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707 N Nottawa St
B+ Composite 75.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,000

707 N Nottawa St · Sturgis, MI 49091
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,734 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1937 8,712 sqft lot $54/sqft · 42% below area Est $157k · 41% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.

Key facts

  • Large front porch
  • Separate dining area
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE FRONT PORCHSEPARATE DINING AREAMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOMPARTIALLY FENCED BACK YARDDETACHED TWO CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Traditional single-family home; Built in 1937
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Partial basement foundation
  • Exterior features: 0.2-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (separate room)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; Bedroom 5
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Storm windows; Partial Michigan-style basement; Ten total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.8% in Sturgis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#226 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Sturgis Public Schools (town): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #413 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 15 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
11.20%
Cash-on-cash
17.53%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,012
List price
$93,000
Delta
-40.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
701 N Nottawa St 0.04mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,680 (-3%) 8mo $90,000 $54 77
402 N 4th St 0.19mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,664 (-4%) 6mo $200,000 $120 72
606 N Fourth St 0.20mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,871 (+8%) 1mo $215,000 $115 72
601 N Nottawa St 0.09mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,962 (+13%) 10mo $230,000 $117 60
409 N Prospect St 0.26mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (-10%) 16mo $120,000 $77 52
103 S Prospect St 0.61mi 5/1.5 1,648 (-5%) 12mo $160,000 $97 51
814 N Lakeview Ave 0.70mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-10%) 3mo $225,000 $144 43
508 N Clay St 0.31mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,504 (-13%) 17mo $75,000 $50 40
104 N Jefferson St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (+10%) 12mo $180,000 $95 40
403 North St 0.36mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (-14%) 15mo $102,000 $68 39
100 N Prospect St 0.55mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,550 (-11%) 18mo $165,000 $106 34
404 N Lakeview Ave 0.48mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,517 (-12%) 20mo $115,000 $76 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$9,274
Equity at exit
$13,867
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$39,727
Equity at exit
$8,041

Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49091

Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,475 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$488
Tax from tax record
$259 /mo · $3,102/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$381

Break-even live

Break-even rent $994
Max offer price $93,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $433 -5% $407 +0% $381 +5% $354 +10% $328
Rent -10% $264 -5% $322 +0% $381 +5% $439 +10% $497
Rate -1.0pp $427 -0.5pp $404 base $381 +0.5pp $356 +1.0pp $332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,250
Closing costs
$2,790
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.

  2. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.

  3. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.

  4. 2026-04-28
    listed $93,000 Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.

  5. 2026-04-28
    listed $93,000 Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.

  6. 2026-04-28
    listed $93,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.

  7. 2023-06-01
    soldstatus $190,000 Sold
  8. 2023-06-01
    soldstatus $190,000 Closed
  9. 2023-06-01
    soldstatus $190,000 Sold
  10. 2023-06-01
    soldstatus $190,000
  11. 2023-04-30
    status Pending
  12. 2023-04-30
    status Pending
  13. 2023-04-30
    status Pending
  14. 2023-04-24
    status Active
  15. 2023-04-24
    status Active
  16. 2023-04-24
    status Active
  17. 2023-03-23
    price $195,000
  18. 2023-03-23
    price $195,000
  19. 2023-03-22
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  20. 2023-03-22
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  21. 2023-03-22
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
  22. 2023-03-22
    price $195,000
  23. 2023-03-22
    status Active
  24. 2023-03-22
    status Active
  25. 2023-03-22
    status Active
  26. 2023-03-10
    status Pending
  27. 2023-03-10
    status Pending
  28. 2023-03-10
    status Pending
  29. 2023-01-17
    price $190,000
  30. 2023-01-17
    price $190,000
  31. 2023-01-17
    price $190,000
  32. 2022-12-02
    price $195,000
  33. 2022-12-01
    price $195,000
  34. 2022-11-30
    listed $198,900 Active
  35. 2022-11-30
    listed $195,000 Active
  36. 2022-11-30
    listed $198,900 Active
  37. 2022-06-07
    soldstatus $115,000
  38. 2022-05-26
    soldstatus $115,000 Sold
  39. 2022-05-26
    soldstatus $115,000 Sold
  40. 2022-05-09
    status Pending
  41. 2022-05-09
    status Pending
  42. 2022-05-01
    listed $111,000 Active
  43. 2022-05-01
    listed $111,000 Active
  44. 2022-05-01
    listed $111,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,102 · $259/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,102 · $259/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,704
− Mortgage interest
−$5,209
− Property taxes
−$3,102
− Insurance
−$465
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,416
− Management
−$1,416
− Depreciation
−$2,705
Taxable income
$3,389
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$813
After-tax cash flow
$3,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sturgis Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633090
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,702
Composite
21.95/100
National rank
#8220
State rank
#413 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sturgis

Score
73/100
State rank
#226
US rank
#5687

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sturgis, MI
Population (ZIP)
19,448

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,726 people
By 2030
57,030 · -2.9%
By 2040
53,266 · -9.3%
By 2050
49,343 · -16.0%
By 2075
40,441 · -31.1%
By 2100
31,981 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Italian 10% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.64%
Current HPI
205.9474
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
44 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $93,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $93,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $93,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $190,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $190,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-30 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-04-24 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-24 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-24 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-03-23 Price Changed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-23 Price Changed $195,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-22 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-22 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-22 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-03-22 Price Changed $195,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-03-22 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-22 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-22 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-03-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-01-17 Price Changed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-17 Price Changed $190,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-17 Price Changed $190,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-12-02 Price Changed $195,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-01 Price Changed $195,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-11-30 Listed $198,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-11-30 Listed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-11-30 Listed $198,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-05-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-05-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-05-09 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-05-01 Listed $111,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-05-01 Listed $111,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2022-05-01 Listed $111,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,102 · -16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…