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11910 Salina Way
B- Composite 66.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

11910 Salina Way · Lisbon, FL 34788
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,463 sqft · Condo public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1980 $165/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover comfortable, easy living in this charming 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home located in a vibrant 55+ community. Designed for simplicity and convenience, this single-level home offers no-step living throughout, making it ideal for accessibility and peace of mind. Inside, the inviting floor plan is filled with natural light and provides the perfect space for relaxing or entertaining. Both bedrooms are generously sized, and the two bathrooms offer comfort and privacy for residents and guests alike. Residents enjoy a variety of community amenities, including a swimming pool, relaxing hot tub, and a clubhouse for social gatherings and activities. A pier and dock provide the perfec

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Clubhouse
  • Lake views

Tags

COMMUNITY AMENITIESSWIMMING POOLHOT TUBCLUBHOUSEPIER AND DOCKLAKE VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area about 1,463 (public records); Lot about 0.11 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply; Total monthly association fees: $165; Total annual association fees: $1,980
  • HOA & community: HOA required (Association named Sherry) — $165 monthly; Association amenities: Clubhouse, Pool, Spa/Hot Tub; Association approval required; Community features: Buyer approval required, Clubhouse, Golf carts allowed, Pool; Senior community; Pets allowed with restrictions (breed, number, size limits)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces; Private maintained road access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential modular home; One story; North facing; Homesteaded
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in approximately (see public records for year)
  • Exterior features: Storage; Paved lot; Lake access to Lake Yale

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Florida room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.5% in Lisbon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#642 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,101/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $159k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.19%
Cash-on-cash
13.92%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$7,179
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$48,837
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34788

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Active inventory
285
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,101 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $944/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$165
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$516

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,448
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$165 · $1,980/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 156 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 142 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 141 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-03-12
    price $159,000
  15. 2026-01-11
    listed $169,000 Active
  16. 2025-12-29
    historical
  17. 2025-04-18
    listed $179,000 Active
  18. 2003-06-17
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$944 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,320 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 39.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,216
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$944
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,017
− Management
−$2,017
− HOA
−$1,980
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$3,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$943
After-tax cash flow
$5,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lisbon

Score
65/100
State rank
#642
US rank
#12649

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
21,867
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,137
Household income
$54,147
Rent vs Own
16.2% rent · 83.8% own
Severe rent burden
406.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.07%
Current HPI
273.6616
Rent YoY
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+117.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Listed $169,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-29 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-18 Listed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $944 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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