🏢 Co-op
1316 91st Ave SE #8 · Lake Stevens, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Frontier Manor, a desirable 55+ resident-owned co-op community where residents own a share of the park — no space rent, just stability and community. This double-wide 2-bedroom home with a convenient half-bath off the primary bedroom is ready for your personal touch. The functional layout flows through a comfortable living room, dining area, and kitchen, offering a solid canvas to make it your own. Out back, a gardener's dream awaits — a yard with real potential for the green thumb buyer. A powered shed adds the perfect space for hobbies, projects, or extra storage. Frontier Manor offers more than a home — it offers community. Residents enjoy a clubhouse with c
Key facts
- Rv parking
- Exercise room
- Powered shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,048; Listing terms: Cash
- HOA & community: Located in a senior community (Frontier Manor) with 68 homes; Park amenities include clubhouse, common area, high-speed internet availability, recreational area, and RV parking; Manufactured home park approved for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (Co-op); Public sewer (Co-op); Power provided by PUD; Internet service: Xfinity
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Bath off primary
- Construction: Built by Bendix Home Systems Inc.; Manufactured house (double wide)
- Exterior features: Paved lot; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 three-quarter bath; 1 half bath; 1 shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Forced air cooling; Heat pump
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Ceiling fan(s); Patio/porch/deck; Dining room, entry, and living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 2.8% in Lake Stevens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in WA, #917 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
- Lake Stevens School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #31 of 291 in WA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 418 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.20%
- DSCR
- 3.59
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,608
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1316 91st Ave SE #39 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-9%) | 4mo | $113,000 | $118 | 78 |
| 1316 91st Ave SE #33 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (-12%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $76 | 67 |
| 1316 91st Ave SE #29 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+12%) | 21mo | $201,000 | $169 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $62,789
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 57.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.00×
- Total profit
- $138,576
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98258
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 418
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,466 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $517/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $1,344
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,400 | -5% $1,372 | +0% $1,344 | +5% $1,316 | +10% $1,288 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,150 | -5% $1,247 | +0% $1,344 | +5% $1,442 | +10% $1,539 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,394 | -0.5pp $1,370 | base $1,344 | +0.5pp $1,319 | +1.0pp $1,293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9504 Chapel Hill Rd Lake Stevens, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,950 | $2.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 10227 20th St SE Lake Stevens, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,992 | $2.76 | 2d | 7 | 0.90mi |
| 7412 19th Pl SE Lake Stevens, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 409 97th Dr NE Unit A Lake Stevens, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,999 | $2.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 816 96th Ave NE Unit A Lake Stevens, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
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2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 681-char remark
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2026-06-13$99,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $517 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $970 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$453/yr (+$38/mo · 87.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$517
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,367
- − Management
- −$2,367
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $15,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,700
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,433/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake Stevens School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304200
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,301
- Composite
- 58.12/100
- National rank
- #2141
- State rank
- #31 of 291 in WA
Livability — Lake Stevens
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #917
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Stevens, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 52,752
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,752
- Household income
- $123,898
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 786.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -725.77%
- Current HPI
- 303.8934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $99,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2026): $517 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…