4377 Kentucky St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick Cape Cod with a full basement! This home offers charm and modern updates throughout. Each room features ceiling fans and gorgeous refinished hardwood floors. Enjoy the spacious living room and a well-appointed kitchen, perfect for daily living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with lovely landscaping surrounding the home. This owner is offering all 8 income generating properties in their portfolio as a single package deal, creating a rare chance to acquire immediate cash flow, established tenants, and built in scale from day one. Perfect for investors looking to expand rapidly, streamline management, or secure a high performing rental portfolio in one transaction. This property does not have to be sold as a package it can be sold as a single sale. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Ceiling fans
- Large backyard
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $110k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.66%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,527
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 38.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4327 Vermont Ct | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,567 (-2%) | 1mo | $123,600 | $79 | 87 |
| 4060 Louisiana St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,590 (-0%) | 9mo | $7,000 | $4 | 73 |
| 4421 Pennsylvania St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,592 (-0%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $97 | 63 |
| 4821-29 Vermont Pl | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,510 (-5%) | 3mo | $12,000 | $8 | 63 |
| 4688 Delaware St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,561 (-2%) | 0mo | $168,000 | $108 | 58 |
| 1221 E 41st Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,466 (-8%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 4110 Alabama St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,725 (+8%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $90 | 56 |
| 4044 Louisiana St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (+11%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $95 | 50 |
| 4471 Massachusetts St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,686 (+6%) | 1mo | $131,000 | $78 | 49 |
| 4388 Massachusetts St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,736 (+9%) | 9mo | $125,500 | $72 | 38 |
| 1436 E 39th Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,392 (-13%) | 6mo | $121,000 | $87 | 37 |
| 4385 Massachusetts St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (-13%) | 11mo | $22,000 | $16 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $10,348
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $52,929
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46409
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,369 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4416 Vermont Ct Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4430 Broadway Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 1d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5026 Kentucky St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 6d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3820 Colbourne St Hobart, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,695 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4772 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $1,595 | $0.82 | 19d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2116 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 10d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2116 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4208 Jackson St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4748 Monroe St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4767 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3395 Pennsylvania St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,495 | $1.15 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $110,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $120,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-01$145,000 Active 849-char remark
Show marketing remark (849 chars)
Beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick Cape Cod with a full basement! This home offers charm and modern updates throughout. Each room features ceiling fans and gorgeous refinished hardwood floors. Enjoy the spacious living room and a well-appointed kitchen, perfect for daily living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with lovely landscaping surrounding the home. This owner is offering all 8 income generating properties in their portfolio as a single package deal, creating a rare chance to acquire immediate cash flow, established tenants, and built in scale from day one. Perfect for investors looking to expand rapidly, streamline management, or secure a high performing rental portfolio in one transaction. This property does not have to be sold as a package it can be sold as a single sale. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-01-27status Pending
-
2025-01-08price $129,900
-
2024-12-17price $133,900
-
2024-12-04price $134,000
-
2024-11-10price $135,000
-
2024-10-30price $139,800
-
2024-10-11$139,900 Active
-
2024-10-10historical
-
2024-09-26price $139,900
-
2024-09-11$144,900 Active
-
2022-12-06soldstatus $59,900 Closed
-
2022-11-08historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-10-10$59,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $810 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$125/yr (+$10/mo · 18.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,433
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,315
- − Management
- −$1,315
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,207
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$770
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,184
- Household income
- $44,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 516.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.91%
- Current HPI
- 190.6724
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.85%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+142.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $145,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-27 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-08 Price Changed $129,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-17 Price Changed $133,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $134,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-10 Price Changed $135,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-30 Price Changed $139,800 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-11 Listed $139,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-10 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $139,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-11 Listed $144,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-06 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-08 Contingent — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-10 Listed $59,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-13.9%/yrLatest (2024): $685 · -51.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…