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3008 E Long Lake Rd
D Composite 41.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

3008 E Long Lake Rd · Scott, WI 54830
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Other · 71 Days on market
Built 1950 0.65 ac lot $175/sqft · 46% below area Est $259k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath cabin nestled in the pines just across from Hanscom Lake, right in the heart of everything Northwest Wisconsin has to offer. Set on over a half acre, the property features a spacious yard, a storage shed, and plenty of room to relax or entertain. This turn-key cabin comes fully furnished, making it an easy and affordable option for your weekend escape?just bring your bags and start enjoying. Inside, you?ll find a cozy, welcoming space with room for family and friends, perfect for making lasting memories up north. Currently a 3-season cabin, with the potential to be converted into a 4-season getaway with some added insulation in the crawl space and a heat source in the well house. With so much included and priced to sell, this is a great opportunity to own your own Northwoods retreat.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Storage shed
  • 3 season cabin

Tags

CABIN NESTLED IN THE PINESACROSS FROM HANSCOM LAKESPACIOUS YARDSTORAGE SHEDFULLY FURNISHED3 SEASON CABIN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-792/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (8.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (29.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Spooner Area School District (rural): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #256 of 342 in WI (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 144 units permitted in Burnett County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burnett County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,910 (29.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.02%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,448
List price
$140,000
Delta
-46.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-26,948
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-29,117
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54830

Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$989 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $658/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,073
Max offer price $128,343
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $13 -5% $-26 +0% $-66 +5% $-106 +10% $-145
Rent -10% $-144 -5% $-105 +0% $-66 +5% $-27 +10% $12
Rate -1.0pp $5 -0.5pp $-30 base $-66 +0.5pp $-102 +1.0pp $-139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $140,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    price $140,000 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
  19. 2026-04-10
    listed $150,000 Active 821-char remark
    Show marketing remark (821 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath cabin nestled in the pines just across from Hanscom Lake, right in the heart of everything Northwest Wisconsin has to offer. Set on over a half acre, the property features a spacious yard, a storage shed, and plenty of room to relax or entertain. This turn-key cabin comes fully furnished, making it an easy and affordable option for your weekend escape?just bring your bags and start enjoying. Inside, you?ll find a cozy, welcoming space with room for family and friends, perfect for making lasting memories up north. Currently a 3-season cabin, with the potential to be converted into a 4-season getaway with some added insulation in the crawl space and a heat source in the well house. With so much included and priced to sell, this is a great opportunity to own your own Northwoods retreat.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$658 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,624 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$966/yr (+$80/mo · 146.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,869
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$658
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$950
− Management
−$950
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$3,303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$793
After-tax cash flow
$1/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spooner Area School District
NCES district ID
5514220
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,556
Composite
28.07/100
National rank
#6838
State rank
#256 of 342 in WI

Livability — Scott

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,414

Population outlook (Burnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,108 people
By 2030
13,326 · -5.5%
By 2040
11,569 · -18.0%
By 2050
9,969 · -29.3%
By 2075
7,261 · -48.5%
By 2100
5,122 · -63.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Native American 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Burnett

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 33.9% · R 64.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+6.5 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.51%
Current HPI
227.0298
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $150,000 RANWW

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $658 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…