707 N Nottawa St · Sturgis, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.
Key facts
- Large front porch
- Separate dining area
- 8,712 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Built in 1937
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Partial basement foundation
- Exterior features: 0.2-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (separate room)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4; Bedroom 5
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Storm windows; Partial Michigan-style basement; Ten total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.8% in Sturgis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#226 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Sturgis Public Schools (town): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #413 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 15 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.53%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,012
- List price
- $93,000
- Delta
- -40.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 N Nottawa St | 0.04mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-3%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $54 | 77 |
| 402 N 4th St | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,664 (-4%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $120 | 72 |
| 606 N Fourth St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,871 (+8%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $115 | 72 |
| 601 N Nottawa St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,962 (+13%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $117 | 60 |
| 409 N Prospect St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-10%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $77 | 52 |
| 103 S Prospect St | 0.61mi | 5/1.5 | 1,648 (-5%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $97 | 51 |
| 814 N Lakeview Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-10%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $144 | 43 |
| 508 N Clay St | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-13%) | 17mo | $75,000 | $50 | 40 |
| 104 N Jefferson St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (+10%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $95 | 40 |
| 403 North St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-14%) | 15mo | $102,000 | $68 | 39 |
| 100 N Prospect St | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,550 (-11%) | 18mo | $165,000 | $106 | 34 |
| 404 N Lakeview Ave | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,517 (-12%) | 20mo | $115,000 | $76 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $9,274
- Equity at exit
- $13,867
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $39,727
- Equity at exit
- $8,041
Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49091
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$488
- Tax from tax record
- −$259 /mo · $3,102/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $381
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $433 | -5% $407 | +0% $381 | +5% $354 | +10% $328 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $264 | -5% $322 | +0% $381 | +5% $439 | +10% $497 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $427 | -0.5pp $404 | base $381 | +0.5pp $356 | +1.0pp $332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,250
- Closing costs
- $2,790
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.
-
2026-05-08status Pending 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.
-
2026-05-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.
-
2026-04-28$93,000 Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.
-
2026-04-28$93,000 Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.
-
2026-04-28$93,000 Active
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Cute two story home with a large front porch that is very inviting for those perfect summer porch sitting days! Nice size rooms plus large kitchen with separate dining area. Main floor laundry room. Nice size partially fenced back yard for that extra privacy and a large detached two car garage. Located in town with sidewalks to enjoy long walks around the neighborhood or walk to local stores.
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2023-06-01soldstatus $190,000 Sold
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2023-06-01soldstatus $190,000 Closed
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2023-06-01soldstatus $190,000 Sold
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2023-06-01soldstatus $190,000
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2023-04-30status Pending
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2023-04-30status Pending
-
2023-04-30status Pending
-
2023-04-24status Active
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2023-04-24status Active
-
2023-04-24status Active
-
2023-03-23price $195,000
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2023-03-23price $195,000
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2023-03-22historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2023-03-22historical Accepting Backup Offers
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2023-03-22historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
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2023-03-22price $195,000
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2023-03-22status Active
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2023-03-22status Active
-
2023-03-22status Active
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2023-03-10status Pending
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2023-03-10status Pending
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2023-03-10status Pending
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2023-01-17price $190,000
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2023-01-17price $190,000
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2023-01-17price $190,000
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2022-12-02price $195,000
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2022-12-01price $195,000
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2022-11-30$198,900 Active
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2022-11-30$195,000 Active
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2022-11-30$198,900 Active
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2022-06-07soldstatus $115,000
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2022-05-26soldstatus $115,000 Sold
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2022-05-26soldstatus $115,000 Sold
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2022-05-09status Pending
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2022-05-09status Pending
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2022-05-01$111,000 Active
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2022-05-01$111,000 Active
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2022-05-01$111,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,102 · $259/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,102 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,209
- − Property taxes
- −$3,102
- − Insurance
- −$465
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$2,705
- Taxable income
- $3,389
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$813
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,753/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sturgis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633090
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,702
- Composite
- 21.95/100
- National rank
- #8220
- State rank
- #413 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sturgis
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #5687
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sturgis, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,448
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,726 people
- By 2030
- 57,030 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 53,266 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 49,343 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 40,441 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 31,981 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.64%
- Current HPI
- 205.9474
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-16.2% since first listed44 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $93,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $93,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $93,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $190,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-04-30 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-04-30 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-04-30 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-04-24 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-04-24 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-04-24 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-03-23 Price Changed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-23 Price Changed $195,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-03-22 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-22 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-22 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-03-22 Price Changed $195,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-03-22 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-22 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-22 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-03-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-10 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-01-17 Price Changed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-17 Price Changed $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-01-17 Price Changed $190,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-12-02 Price Changed $195,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-12-01 Price Changed $195,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-11-30 Listed $198,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-11-30 Listed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-30 Listed $198,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-05-26 Sold (MLS) $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-05-09 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-05-01 Listed $111,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-01 Listed $111,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2022-05-01 Listed $111,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,102 · -16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…