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4377 Kentucky St
C+ Composite 60.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$110,000

4377 Kentucky St · Gary, IN 46409
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,594 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1948 6,534 sqft lot $69/sqft · at area comps Est $80k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick Cape Cod with a full basement! This home offers charm and modern updates throughout. Each room features ceiling fans and gorgeous refinished hardwood floors. Enjoy the spacious living room and a well-appointed kitchen, perfect for daily living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with lovely landscaping surrounding the home. This owner is offering all 8 income generating properties in their portfolio as a single package deal, creating a rare chance to acquire immediate cash flow, established tenants, and built in scale from day one. Perfect for investors looking to expand rapidly, streamline management, or secure a high performing rental portfolio in one transaction. This property does not have to be sold as a package it can be sold as a single sale. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Ceiling fans
  • Large backyard
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTCEILING FANSREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENLARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $110k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.68%
Cash-on-cash
15.66%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,527
List price
$110,000
Delta
38.32%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4327 Vermont Ct 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,567 (-2%) 1mo $123,600 $79 87
4060 Louisiana St 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,590 (-0%) 9mo $7,000 $4 73
4421 Pennsylvania St 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,592 (-0%) 9mo $155,000 $97 63
4821-29 Vermont Pl 0.56mi 2/1.0 1,510 (-5%) 3mo $12,000 $8 63
4688 Delaware St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,561 (-2%) 0mo $168,000 $108 58
1221 E 41st Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,466 (-8%) 11mo $205,000 $140 56
4110 Alabama St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,725 (+8%) 3mo $155,000 $90 56
4044 Louisiana St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,776 (+11%) 2mo $169,000 $95 50
4471 Massachusetts St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,686 (+6%) 1mo $131,000 $78 49
4388 Massachusetts St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,736 (+9%) 9mo $125,500 $72 38
1436 E 39th Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,392 (-13%) 6mo $121,000 $87 37
4385 Massachusetts St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (-13%) 11mo $22,000 $16 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$10,348
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$52,929
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46409

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,369 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $685/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $860
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,350 $1.16 44d 1 0.12mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 19d 1 0.76mi
4430 Broadway Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 1d 1 0.76mi
5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 6d 1 0.82mi
3820 Colbourne St Hobart, IN 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,695 $1.40 44d 1 1.01mi
4772 Jefferson St Gary, IN 3.0 2.0 1956 $1,595 $0.82 19d 1 1.07mi
4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 2116 $1,395 $0.66 10d 1 1.12mi
4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 2116 $1,395 $0.66 1d 1 1.12mi
4208 Jackson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1411 $1,350 $0.96 44d 1 1.15mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 1d 1 1.17mi
4767 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1664 $1,500 $0.90 2d 1 1.32mi
3395 Pennsylvania St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,495 $1.15 1d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $110,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,500 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,500 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $120,500 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $145,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $145,000 Active 849-char remark
    Show marketing remark (849 chars)

    Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick Cape Cod with a full basement! This home offers charm and modern updates throughout. Each room features ceiling fans and gorgeous refinished hardwood floors. Enjoy the spacious living room and a well-appointed kitchen, perfect for daily living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with lovely landscaping surrounding the home. This owner is offering all 8 income generating properties in their portfolio as a single package deal, creating a rare chance to acquire immediate cash flow, established tenants, and built in scale from day one. Perfect for investors looking to expand rapidly, streamline management, or secure a high performing rental portfolio in one transaction. This property does not have to be sold as a package it can be sold as a single sale. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2025-01-27
    status Pending
  18. 2025-01-08
    price $129,900
  19. 2024-12-17
    price $133,900
  20. 2024-12-04
    price $134,000
  21. 2024-11-10
    price $135,000
  22. 2024-10-30
    price $139,800
  23. 2024-10-11
    listed $139,900 Active
  24. 2024-10-10
    historical
  25. 2024-09-26
    price $139,900
  26. 2024-09-11
    listed $144,900 Active
  27. 2022-12-06
    soldstatus $59,900 Closed
  28. 2022-11-08
    historical Active Under Contract
  29. 2022-10-10
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$685 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$810 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$125/yr (+$10/mo · 18.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,433
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$685
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,315
− Management
−$1,315
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$770
After-tax cash flow
$4,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
7,184
Household income
$44,667
Rent vs Own
55.5% rent · 44.5% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.91%
Current HPI
190.6724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.85%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $145,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-27 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-08 Price Changed $129,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-17 Price Changed $133,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $134,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-10 Price Changed $135,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-30 Price Changed $139,800 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-11 Listed $139,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-10 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-26 Price Changed $139,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-11 Listed $144,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-06 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-08 Contingent NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-10 Listed $59,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-13.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $685 · -51.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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