6960 Dallas Ln N · Maple Grove, MN 55311

$299,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1977 0.25 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.5/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this split-foyer home in the highly sought-after Timber Crest Forest neighborhood of Maple Grove. Set on a quiet, tree-lined 0.25-acre lot, this 4-bedroom property offers a fantastic opportunity for buyers looking to build equity and bring their vision to life. Offering an opportunity for updates and personalization, the home features a functional layout, a sun-filled main living area, and a partially finished basement with great potential for a spacious family room or additional living space. The private backyard offers a great setting for future outdoor enjoyment, and the location is hard to beat- just minutes from Fish Lake Regional Park and the dog park, within the Maple Grov

Key facts

• 0.25 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1977

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (5.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $284k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.4% in Maple Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#54 in MN, #1,353 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living D.
• Osseo Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #129 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 300 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $299k implies a 571% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $284,102 (5.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.95% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.06%
• DSCR: 1.14
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-26,411
• Equity at exit: $44,582

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.37×
• Total profit: $31,205
• Equity at exit: $25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55311

• Rents YoY: 5.9%
• Active inventory: 300
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,841 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,568
• Tax from tax record: −$338 /mo · $4,058/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$597
• Net cashflow: $214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,571

Max offer price $299,000

Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,750
• Closing costs: $8,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
14169 68th Pl N Unit 1 Maple Grove, MN	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,995	$2.00	43d	1	0.23mi
6876 Vicksburg Ln N Maple Grove, MN	2.0–3.0	1.5	1110	$2,350	$2.12	1d	6	1.09mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-04-27
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-24
   listed $299,000 Active
3. 2026-04-20
   historical $299,000
4. 1977-01-01
   soldstatus $44,550

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $4,058 · $338/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,058 · $338/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,092
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,749
• − Property taxes: −$4,058
• − Insurance: −$1,495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,727
• − Management: −$2,727
• − Depreciation: −$8,698
• Taxable loss: −$2,362
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$567
• After-tax cash flow: $3,131/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Osseo Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2725200
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $76,168
• Composite: 42.35/100
• National rank: #3250
• State rank: #129 of 301 in MN

Livability — Maple Grove

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #54
• US rank: #1353

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Maple Grove, MN
• County: Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
• City population: 77,762
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• Population (ZIP): 38,472
• Household income: $153,568
• Rent vs Own: 13.3% rent · 86.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 497.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,405,227 people
• By 2030: 1,492,650 · +6.2%
• By 2040: 1,660,157 · +18.1%
• By 2050: 1,823,498 · +29.8%
• By 2075: 2,221,283 · +58.1%
• By 2100: 2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 80% Asian 8% Black 7% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 12% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -181.69%
• Current HPI: 213.3896
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.86%
• Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+571.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-27 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-24 Listed $299,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $299,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1977-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,550 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,058 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.