring: Hardwood in several upper-level rooms; Carpet in some main- and lower-level rooms; Other flooring in kitchen area
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Gas water heater (heating source listed)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 7.9% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Canton High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 641 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.76%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,457
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -21.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454 S 3rd Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-3%) | 0mo | $9,000 | $9 | 80 |
| 1155 S Main St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-2%) | 3mo | $88,500 | $85 | 61 |
| 658 E Maple St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,068 (+1%) | 9mo | $37,500 | $35 | 58 |
| 143 E Spruce St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 998 (-6%) | 2mo | $49,900 | $50 | 54 |
| 454 Mulberry Pl | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+13%) | 8mo | $42,500 | $35 | 53 |
| 17 N 5th Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 980 (-8%) | 6mo | $18,000 | $18 | 51 |
| 324 W Spruce St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-9%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $41 | 49 |
| 134 N Avenue D | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+13%) | 1mo | $74,900 | $62 | 47 |
| 249 E Ash St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,076 (+2%) | 13mo | $49,500 | $46 | 47 |
| 846 S 7th Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 11mo | $103,000 | $89 | 43 |
| 205 E Spruce St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+13%) | 8mo | $53,500 | $45 | 40 |
| 1195 S Main St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-14%) | 6mo | $86,000 | $94 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $12,355
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $41,375
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61520
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,136 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $69,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $72,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $72,500 899-char remark
-
2026-04-25$74,000 Active 899-char remark
-
2023-07-28soldstatus $52,000
-
2023-07-27soldstatus $40,000 Closed 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
3, possible 5 bedroom home. Lots of room for a growing family. 2 bedrooms don't have closets. Beautiful enclosed front porch with all newer replacement windows. Living room and dining room combo. Large backyard. Build your dream garage. Taxes would be $1,365 with owner occupied. Sold "AS IS".
-
2023-07-12status Pending 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
3, possible 5 bedroom home. Lots of room for a growing family. 2 bedrooms don't have closets. Beautiful enclosed front porch with all newer replacement windows. Living room and dining room combo. Large backyard. Build your dream garage. Taxes would be $1,365 with owner occupied. Sold "AS IS".
-
2023-07-11$47,900 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
3, possible 5 bedroom home. Lots of room for a growing family. 2 bedrooms don't have closets. Beautiful enclosed front porch with all newer replacement windows. Living room and dining room combo. Large backyard. Build your dream garage. Taxes would be $1,365 with owner occupied. Sold "AS IS".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,566 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,576 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$10/yr (+$1/mo · 0.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,566
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $3,585
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$860
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,593/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canton Union SD 66
- NCES district ID
- 1708280
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,657
- Composite
- 18.03/100
- National rank
- #8980
- State rank
- #417 of 620 in IL
Livability — Canton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #6313
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canton, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,356 people
- By 2030
- 32,144 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 29,518 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 26,775 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 19,972 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 13,580 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.00%
- Current HPI
- 123.8086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+45.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $72,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Listed $74,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-27 Sold (MLS) $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-12 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-11 Listed $47,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+25.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,566 · -25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…