57 Briscoe Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,897
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious and versatile 4-bedroom, 3-bath home with a detached garage in Buffalo’s 14211 zip code, offering an excellent setup for larger households, multi-generational living, or an owner-occupant needing extra space. The lower level features a comfortable living room, an eat-in kitchen with room for everyday dining, a convenient bedroom, and a full bathroom—ideal for guests, in-laws, or single-level living. The second floor includes two additional bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a dedicated office room, providing great flexibility for work-from-home or study space. At the top, the finished attic serves as a true primary suite with a large bedroom and its own full bathroom, creat
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Eat-in kitchen
- Private retreat
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Trails/paths nearby
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Two-story existing wood-sided home
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; PEX plumbing; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Stamped concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level; Four bedrooms total (bedroom 1 on first level, bedroom 2 and 3 on second level, bedroom 4 on third level)
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (one on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Accessible doors; Attic; Eat-in kitchen; Partially furnished
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,581/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $700; list at $150k implies a 21314% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.43%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,260
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 Wood Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,572 (+3%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $38 | 71 |
| 105 Hoerner Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,367 (-10%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $66 | 62 |
| 26 Moeller St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,454 (-5%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 62 Haller Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (-8%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $89 | 59 |
| 114 Wex Ave | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,336 (-12%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $71 | 53 |
| 239 Keystone St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+7%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $153 | 53 |
| 30 Olcott Pl | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,430 (-6%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $115 | 50 |
| 43 Freund St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,578 (+4%) | 10mo | $149,000 | $94 | 47 |
| 4 Villa Moraine Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (+10%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 61 Gualbert Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,305 (-14%) | 8mo | $149,900 | $115 | 46 |
| 341 Wagner Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,620 (+6%) | 11mo | $209,900 | $130 | 46 |
| 365 Atlantic Ave | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,701 (+12%) | 0mo | $146,250 | $86 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $33,825
- Equity at exit
- $59,522
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $97,350
- Equity at exit
- $86,021
Cash invested: $41,971 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,581 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $423/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $450 | -5% $407 | +0% $365 | +5% $323 | +10% $280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $240 | -5% $302 | +0% $365 | +5% $427 | +10% $490 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $440 | -0.5pp $403 | base $365 | +0.5pp $326 | +1.0pp $287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,474
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1690 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1773 | $1,100 | $0.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 110 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2098 | $1,100 | $0.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 14 Rutland Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,897 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,897 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,897 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,897 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,897 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,897 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,897 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,897 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,897 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,897 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-07$149,897 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $423 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,478 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,055/yr (+$88/mo · 249.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,967
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$423
- − Insurance
- −$749
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,898/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-6.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $149,897 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-11 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $179,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-07-25 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS
- 2022-09-30 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2022-09-13 Listed $130,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-08-24 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2022-08-03 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS
- 2009-08-01 Sold (MLS) $700 WNYREIS
- 2009-04-29 Listed $700 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $423 · +50.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…