4008 Wiggington Rd · Tallahassee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This affordably priced 3 Bedroom home is conveniently located off Crowder Rd in the Lake Jackson area. Recent updates include brand new vinyl plank flooring, a 2026 roof, newer HVAC system, fresh interior paint and stainless steel appliances. Additional features include a one-car garage and fenced backyard, providing convenience and privacy. Situated near Lake Jackson with a short drive to I-10, this home offers excellent opportunity for homeowners and investors. All measurements are approximate - Buyer Responsible for verifying, if important.
Key facts
- Fresh interior paint
- Vinyl plank flooring
- Newer hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: For sale
Exterior
- Parking: One-car detached garage
- Utilities: Electric heating and cooling
- Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Paved, publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10 x 12); Bedroom 3 (10 x 11)
- Flooring: Plank; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Plank and vinyl flooring; Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-312/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $200k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.56%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,708
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2917 Stokley Ln | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 988 (0%) | 12mo | $162,000 | $164 | 85 |
| 3838 Bell Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $120 | 80 |
| 3834 Bell Rd | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 976 (-1%) | 11mo | $182,500 | $187 | 77 |
| 3823 Bell Rd | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+5%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $197 | 70 |
| 2610 Rippee Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (+7%) | 20mo | $217,500 | $206 | 42 |
| 2112 Harriet Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,112 (+13%) | 19mo | $212,000 | $191 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-33,840
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-30,747
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32303
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 238
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,674 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $-26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $87 | -5% $31 | +0% $-26 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-139 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-158 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-26 | +5% $40 | +10% $106 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $75 | -0.5pp $25 | base $-26 | +0.5pp $-78 | +1.0pp $-130 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3380 Fred George Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,700 | $1.90 | 14d | 9 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 549-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 390-char remark
-
2026-06-05$199,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,598 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,598 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,083
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,607
- − Management
- −$1,607
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$3,741
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$898
- After-tax cash flow
- $586/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tallahassee
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 294,472
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,785
- Household income
- $62,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2919.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -255.24%
- Current HPI
- 241.3131
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+303.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $199,900 CATRS
- 2010-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1992-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,598 · +18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…