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5872 Mayflower Way 🌊 Lakefront
C+ Composite 60.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$312,000

5872 Mayflower Way · Ave Maria, FL 34142
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,460 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 2019 4,356 sqft lot Est $402k · 22% under $474/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

V6815 - Del Webb Naples, Like New, Immaculately Maintained, “Seagrove” Model Vista Series Villa, Heavily Optioned, Premium Waterside Lot, Stunning Long Water & Golf Views. Two Bedrooms, Den, Large Walk-In-Closet, Two Full Baths, Garage to Kitchen Entry, Breakfast Nook, Formal Dining Area, Screened Front & Rear Lanai, Large Two Car Garage. Options Include Whole House Glass Impact Doors & Windows, Den Glass French Doors Option, Plumbed Garage Utility Sink, Upgraded 42” Kitchen Cabinets w/ Crown, SS Appliances, Quartz Tops, Tile Backsplash, Pendant Lighting, Comfort Height Vanities, Heavy 3/8 Frameless Glass Master Shower, Shower Grab Bar, Porcelain Tile on Diagonal Through Most, Upgraded Interior Doors 8’ & 5 ¼” Baseboards, Garage Floor Epoxy, LED Downlighting, Window Coverings. Property is Social Membership. Oasis Club Resort Style Amenity Center – Resort Pool/Lap Pool/Jacuzzi, Fitness Center, 12 Pickleball Courts /2 Tennis Courts/ 4 Bocce Courts, Large Catering Hall, Golf Sim, Billiards, Movement Rm, Library, Activities Director, and Much More. Semi-Private Championship Style Golf Course, Golf Pro Shop, On-Site Golf Pro, Restaurant. “Come Experience the Beauty that is Ave Maria”.

Key facts

  • Epoxy garage floor
  • Rare pond views
  • Cul de sac street

Tags

GOLF COURSE VIEWSCUL DE SAC STREETIMPACT GLASSRARE POND VIEWSGATED CUL-DE-SAC STREETEPOXY GARAGE FLOOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community type: gated, golf course community with tennis
  • Financial info: One-time other fee and community fees apply; Total annual recurring fees reported; Assessment and tax amounts not included per instructions
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fees; Master association fee included; Professional management; HOA maintenance covers cable, internet/wifi access, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, manager, recreation facilities, reserves, street lights and street maintenance; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool and spa/hot tub, exercise room, golf course (non-equity), tennis and pickleball courts, bocce and putting green, basketball, bike and jog paths, sidewalks and streetlights, dog park, restaurant, library, hobby room, billiards, shopping, BBQ/picnic areas, underground utilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Paved driveway; Auto garage door
  • Security: Gated community; Entry card and entry keypad access
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available; Electric service (central)
  • Home design: Attached villa (1 story / ranch); Rear exposure facing east; Residential property in Ave Maria development
  • Construction: Built in 2019; Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior finish; Tile roof; Impact resistant windows and doors; Single-hung windows; Foundation information not specified
  • Exterior features: Screened lanai/porch; Patio; Pond on property; Automatic sprinkler system (reclaimed irrigation)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator/Freezer; Refrigerator/Icemaker; Self-cleaning oven
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms plus den; Master bedroom on ground level; Split bedroom layout; Den (study) and guest room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and shower (no tub)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cable prewire; Foyer; French doors; High-speed internet available; Laundry tub; Pantry; Smoke detectors; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Great room floor plan; Unfurnished; 4 ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in residence; Laundry tub; Safe

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $312k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $312k).
  • Recommended offer: $307k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,585/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1093% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($307k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $307,320 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.58%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$401,500
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6373 Liberty St 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,674 (+15%) 11mo $460,000 $275 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-12,056
Equity at exit
$74,591
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$30,294
Equity at exit
$77,713

Cash invested: $87,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34142

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
451
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,585 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,636
Tax from tax record
$405 /mo · $4,859/yr
Insurance
$130
HOA
$474
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$753
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,348
Max offer price $312,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $364 -5% $276 +0% $187 +5% $99 +10% $11
Rent -10% $-96 -5% $46 +0% $187 +5% $329 +10% $471
Rate -1.0pp $345 -0.5pp $267 base $187 +0.5pp $107 +1.0pp $24

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,000
Closing costs
$9,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5935 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,550 $1.75 24d 1 0.13mi
5769 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $4,000 $2.57 24d 1 0.15mi
5988 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1602 $5,200 $3.25 24d 1 0.20mi
5705 Mayflower Way #1407 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1536 $2,250 $1.46 24d 1 0.26mi
5697 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1538 $2,495 $1.62 24d 1 0.32mi
5690 Mayflower Way #601 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1815 $5,500 $3.03 24d 1 0.39mi
5690 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1815 $3,295 $1.82 24d 1 0.39mi
6441 Liberty St Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1685 $5,795 $3.44 24d 1 0.62mi
6168 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1570 $5,495 $3.50 15d 1 0.89mi
6189 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $6,295 $4.04 24d 1 0.95mi
6205 Harmony Dr Immokalee, FL 3.0 2.0 1558 $5,000 $3.21 24d 1 0.98mi
5538 Useppa Dr Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.5 1850 $10,995 $5.94 24d 1 1.00mi
8010 Helena Ct Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $2,500 $1.61 22d 1 1.07mi
5435 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.5 1850 $3,695 $2.00 22d 1 1.08mi
5639 Argento Dr Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,500 $1.79 24d 1 1.09mi
5574 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,250 $1.38 22d 1 1.10mi
5688 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $2,500 $1.83 15d 1 1.13mi
5704 Melbourne Ct #6712 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,295 $4.19 24d 1 1.22mi
6039 Ellerston WAY #2017 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $6,295 $4.65 24d 1 1.22mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4217 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,795 $5.02 24d 1 1.22mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir #4316 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,495 $4.76 24d 1 1.22mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4223 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,395 $2.08 24d 1 1.22mi
5715 Double Eagle Cir #4416 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,100 $1.82 24d 1 1.22mi
5835 Double Eagle CIR #4714 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,895 $1.69 24d 1 1.22mi
5835 Double Eagle Cir #4726 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,095 $1.82 15d 1 1.22mi
5710 Melbourne Ct #6511 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $7,295 $4.19 24d 1 1.22mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir #4338 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1301 $6,295 $4.84 24d 1 1.22mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir #4218 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $6,295 $4.84 24d 1 1.22mi
6036 Ellerston WAY #1311 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1741 $4,490 $2.58 24d 1 1.22mi
5445 Double Eagle Cir #3011 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1569 $2,495 $1.59 24d 1 1.22mi
5478 Double Eagle Cir #3521 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1569 $4,995 $3.18 24d 1 1.29mi
5909 Berwick Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1850 $10,995 $5.94 24d 1 1.29mi
5466 Double Eagle Cir #3425 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $5,995 $4.42 24d 1 1.32mi
5454 Double Eagle Cir #3325 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,495 $1.84 24d 1 1.32mi
5433 Double Eagle Cir #2915 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $6,295 $4.61 22d 1 1.36mi
5433 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $3,295 $2.41 24d 1 1.36mi
5479 Double Eagle Cir #3626 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,200 $1.91 14d 1 1.37mi
5478 Double Eagle Cir #3515 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,395 $1.77 24d 1 1.37mi
6082 National Blvd Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $4,145 $3.03 24d 2 1.38mi
5428 Double Eagle Cir #2517 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,695 $1.99 24d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$474 · $5,688/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgym

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $312,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $312,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $312,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $312,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $312,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $312,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $312,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $312,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $312,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $312,000 Active 1 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $312,000 Active 169 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $312,000 Active 168 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $312,000 Active 167 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $312,000 Active 166 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $312,000 Active 165 DOM
  16. 2026-05-07
    price $312,000
  17. 2026-03-30
    price $319,000
  18. 2026-03-04
    price $329,000
  19. 2026-03-01
    price $339,900
  20. 2026-02-11
    price $345,000
  21. 2026-01-31
    price $349,900
  22. 2026-01-25
    price $353,000
  23. 2025-12-16
    listed $358,000 Active
  24. 2025-11-28
    historical
  25. 2025-05-28
    listed $379,900 Active
  26. 2023-01-06
    soldstatus $390,000
  27. 2023-01-05
    soldstatus $390,000 Sold 1277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1277 chars)

    V6815 - Del Webb Naples, Like New, Immaculately Maintained, “Seagrove” Model Vista Series Villa, Heavily Optioned, Premium Waterside Lot, Stunning Long Water & Golf Views. Two Bedrooms, Den, Large Walk-In-Closet, Two Full Baths, Garage to Kitchen Entry, Breakfast Nook, Formal Dining Area, Screened Front & Rear Lanai, Large Two Car Garage. Options Include Whole House Glass Impact Doors & Windows, Den Glass French Doors Option, Plumbed Garage Utility Sink, Upgraded 42” Kitchen Cabinets w/ Crown, SS Appliances, Quartz Tops, Tile Backsplash, Pendant Lighting, Comfort Height Vanities, Heavy 3/8 Frameless Glass Master Shower, Shower Grab Bar, Porcelain Tile on Diagonal Through Most, Upgraded Interior Doors 8’ & 5 ¼” Baseboards, Garage Floor Epoxy, LED Downlighting, Window Coverings. Property is Social Membership. Oasis Club Resort Style Amenity Center – Resort Pool/Lap Pool/Jacuzzi, Fitness Center, 12 Pickleball Courts /2 Tennis Courts/ 4 Bocce Courts, Large Catering Hall, Golf Sim, Billiards, Movement Rm, Library, Activities Director, and Much More. Semi-Private Championship Style Golf Course, Golf Pro Shop, On-Site Golf Pro, Restaurant. “Come Experience the Beauty that is Ave Maria”.

  28. 2022-11-22
    status Pending With Contingencies 1277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1277 chars)

    V6815 - Del Webb Naples, Like New, Immaculately Maintained, “Seagrove” Model Vista Series Villa, Heavily Optioned, Premium Waterside Lot, Stunning Long Water & Golf Views. Two Bedrooms, Den, Large Walk-In-Closet, Two Full Baths, Garage to Kitchen Entry, Breakfast Nook, Formal Dining Area, Screened Front & Rear Lanai, Large Two Car Garage. Options Include Whole House Glass Impact Doors & Windows, Den Glass French Doors Option, Plumbed Garage Utility Sink, Upgraded 42” Kitchen Cabinets w/ Crown, SS Appliances, Quartz Tops, Tile Backsplash, Pendant Lighting, Comfort Height Vanities, Heavy 3/8 Frameless Glass Master Shower, Shower Grab Bar, Porcelain Tile on Diagonal Through Most, Upgraded Interior Doors 8’ & 5 ¼” Baseboards, Garage Floor Epoxy, LED Downlighting, Window Coverings. Property is Social Membership. Oasis Club Resort Style Amenity Center – Resort Pool/Lap Pool/Jacuzzi, Fitness Center, 12 Pickleball Courts /2 Tennis Courts/ 4 Bocce Courts, Large Catering Hall, Golf Sim, Billiards, Movement Rm, Library, Activities Director, and Much More. Semi-Private Championship Style Golf Course, Golf Pro Shop, On-Site Golf Pro, Restaurant. “Come Experience the Beauty that is Ave Maria”.

  29. 2022-11-05
    price $397,900 1277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1277 chars)

    V6815 - Del Webb Naples, Like New, Immaculately Maintained, “Seagrove” Model Vista Series Villa, Heavily Optioned, Premium Waterside Lot, Stunning Long Water & Golf Views. Two Bedrooms, Den, Large Walk-In-Closet, Two Full Baths, Garage to Kitchen Entry, Breakfast Nook, Formal Dining Area, Screened Front & Rear Lanai, Large Two Car Garage. Options Include Whole House Glass Impact Doors & Windows, Den Glass French Doors Option, Plumbed Garage Utility Sink, Upgraded 42” Kitchen Cabinets w/ Crown, SS Appliances, Quartz Tops, Tile Backsplash, Pendant Lighting, Comfort Height Vanities, Heavy 3/8 Frameless Glass Master Shower, Shower Grab Bar, Porcelain Tile on Diagonal Through Most, Upgraded Interior Doors 8’ & 5 ¼” Baseboards, Garage Floor Epoxy, LED Downlighting, Window Coverings. Property is Social Membership. Oasis Club Resort Style Amenity Center – Resort Pool/Lap Pool/Jacuzzi, Fitness Center, 12 Pickleball Courts /2 Tennis Courts/ 4 Bocce Courts, Large Catering Hall, Golf Sim, Billiards, Movement Rm, Library, Activities Director, and Much More. Semi-Private Championship Style Golf Course, Golf Pro Shop, On-Site Golf Pro, Restaurant. “Come Experience the Beauty that is Ave Maria”.

  30. 2022-08-11
    listed $411,900 Active 1277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1277 chars)

    V6815 - Del Webb Naples, Like New, Immaculately Maintained, “Seagrove” Model Vista Series Villa, Heavily Optioned, Premium Waterside Lot, Stunning Long Water & Golf Views. Two Bedrooms, Den, Large Walk-In-Closet, Two Full Baths, Garage to Kitchen Entry, Breakfast Nook, Formal Dining Area, Screened Front & Rear Lanai, Large Two Car Garage. Options Include Whole House Glass Impact Doors & Windows, Den Glass French Doors Option, Plumbed Garage Utility Sink, Upgraded 42” Kitchen Cabinets w/ Crown, SS Appliances, Quartz Tops, Tile Backsplash, Pendant Lighting, Comfort Height Vanities, Heavy 3/8 Frameless Glass Master Shower, Shower Grab Bar, Porcelain Tile on Diagonal Through Most, Upgraded Interior Doors 8’ & 5 ¼” Baseboards, Garage Floor Epoxy, LED Downlighting, Window Coverings. Property is Social Membership. Oasis Club Resort Style Amenity Center – Resort Pool/Lap Pool/Jacuzzi, Fitness Center, 12 Pickleball Courts /2 Tennis Courts/ 4 Bocce Courts, Large Catering Hall, Golf Sim, Billiards, Movement Rm, Library, Activities Director, and Much More. Semi-Private Championship Style Golf Course, Golf Pro Shop, On-Site Golf Pro, Restaurant. “Come Experience the Beauty that is Ave Maria”.

  31. 2019-10-20
    status Pending
  32. 2019-10-19
    soldstatus $238,325 Closed
  33. 2019-09-23
    status Pending
  34. 2019-08-09
    price $238,325
  35. 2019-05-08
    listed $248,325 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,859 · $405/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,859 · $405/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,026
− Mortgage interest
−$17,477
− Property taxes
−$4,859
− Insurance
−$1,560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,442
− Management
−$3,442
− HOA
−$5,688
− Depreciation
−$9,076
Taxable loss
−$2,518
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$604
After-tax cash flow
$2,854/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ave Maria

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ave Maria, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,149
Household income
$62,333
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1093.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.05%
Current HPI
226.9105
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.6% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $312,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $319,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $329,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $339,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $345,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $349,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Price Changed $353,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $358,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-05-28 Listed $379,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $390,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-05 Sold (MLS) $390,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2022-11-22 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2022-11-05 Price Changed $397,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2022-08-11 Listed $411,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2019-10-20 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2019-10-19 Sold (MLS) $238,325 FORTMLS
  • 2019-09-23 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2019-08-09 Price Changed $238,325 FORTMLS
  • 2019-05-08 Listed $248,325 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+28.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,859 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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